INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP (INA)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP

FNArena Sector : Aged Care & Seniors
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: 6.05
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Ingenia Communities is an Australian property group that owns and operates a portfolio of lifestyle and holiday communities across Australia. It listed on the ASX in 2004.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$5.02

25 Jul
2024

0.020

OPEN

$4.96

0.40%

HIGH

$5.09

788,666

LOW

$4.94

TARGET
$5.233

+0.09 change from previous day

 4.2% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 0%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
EGH . LIC . OCA . REG .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
INA: 1
Title FY22
Actual		 FY23
Actual		 FY24
Forecast		 FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 15.8 22.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 11.0 11.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 40.7% 39.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.0% 0.0% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 22.8 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.2% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 69.7% 50.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 1.92%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.19

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 23/02 - ex-div 5.2c (franking 0%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.8
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx395.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx377.0
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16.26 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.20 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.05 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.82 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.20 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.97 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx33.3 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx658 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx662 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx101 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx46 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.06

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.4 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.11 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx142 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx149 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,059 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.7

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

05/07/2024

3

Neutral

$4.90

-2.39%

Through a broad sector update on A-REITs, UBS analysts argue the sector is now less likely to find support from RBA rate cuts (as many REITs are growth challenged and funds management benefits are harder to achieve) and valuations for the winners in the sector are seen as "stretched" in the here and now.

Developers are faced with tougher conditions, with asset sales on the menu (and a must for some). Performance fees for fund managers will be much harder to achieve.

UBS has reduced forecasts across the board, placing the broker's numbers below consensus in most cases.

The broker's rating for Ingenia Communities remains Neutral with unchanged price target of $4.90.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Moelis

30/05/2024

3

Hold

$4.93

-1.79%

As part of a trading update, Ingenia Communities noted FY24 underlying earnings are on track to be at the upper end of the 20.8-22.3cps guidance range, where forecasts by Moelis already sit.

A recovery in the number of deposits-on-hand to 470 in May from 288 in June last year augers well for FY25, in the broker's view.

The broker's investment case for Ingenia does, however, rely upon an ongoing and consistent ramp-up of the development business.

The Hold rating and $4.93 target are unchanged.

FORECAST
Moelis forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 10.80 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 12.40 cents and EPS of 25.20 cents.

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >

INA STOCK CHART

FNArena News on INA

1
Rudi’s View: Rate Cuts, Growth & Small Caps

Jul 18 2024 - Rudi's View
2
Pros & Cons Of Discounted A-REITs

Jul 16 2024 - Feature Stories
3
Rudi’s View: Gold, Healthcare, Staples & Copper

Jul 11 2024 - Rudi's View
4
Rudi’s View: Met Coal, Banks, GenAi & Buying-The-Dip

Jul 04 2024 - Rudi's View
5
Rudi’s View: Copper, Lithium, Retailers & TechnologyOne

Jun 27 2024 - Rudi's View

Latest Aged Care & Seniors News

1
Treasure Chest: Lifestyle Communities En Vogue

Mar 19 2024 - Treasure Chest
2
Lifestyle Communities Enjoying Strong Demand

Feb 21 2022 - Small Caps
3
Aged Care Sector: Poised

Mar 16 2021 - Australia
4
Pressure Grows On Estia Health

Dec 10 2019 - Australia
5
Aveo Group Now A Binary Proposition

Jun 26 2019 - Australia
6
Aged Care Moves Into The RC Spotlight

Sep 20 2018 - Australia
7
Regis Healthcare In Strong Shape For FY19

Sep 04 2018 - Australia
8
Gateway Pays Up For Expansion

Mar 20 2018 - Small Caps
9
Challenging FY18 For Japara Healthcare

Dec 20 2017 - Small Caps
10
Estia Health Beset By Uncertainty

Dec 13 2016 - Australia