CENTURIA CAPITAL GROUP (CNI)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CNI

CNI - CENTURIA CAPITAL GROUP

FNArena Sector : Diversified Financials
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Diversified Financials
Debt/EBITDA: 7.3
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Centuria Capital is an Australian investment manager specialising in real estate and investment bonds. Formed in 1999, the company listed on the ASX in 2002.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$1.055

15 Oct
2026

-0.025

OPEN

$1.08

-2.31%

HIGH

$1.08

16,852,061

LOW

$1.03

TARGET
$1.51 43.1% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 9%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
B4P . BFG . CCL . CCR . CPU . CVC . EQT . EZL . FID . HMY . LFG . OBL . OFX . PGL . SGH . SOL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CNI: 1
Title FY25
Actual		 FY26
Actual		 FY27
Forecast		 FY28
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 6.8 13.6 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 10.4 10.3 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 32.0% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.2% - 1.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 8.3 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 9.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 153.7% 75.4% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 7.89%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 9.22

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 29/06 - ex-div 5.2c (franking 9%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2026 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202120222023202420252026
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.8
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.4
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx445.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx176.0
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx81.2 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx12.68 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202120222023202420252026
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.52 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.74 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.44 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.52 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.19 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-16.3 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202120222023202420252026
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,848 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,848 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx432 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.10

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202120222023202420252026
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.40 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx51 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx159 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,185 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

24/09/2026

1

Buy

$1.80

70.62%

UBS retains its Buy rating and $1.80 target for Centuria Capital following site visits to residential projects financed by its Bass private credit business.

The broker sees greater clarity around recovering Bass's $278m Bathla exposure, particularly the $196m Rouse Hill exposure, where pre-sales can soon begin settling.

Bass believes around $100m of the exposure could be reduced relatively quickly through Rouse Hill settlements and land sales.

UBS sees potential for Centuria's depressed valuation to recover as the workout progresses.

Stockland and Mirvac Group are seen as beneficiaries from distressed land opportunities, while HMC Capital may gain private credit market share.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 10.40 cents and EPS of 13.60 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY28 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 13.20 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Moelis

07/09/2026

1

Upgrade to Buy from Hold

$1.83

73.46%

Moelis upgrades its rating for Centuria Capital to Buy from Hold with its target price decreased to $1.83 from $2.18 following a -44% share price decline since the June 2026 equity raise.

FY26 operating earnings per share increased 12% to 13.6c, supported by a rise in booked performance fees from $7m to $20m.

The analyst expects earnings growth to stall during the next two years due to higher interest rates, ongoing liquidity challenges for a major borrower within the Bass Credit division, and medium-term losses associated with the -$1bn capital cost rollout of the ResetData platform.

FY27 earnings guidance of 13.0c represents a -4% decline year-on-year, reflecting the dilutionary impact of the recent $300m equity raising.

Moelis views the current 9.3x forward price-to-earnings multiple as attractive on a risk-adjusted basis, valuing the funds management platform at approximately $540m compared to $1.6bn a year earlier.

FORECAST
Moelis forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 10.40 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
Moelis forecasts a full year FY28 dividend of 10.60 cents and EPS of 13.30 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

CNI STOCK CHART

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