COLLINS FOODS LIMITED (CKF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: May
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.45
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Collins Foods owns or franchises restaurants from three fast-food brands, KFC, Taco Bell and Sizzlers. Opening the first KFC franchise in 1969, it became a listed company in 2011. Sizzlers is in the process of closing down.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$7.20

20 Dec
2024

-0.100

OPEN

$7.30

-1.37%

HIGH

$7.32

982,088

LOW

$7.19

TARGET
$9.747 35.4% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . CCL . COL . DMP . EDV . GDA . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CKF: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 48.1 37.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 28.0 22.4 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% - 21.1% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 3.7% - 20.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 19.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.3% 59.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.11%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.89

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/12 - ex-div 11c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48.1
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,488.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx362.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx175.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.74 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.64 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.56 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.97 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx67.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx787 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx835 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx512 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx84 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.72

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.56 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx738 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx614 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxx xx xxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

04/12/2024

2

Accumulate

$9.00

25.00%

Ord Minnett notes same-store sales growth for the first seven weeks of 2H25 for Collins Foods is below the rate needed to meet consensus expectations for FY25. The company continues to face a tough macroeconomic environment and weak consumer spending.

Margins for 1H25 were at the top end of guidance, supported by a more favourable earnings mix in KFC Australia. However, management flagged ongoing cost inflation as a concern and the analyst does not anticipate the pressures will subside into FY26.

The broker has lowered EPS forecasts by -10% and -13% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price is reduced to $9 from $9.50.

No change to the Accumulate rating.

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

4

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

09/12/2024

3

Hold

$8.00

11.11%

Collins Foods looks to be diligently managing dual pinch points from a challenged consumer landscape and cost inflation headwinds, Canaccord Genuity suggests.

The broker observes the Australian quick service restaurants (QSR) category looks to be showing levels of resilience with Collins Foods noting it has held its market share and that trading has started to improve into 2H25.

Canaccord is yet to see clear evidence of volume growth, but with improving Australian consumer sentiment and margin dynamics much of the pressure on KFC Australia profitability looks to be in the rear-view mirror, in the broker's view.

Canaccord's Hold rating considers the lack of near-term earnings growth, and the broker continues to hope for and model improving performance into FY26. Target rises to $8.00 from $7.70.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents.

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Extra Coverage Research History >

CKF STOCK CHART

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