COLLINS FOODS LIMITED (CKF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CKF

CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: May
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.45
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Collins Foods owns or franchises restaurants from three fast-food brands, KFC, Taco Bell and Sizzlers. Opening the first KFC franchise in 1969, it became a listed company in 2011. Sizzlers is in the process of closing down.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.12

20 Feb
2025

-0.130

OPEN

$8.25

-1.58%

HIGH

$8.26

737,137

LOW

$8.05

TARGET
$9.747 20.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . COL . DMP . EDV . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CKF: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 48.1 37.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 28.0 22.4 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% - 21.1% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 3.7% - 20.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 21.4 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.3% 59.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.47%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.46

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/12 - ex-div 11c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48.1
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,488.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx362.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx175.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.74 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.64 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.56 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.97 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx67.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx787 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx835 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx512 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx84 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.72

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.56 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx738 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx614 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

04/12/2024

1

Buy

$9.80

20.69%

Looking past the "challenging" 1H25 result from Collins Foods, UBS finds reasons to be more optimistic for 2H25.

The analyst notes earnings margins in the first half were at the top end of guidance, which management attributed to achieving "profitable value" and offering innovative solutions to a weak consumer.

Like-for-like sales are expected to benefit from an easier comparison base in 2H25, and cost input inflation or deflation is anticipated in the range of -1% to -2%.

UBS also highlights the growth in digital sales to 35% from 28% a year earlier. The analyst sees potential for EPS growth in FY26 and forecasts a rise 43% year-on-year.

The broker lowers EPS forecasts by -14% and -6% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price decreases to $9.80 from $10.40. Buy rating is maintained.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 37.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

4

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

09/12/2024

1

Buy

$10.00

23.15%

Goldman Sachs notes Collins Foods' 1H25 results were largely as expected, although earnings margins were slightly better than August's guidance.

The analyst highlights improving sales growth trends for KFC, driven by a focus on healthier offerings and affordability. Sales were also supported by digital app growth, with over 50% of the network expected to be equipped with kiosks by the end of FY25.

Taco Bell remains under review as Collins and Taco Bell International explore avenues for profitable growth.

Margin recovery and improving sales are anticipated in 2025. The Buy rating is unchanged, with a $10 target price.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 41.00 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 53.00 cents.

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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CKF STOCK CHART

FNArena News on CKF

1
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Feb 10, 2025

Feb 10 2025 - Daily Market Reports
2
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Jan 22, 2025

Jan 22 2025 - Daily Market Reports
3
Rudi’s View: Best Buys & Convictions For 2025

Jan 16 2025 - Rudi's View
4
Rudi’s View: Final Best Buys & Conviction Ideas

Dec 23 2024 - Rudi's View
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Dec 19 2024 - Rudi's View

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