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Top Ten Weekly Recommendation, Target Price, Earnings Forecast Changes

FYI | Sep 19 2011

This story features ANSELL LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANN

By Chris Shaw

The past week has been another one where ratings upgrades have easily outnumbered downgrades, the eight brokers in the FNArena database lifting recommendations on 18 stocks and cutting ratings for just nine companies. Total Buy ratings now stand at 58.7%, up from 58.2% last week.

Sigma Pharmaceuticals ((SIP)) was among those being upgraded during the week, this on the back of a better than expected interim earnings result. Nufarm ((NUF)) has lifted guidance leading into this month's full year result and this prompted one upgrade in rating.

Sector reviews have generated upgrades for Oil Search ((OSH)) , Newcrest ((NCM)) and Oz Minerals among the resource plays, while beneficiaries among the industrials have been Ramsay Health Care ((RHC)) and Toll Holdings ((TOL)).

Among those companies receiving downgrades to ratings were Ansell ((ANN)) as part of a healthcare sector review and Qantas ((QAN)) on the back of a review of the transport sector. Envestra ((ENV)) also saw its overall rating drop following a valuation downgrade and an initiation of coverage.

The better than expected result from Sigma also translated into price target increases, while sector reviews also generated higher targets for Newcrest, Ramsay, Toll, Oil Search and Panoramic Resources ((PAN)).

Targets have fallen for Aquila (AQA)), Mincor Resources ((MCR)), Independence Group ((IGO)) and Western Areas ((WSA)) following the sector reviews, while targets for CSL ((CSL)), Qantas and Nufarm also fell post reviews.

Sigma was one of the leaders in terms of increases to earnings forecasts, while better than expected results from Perseus Mining ((PRU)) also saw an increase to estimates for the coming year. A review of the outlook for DUET Group ((DUE)) generated an increase in forecasts for the company, while a tour of Star City's upgraded facilities has produced some increases to numbers for Echo Entertainment ((EGP)). 

Higher retrievals expectations result in a lift in forecasts for Graincorp ((GNC)), while the likes of Santos, Newcrest and Oz Minerals enjoyed increases to forecasts post commodity price and sector reviews.

Not all resource stocks were beneficiaries as forecasts for Aquila, Mincor ((MCR)), Gindalbie ((GBG)), Australian Worldwide Exploration (AWE)) and OneSteel ((OT)) have been cut over the past week. A deterioration in market conditions led to cuts in estimates for Macquarie Group ((MQG)), while forecasts were also lowered for Ten Network ((TEN)) and Woolworths ((WOW)). 
 

Total Recommendations
Recommendation Changes

 

Broker Recommendation Breakup

 

Recommendation

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Rating New Rating Change Recs
1 SIP – 57.0% – 14.0% 43.0% 7
2 AQA – 50.0% – 25.0% 25.0% 4
3 MCR – 50.0% – 33.0% 17.0% 3
4 WSA 17.0% 33.0% 16.0% 6
5 NUF 25.0% 38.0% 13.0% 8
6 OSH 75.0% 88.0% 13.0% 8
7 RHC 13.0% 25.0% 12.0% 8
8 NCM 63.0% 75.0% 12.0% 8
9 OZL 38.0% 50.0% 12.0% 8
10 TOL 13.0% 25.0% 12.0% 8

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Rating New Rating Change Recs
1 ANN 57.0% 43.0% – 14.0% 7
2 QAN 88.0% 75.0% – 13.0% 8
3 ENV 20.0% 17.0% – 3.0% 6
 

Target Price

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Target New Target Change Recs
1 SIP 0.420 0.573 36.43% 7
2 NCM 44.626 45.376 1.68% 8
3 RHC 18.593 18.793 1.08% 8
4 TOL 5.199 5.254 1.06% 8
5 PAN 2.333 2.338 0.21% 4
6 OSH 8.440 8.448 0.09% 8

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Target New Target Change Recs
1 AQA 8.470 7.720 – 8.85% 4
2 MCR 1.085 1.017 – 6.27% 3
3 QAN 2.468 2.349 – 4.82% 8
4 NUF 4.975 4.819 – 3.14% 8
5 IGO 6.603 6.410 – 2.92% 4
6 ANN 14.504 14.326 – 1.23% 7
7 WSA 6.457 6.430 – 0.42% 6
8 CSL 33.330 33.305 – 0.08% 8
 

Earning Forecast

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous EF New EF Change Recs
1 ROC 0.020 0.140 600.00% 4
2 SIP 3.029 4.286 41.50% 7
3 PRU 21.600 24.600 13.89% 6
4 NCM 189.063 204.063 7.93% 8
5 BPT 5.020 5.280 5.18% 5
6 DUE 10.844 11.169 3.00% 8
7 EGP 20.763 21.038 1.32% 8
8 STO 56.313 56.913 1.07% 8
9 GNC 80.447 81.130 0.85% 6
10 OZL 116.375 117.250 0.75% 8

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous EF New EF Change Recs
1 AQA 5.900 3.075 – 47.88% 4
2 MCR 16.400 9.000 – 45.12% 3
3 GBG 0.786 0.600 – 23.66% 6
4 MQG 282.629 265.886 – 5.92% 7
5 TEN 8.475 8.350 – 1.47% 8
6 WOW 182.250 180.600 – 0.91% 8
7 SAI 30.300 30.038 – 0.86% 8
8 AWE 8.729 8.671 – 0.66% 7
9 OST 24.771 24.629 – 0.57% 7
10 CTX 111.167 110.567 – 0.54% 6
 

Technical limitations

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CHARTS

ANN PAN WOW

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANN - ANSELL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PAN - PANORAMIC RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOW - WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED