article 3 months old

Icarus Signal New Entries For Today

FYI | May 27 2011

This story features COCHLEAR LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH

Daily update on share prices and consensus price targets.

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

Occasionally, we highlight some "classic" examples of Icarus Signals, and surely Wotif.com ((WTF)) cannot remain unmentioned within this context. The shares once again approached $6 in April, which put the shares on PE multiples comparable to those of Cochlear ((COH)) and clearly investors subsequently drew the conclusion this was a bit excessive. The shares have plunged back to near $4.80 this week. Given that all kinds of moving averages have been broken through the process, with the 200M/A also offering but futile support, it should not be excluded Wotif shares will remain in the punishment corner for longer.

The weakness in Wotif shares has been so severe lately, the stock has now disappeared from the group of stocks trading in the vicinity of consensus price target. Other stocks disappearing from that list due to weakness are ARB Corp ((ARP)) and SP Ausnet ((SPN)).

Meanwhile, after a day of strong recovering share prices in the market yesterday, Catalpa ((CAH)), Iress ((IRE)) and Australian Pipeline Trust ((APA)) have all re-entered the group of stocks trading above consensus price target. Note that Catalpa is currently in play.

The group of stocks trading near target (still under it) has now been joined by Warrnambool Cheese ((WCB)), Austar ((AUN)) -take-over from Foxtel-, Dulux ((DLX)), TABcorp ((TAH)), Campbell Bros ((CPB)) and Graincorp ((GNC)). Graincorp put in a strong rally yesterday on the back of a better than forecast financial performance in H1. Also joining this group are Walter Diversified ((WDS)) and Lycopodium ((LYL)), but both do this on the back of weakness, as opposed to strength for all others.

Watpac ((WTP)) is now amongst the Bottom 50 for the Icarus Signal. So is PanAust ((PNA)) but, as outlined yesterday, this has more to do with a consolidation for the shares than with strongly increased valuation. Investors should ignore PNA's presence in the table.

Investors should consider the information and data are provided for research purposes only.

Stocks <3% Below Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 WCB $ 4.75 $ 4.75 0.00%
2 AUN $ 1.37 $ 1.37 0.44%
3 WDS $ 0.73 $ 0.74 0.68%
4 LYL $ 5.92 $ 5.98 1.01%
5 DLX $ 2.87 $ 2.93 1.99%
6 GNC $ 8.38 $ 8.55 2.03%
7 CPB $ 45.09 $ 46.04 2.10%
8 TAH $ 7.72 $ 7.92 2.59%
9 SPT $ 2.35 $ 2.42 2.98%

Stocks Above Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 CAH $ 1.76 $ 1.75 – 0.28%
2 APA $ 4.31 $ 4.29 – 0.37%
3 IRE $ 9.38 $ 9.37 – 0.07%

Top 50 Stocks Furthest from Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 PNA $ 0.75 $ 1.35 80.40%
2 WTP $ 1.44 $ 2.15 49.83%

To see the full Icarus Signal, please go to this link

Technical limitations

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CHARTS

APA AUN COH GNC IRE LYL SPN TAH WDS

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AUN - AURUMIN LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNC - GRAINCORP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IRE - IRESS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LYL - LYCOPODIUM LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPN - SPARC TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TAH - TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED