GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED (GYG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

Enter the company code or Name for stock analysis:

GYG - GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco

Year End: June

GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services

Debt/EBITDA: 6.18

Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE	CHANGE +/-	CHANGE %	VOLUME
$33.40 15 Apr 2025	-0.100 OPEN $33.50	-0.30% HIGH $33.89	96,939 LOW $33.06

LAST PRICE

CHANGE +/-

CHANGE %

VOLUME

$33.40

15 Apr
2025

-0.100

OPEN

$33.50

-0.30%

HIGH

$33.89

96,939

LOW

$33.06

TARGET

$38.333

14.8% upside

OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . CKF . COL . DMP . EDV . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .

FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS

Title	FY23 Actual	FY24 Actual	FY25 Forecast	FY26 Forecast
EPS (cps)	xxx	- 13.6	12.3	xxx
DPS (cps)	xxx	0.0	4.7	xxx
EPS Growth	xxx	N/A	N/A	xxx
DPS Growth	xxx	N/A	N/A	xxx
PE Ratio	xxx	N/A	262.5	xxx
Dividend Yield	xxx	N/A	0.1%	xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%)	xxx	N/A	37.8%	xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: N/A

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD

Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved

Title	2022	2023	2024
EPS Basic	xxx	xxx	-13.6
DPS All	xxx	xxx	0.0
Sales/Revenue	xxx	xxx	342.2 M
Book Value Per Share	xxx	xxx	349.3
Net Operating Cash Flow	xxx	xxx	42.9 M
Net Profit Margin	xxx	xxx	-4.02 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title	2022	2023	2024
Return on Capital Employed	xxx	xxx	-6.22 %
Return on Invested Capital	xxx	xxx	-3.34 %
Return on Assets	xxx	xxx	-2.79 %
Return on Equity	xxx	xxx	-6.22 %
Return on Total Capital	xxx	xxx	1.76 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends	xxx	xxx	9.4 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title	2022	2023	2024
Short-Term Debt	xxx	xxx	22 M
Long Term Debt	xxx	xxx	217 M
Total Debt	xxx	xxx	239 M
Goodwill - Gross	xxx	xxx	1 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic	xxx	xxx	294 M
Price To Book Value	xxx	xxx	7.85

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title	2022	2023	2024
Capex	xxx	xxx	33.6 M
Capex % of Sales	xxx	xxx	9.81 %
Cost of Goods Sold	xxx	xxx	272 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other	xxx	xxx	62 M
Research & Development	xxx	xxx	-
Investments - Total	xxx	xxx	0 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
EXTRA COVERAGE

EXPERT VIEWS

Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.7

No. Of Recommendations

BROKER	DATE	RATING	RECOMMENDATION	TARGET PRICE	% TO REACH TARGET	COMMENTARY
Morgans	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
UBS	09/04/2025	3	Neutral	$35.00	4.79%	UBS maintains a Neutral rating on Guzman y Gomez but has lowered its price target to $35 from $40 following a modest reduction in earnings estimates. Third-quarter sales showed continued strength, with Australasian comparable-store sales up 11.1%, driven by menu innovation and strong daypart growth, despite a slight deceleration later in the quarter. UBS trimmed its underlying EBITDA forecasts by -5.9% to -11.0% over FY25–27, reflecting reduced growth expectations and tighter corporate restaurant margins in Australasia plus slower progress in the US market. While the long-term outlook remains attractive, the broker refers to near-term earnings risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. Earnings forecasts have been lowered across the forecast period. FORECAST UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents. UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
Morgan Stanley	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial

BROKER

DATE

RATING

RECOMMENDATION

TARGET PRICE

% TO REACH TARGET

COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

UBS

09/04/2025

Neutral

$35.00

4.79%

UBS maintains a Neutral rating on Guzman y Gomez but has lowered its price target to $35 from $40 following a modest reduction in earnings estimates.

Third-quarter sales showed continued strength, with Australasian comparable-store sales up 11.1%, driven by menu innovation and strong daypart growth, despite a slight deceleration later in the quarter.

UBS trimmed its underlying EBITDA forecasts by -5.9% to -11.0% over FY25–27, reflecting reduced growth expectations and tighter corporate restaurant margins in Australasia plus slower progress in the US market.

While the long-term outlook remains attractive, the broker refers to near-term earnings risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. Earnings forecasts have been lowered across the forecast period.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Access Stockbroker Research History >

EXTRA COVERAGE

Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER	DATE	RATING	RECOMMENDATION	TARGET PRICE	% TO REACH TARGET	COMMENTARY
Jarden	xx/xx/xxxx	2	xxxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Wilsons	10/04/2025	1	Overweight	$42.88	28.38%	Following Guzman y Gomez's 3Q25 update, Wilsons made changes to forecasts for FY25, factoring in higher same-store sales growth for the Australian market but cutting Australian stores by two, while raising US stores by one. This results in a lift in the profit before tax forecast for FY25 by 3%. Overweight. Target rises to $42.88 from $42.47. FORECAST Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 27.10 cents. Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 38.50 cents.

BROKER

DATE

RATING

RECOMMENDATION

TARGET PRICE

% TO REACH TARGET

COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

xxxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Wilsons

10/04/2025

Overweight

$42.88

28.38%

Following Guzman y Gomez's 3Q25 update, Wilsons made changes to forecasts for FY25, factoring in higher same-store sales growth for the Australian market but cutting Australian stores by two, while raising US stores by one.

This results in a lift in the profit before tax forecast for FY25 by 3%.

Overweight. Target rises to $42.88 from $42.47.

FORECAST
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 27.10 cents.
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 38.50 cents.

Access Extra Coverage Research History >

GYG STOCK CHART

FNArena News on GYG

1	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 14, 2025 Apr 14 2025 - Daily Market Reports

2	Momentum Ongoing For Guzman y Gomez Apr 11 2025 - Small Caps

3	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 10, 2025 Apr 10 2025 - Daily Market Reports

4	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 09, 2025 Apr 09 2025 - Daily Market Reports

5	Rudi’s View: Best Buys In Copper, Small Caps, Tech, Healthcare, And More Mar 20 2025 - Rudi's View

Latest Food, Beverages & Tobacco News

1	Momentum Ongoing For Guzman y Gomez Apr 11 2025 - Small Caps

2	Sighs Of Relief Post Supermarkets Inquiry Mar 24 2025 - Australia

3	Risk Off Puts Supermarkets In Focus Mar 19 2025 - Australia

4	Choppy Waters For Endeavour Mar 04 2025 - Australia

5	Woolworths: Oh Lord, I Have Sinned Feb 28 2025 - Australia

6	Domino’s Painful Steps Yet To Convince All Feb 11 2025 - Australia

7	Collins Foods, The Earnings Comeback Kid? Dec 05 2024 - Australia

8	Metcash’s Earnings Geared To Housing Recovery Dec 04 2024 - Australia

9	Coles Wins The Battle, But The War? Nov 11 2024 - Australia

10	No Quick Fix For Woolworths Margins Nov 06 2024 - Australia

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :	N/A
Estimated Dividend Growth (Average Of Past Three Years)
Amount Invested	$
Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

	Yield	Yield on investment
This Year
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year

1	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 14, 2025 Apr 14 2025 - Daily Market Reports

2	Momentum Ongoing For Guzman y Gomez Apr 11 2025 - Small Caps

3	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 10, 2025 Apr 10 2025 - Daily Market Reports

4	Australian Broker Call Extra Edition – Apr 09, 2025 Apr 09 2025 - Daily Market Reports

5	Rudi’s View: Best Buys In Copper, Small Caps, Tech, Healthcare, And More Mar 20 2025 - Rudi's View

Get 2 Weeks free trial

Sign Up

Member Login

GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED (GYG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart