article 3 months old

The Overnight Report: All Quiet

Daily Market Reports | Sep 03 2019

Array
(
    [0] => Array
        (
            [0] => ((FMG))
            [1] => ((WSA))
            [2] => ((IGO))
            [3] => ((SDA))
            [4] => ((TLS))
            [5] => ((NEA))
            [6] => ((IPL))
            [7] => ((WOW))
        )

    [1] => Array
        (
            [0] => FMG
            [1] => WSA
            [2] => IGO
            [3] => SDA
            [4] => TLS
            [5] => NEA
            [6] => IPL
            [7] => WOW
        )

)
List StockArray ( [0] => FMG [1] => IGO [2] => TLS [3] => WOW )

This story features FORTESCUE LIMITED, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FMG

The company is included in ASX20, ASX50, ASX100, ASX200, ASX300 and ALL-ORDS

World Overnight
SPI Overnight (Sep) 6537.00 – 15.00 – 0.23%
S&P ASX 200 6579.40 – 24.80 – 0.38%
S&P500 2926.46 + 1.88 0.06%
Nasdaq Comp 7962.88 – 10.51 – 0.13%
DJIA 26403.28 + 367.18 1.41%
S&P500 VIX 18.98 + 1.10 6.15%
US 10-year yield 1.51 – 0.01 – 0.66%
USD Index 99.04 + 0.12 0.12%
FTSE100 7281.94 + 74.76 1.04%
DAX30 11953.78 + 14.50 0.12%

By Greg Peel

Unsurprising

After rising almost 100 points on Friday to end the month of August and result season, the ASX200 unsurprisingly eased off yesterday to start the new month. We must also take into account that each day now will begin with a points handicap as we work through ex-dividends during the month.

Fortescue Metals ((FMG)) made the big hand-out yesterday but that didn't stop materials being the only sector to finish in the green (+0.4%), other than a slight tick up for utilities. It was all about the nickel price, of course, which had jumped 11% overnight on news of Indonesian export bans.

Western Areas ((WSA)) dutifully jumped 14.1% yesterday and Independence Group ((IGO)) 10.3%.

Those two stocks led the index leaders, but for Speedcast International ((SDA)), which did a bit of a Phoenix in rebounding 24%.

Otherwise, all other sectors gave back some of Friday's surge. Telcos (-1.3%) was the worst performer after Telstra ((TLS)) suggested the NBN headwind it hoped would abate in FY20 will probably now last until FY21.

Among the individual losers, Nearmap ((NEA)) fell -6.6% for reasons unclear while Incitec Pivot ((IPL)) issued a drought-related profit warning and fell -4.4%.

More informative on the day were various economic data releases.

Australian company profits rose 4.5% in the June quarter, after rising 2.6% in March. The "two-speed" economy is nevertheless upon us again, with mining rising 11% and 32% year on year while non-mining rose 0.3% for 1.5%.

ANZ's job ad series showed a -2.8% fall in August, for a year on year decline of -11.2%. Ad numbers had risen in June and July but the ANZ economists had suspected this was just a post-election blip, while a sharp downturn in building construction should be making its mark. The outlook for the labour market, says ANZ, is softening.

Look out for an RBA rate cut next month, if not today.

Caixin's take on China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 from 49.9 in contrast to Beijing's numbers.

Commodities

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 1528.50 + 8.90 0.59%
Silver (oz) 18.43 + 0.09 0.49%
Copper (lb) 2.56 – 0.01 – 0.42%
Aluminium (lb) 0.78 – 0.00 – 0.27%
Lead (lb) 0.92 – 0.00 – 0.12%
Nickel (lb) 8.20 + 0.07 0.91%
Zinc (lb) 1.02 + 0.01 0.70%
West Texas Crude 54.77 – 0.33 – 0.60%
Brent Crude 58.66 – 0.59 – 1.00%
Iron Ore (t) futures 91.15 + 5.30 6.17%

Beijing was talking up the stimulus yesterday as the tit-for-tat round of tariffs came into effect. The State Council's financial stability and development committee described risks to the economy as manageable and said the state wanted to keep "reasonably ample" liquidity as it faced the brunt of the trade war.

Such talk has proven a boon for the iron ore price, which has reignited after coming off around -30% in recent weeks.

Nickel was again marginally stronger.

The US dollar index has cracked 99 with a 0.1% gain, sending the Aussie down -0.2% to US$0.6714. En route for 66.

Today

Hurricane Dorian has smashed the Bahamas and is set to hit the US Atlantic coast. Wall Street has become used to such disasters and now anticipates a typical drop in economic activity followed by a recovery in the rebuilding phase, if that's what it comes to. Wall Street reopens tonight, with the August manufacturing PMI in the frame.

Locally we'll see the June quarter current account numbers today, including the terms of trade, which no doubt will be somewhat spectacular.

The RBA is expected to hold fast today but the market will be looking for clues.

We'll also see July retail sales figures.

Eighteen stocks go ex-div today, including Woolworths ((WOW)).

The Australian share market over the past thirty days…

BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
ALX ATLAS ARTERIA Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
AOG AVEO Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
APX APPEN Upgrade to Buy from Neutral UBS
ASG AUTOSPORTS GROUP Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
AVG AUST VINTAGE Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
CAJ CAPITOL HEALTH Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
CTX CALTEX AUSTRALIA Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
FPH FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Macquarie
GTN GTN LTD Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
HVN HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS Downgrade to Lighten from Hold Ord Minnett
IGO INDEPENDENCE GROUP Downgrade to Sell from Neutral Citi
LNK LINK ADMINISTRATION Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
MLX METALS X Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
MQG MACQUARIE GROUP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
MWY MIDWAY Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
NSR NATIONAL STORAGE Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
NXT NEXTDC Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
OZL OZ MINERALS Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Credit Suisse
PRU PERSEUS MINING Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
REH REECE AUSTRALIA Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
SGF SG FLEET Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
VAH VIRGIN AUSTRALIA Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Credit Suisse

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CHARTS

FMG IGO TLS WOW

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FMG - FORTESCUE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IGO - IGO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOW - WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED

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