SANTOS LIMITED (STO)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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STO

STO - SANTOS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : NatGas
Year End: December
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: 2.02
Index: ASX20 | ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Santos is Australia's number one domestic gas supplier and aims to be a leading Asia-Pacific LNG supplier. Santos was founded in 1954 and made its first significant discovery of natural gas in the Cooper Basin in 1963. the name is an acronym of South Australia Northern Territory Oil Search.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$7.66

30 Jun
2025

0.000

OPEN

$7.68

0.000

HIGH

$7.76

10,529,757

LOW

$7.62

TARGET
$7.893 3.0% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AEL . APA . BLU . COI . CRD . CTP . GHY . GLL . KAR . ORG . STX . TBN . WDS .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
STO: 1
Title FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) 52.1 xxx
DPS (cps) 25.8 xxx
EPS Growth N/A xxx
DPS Growth N/A xxx
PE Ratio 14.7 xxx
Dividend Yield 3.4% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) 49.5% xxx
This company reports in USD.
All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 5.78%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

5.44

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 26/08 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx57.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx35.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,299.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx774.5
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,797.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx22.36 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.82 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.74 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.89 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.82 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.95 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1,106.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,433 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9,369 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10,802 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,415 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,961 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.86

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,640.1 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx43.86 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5,391 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx233 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx704 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.7

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

4

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

17/06/2025

2

Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy

$7.90

3.13%

Ord Minnett notes Santos received an indicative takeover offer from a consortium that includes Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund and Carlyle Group for US$5.76/share ($8.89).

The broker reckons the share price didn't rise to the offer price on the announcement, likely because investors see risks of FIRB approval and the long timeline to get various approvals. The broker, however, believes the regulatory risks are overdone.

In Ord Minnett's view, a change in ownership is unlikely to lead to a cut in domestic gas supply. The broker believes any undertaking to regulators to divest non-core assets wouldn't be an issue, as Beach Energy ((BPT)) would likely be ready to acquire them.

The broker expects the deal to be completed in the March quarter of 2026.

Rating downgraded to Accumulate from Buy. Target lifted to $7.90 from $7.50.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

18/06/2025

2

Overweight

$8.34

8.88%

Santos received a non-binding indicative offer from a consortium led by a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi's oil giant Adnoc for US$5.76/share ($8.89).

Jarden notes the deal completion is targeted for 1Q26, though several hurdles, including due diligence and regulatory clearances, remain. The broker reckons FIRB approval would be key, but this process would be assisted by the UAE-Australia free trade agreement in November 2024.

Due diligence by August and a scheme meeting in 1Q26 may be possible if all goes well, the broker believes.

Overweight. Target lifts to $8.34 from $6.70, with the price being a blend of bid price and fundamental valuation.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 24.08 cents and EPS of 44.61 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 25.62 cents and EPS of 59.43 cents.

STO STOCK CHART