APA GROUP (APA)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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APA

APA - APA GROUP

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 7.08
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

APA Group owns and operates natural gas and electricity assets, while increasingly adding renewables. It is Australia's largest natural gas infrastructure business and one of few true local dividend champions. It listed in 2000.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$7.95

02 Apr
2025

0.000

OPEN

$7.94

0.000

HIGH

$8.00

1,976,890

LOW

$7.93

TARGET
$7.806 -1.8% downside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AGL . AIA . ALX . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNE . GNP . MEZ . ORG . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
APA: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 77.3 15.7 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 56.0 57.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% - 79.7% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 1.8% 1.8% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 50.4 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 7.2% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 72.4% 363.1% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 5.30%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 7.07

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 30/12 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx77.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx56.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,015.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx253.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,156.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32.44 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx37.92 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.09 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.34 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx37.92 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.15 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-479.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,919 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11,073 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx12,992 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,882 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx676 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.16

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,096.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx36.35 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,115 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-15 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx482 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

26/02/2025

1

Buy

$8.60

8.18%

Ord Minnett highlights APA Group’s 1H25 operating earnings slightly beat consensus, easing investor concerns about a potential capital raise.

The broker notes APA reaffirmed FY25 guidance for earnings and distributions, with management confident the balance sheet can support capex while remaining within credit rating thresholds.

The analyst estimates excess balance sheet capacity above $500m by FY27, planning asset recycling, partnerships, and cost cuts to drive growth.

A five-year east coast gas grid expansion is expected to increase gas flow from northern to southern markets by 24% and boost storage.

Ord Minnett sees APA’s organic growth pipeline exceeding $6bn over the next decade, mitigating potential earnings loss from the Wallumbilla–Gladstone pipeline deal expiring in 2035.

APA is forecast deliver an 8%-plus distribution yield out to FY30, with payouts potentially growing from FY27. Buy rating maintained, target price $8.60.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

04/03/2025

2

Overweight

$8.50

6.92%

Jarden highlights concerns over APA Group raising equity to fund growth dissipated after the company said it could internally fund the -$1.8bn growth program.

The 1H25 EBITA was in line with the broker's estimate but net profit missed mainly due to the change in currency hedging strategy.,

The broker slightly revised up EBITDA forecasts for FY25-27, but net profit forecasts were cut on lower-than-expected finance income and higher DD&A expenses.

Target price lifts to $8.5 from $8.3 after the broker factored in below-CPI corporate cost growth (previous forecast 6.3%) following the company's guidance. Overweight rating maintained.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 57.00 cents and EPS of 14.40 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 58.00 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

APA STOCK CHART

FNArena News on APA

1
March In Review: Gold Shines As Tech Suffers

Apr 03 2025 - Australia
2
Rudi’s View: Post February Conviction Calls

Mar 13 2025 - Rudi's View
3
Rudi’s View: To Sell Or Not To Sell

Mar 06 2025 - Rudi's View
4
February In Review: Sentiment Soured, Deeply

Mar 05 2025 - Australia
5
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Mar 04, 2025

Mar 04 2025 - Daily Market Reports

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