COLLINS FOODS LIMITED (CKF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CKF

CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: April
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.45
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Collins Foods owns or franchises restaurants from three fast-food brands, KFC, Taco Bell and Sizzlers. Opening the first KFC franchise in 1969, it became a listed company in 2011. Sizzlers is in the process of closing down.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.10

05 May
2025

-0.190

OPEN

$8.34

-2.29%

HIGH

$8.39

251,112

LOW

$8.09

TARGET
$9.783 20.8% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . COL . DMP . EDV . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CKF: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 48.1 37.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 28.0 22.4 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% - 21.1% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 3.7% - 20.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 21.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.7% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.3% 59.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.84%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.43

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/12 - ex-div 11c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48.1
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,488.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx362.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx175.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.74 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.64 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.56 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.97 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx67.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx787 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx835 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx512 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx84 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.72

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.56 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx738 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx614 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

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xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

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xx.xx%

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Macquarie

04/12/2024

3

Neutral

$8.20

1.23%

Hats off to Macquarie for the title of the day (so far), "Don't count your chickens," regarding the 1H25 results for Collins Foods.

The analyst notes earnings were better than expected, but downbeat guidance on margins, interest, and tax was disappointing.

Macquarie appreciated the momentum in KFC Australia same-store sales growth for the first seven weeks of 2H25 at 0.8%, forecasting 2H25 growth of 1.5%. Collins Foods has also increased its digital presence.

Margins in 2H25 are guided lower, partly due to seasonal factors, including more public holidays. KFC same-store sales growth remains challenged in Europe, down -3.8% in 1H25, and in the Netherlands, down -3.5%. Taco Bell also remains "challenged."

The broker lowers EPS forecasts by -13% and -4% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price slips -1% to $8.20.

No change to the Neutral rating.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 38.90 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.50 cents and EPS of 57.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

4

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

27/04/2025

2

Overweight

$9.95

22.84%

The main announcement in Collins Foods' strategic update under new leadership was the focus on German growth with a plan to accelerate store roll outs. Jarden believes this will be value accretive.

The roll outs in Australia are expected to continue, but the broker sees risk for same-store sales growth in 2H as competition intensifies. The company is exiting the Taco Bell brand in FY26, and taking a partial impairment in the Netherlands due to underperformance.

The broker cut FY25-27 EPS forecasts,  but expects improvement from FY28, mainly on German acceleration.

Overweight. Target lifts to $9.95 from $9.40.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 36.80 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 51.30 cents.

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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CKF STOCK CHART

FNArena News on CKF

1
Rudi’s View: Mag7 Dominance & Profit Warnings

May 01 2025 - Rudi's View
2
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Apr 27, 2025

Apr 28 2025 - Daily Market Reports
3
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 24-04-25

Apr 24 2025 - Weekly Reports
4
Collins Foods’ New European Mix

Apr 24 2025 - Australia
5
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Apr 20, 2025

Apr 22 2025 - Daily Market Reports

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