AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED (AEL)
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AEL

AEL - AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Crude Oil
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: 1.73
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$0.25

25 Aug
2025

0.000

OPEN

$0.25

0.000

HIGH

$0.26

3,139,992

LOW

$0.25

TARGET
$0.31 24.0% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ALD . BHP . BPT . BRU . CRD . CVN . FAR . HE8 . HZN . KAR . MAY . VEA .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AEL: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 1.6 1.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 13.6 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1.6
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx268.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.2
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx89.3 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-15.42 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-10.41 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-6.13 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-2.97 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-10.41 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.44 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx55.5 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx300 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx300 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx62 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.48

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx75.3 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.08 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx202 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

21/08/2025

1

Buy

$0.29

16.00%

Amplitude Energy’s FY25 result was below Bell Potter’s expectations, with underlying earnings (EBITDAX) of $174m versus the broker’s $183m forecast, and profit of $11m compared with the $19m expected.

Costs were at the top end of guidance, and statutory profit was -$41m due to impairments, tax adjustments, and restoration expenses, explain the analysts.

FY26 guidance, which Bell Potter considers conservative, points to production of 69-74TJe/day, broadly in line with FY25. The broker notes a sharp increase in capex guidance to -$125-150m, driven by the East Coast Supply Project.

The broker highlights reserves in the Gippsland Basin have been upgraded, equivalent to around eight months of production at nameplate capacity.

Bell Potter raises its target price to 29c from 28c and retains a Buy rating. No dividend was declared.

FORECAST
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.30 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Wilsons

21/08/2025

3

Market Weight

$0.25

0%

Wilsons notes Amplitude Energy’s FY25 result was broadly in line with consensus, with production up 17% year-on-year to 26.6PJe. Revenue also rose 22% to $268.1m, and underlying earnings (EBITDAX) increased by 36% to $173.9m at a 65% margin.

Operating cash flow (OCF) rose 40% to $160.5m, supported by efficiency initiatives, explains the broker, which delivered around $20m in savings, largely from Orbost absorber cleaning improvements and gas trading gains.

FY26 guidance is for production of  69-74TJe/d, production expenses of -$54-60m and capex of -$125-150m.

While guidance appears conservative to Wilsons, debottlenecking at Orbost could lift throughput above the 68TJe/d nameplate, potentially adding 4-6TJe/d subject to approvals.

The analyst believes the East Coast Supply Project remains the key growth driver though carries execution and timing risks.

Wilsons maintains a Market Weight rating and 25c target price.

FORECAST
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.50 cents.
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.50 cents.

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AEL STOCK CHART

FNArena News on AEL

1
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Aug 25, 2025

Aug 25 2025 - Daily Market Reports
2
FNArena Corporate Results Monitor – 21-08-2025

Aug 21 2025 - Australia
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Aug 21, 2025

Aug 21 2025 - Daily Market Reports
4
Rudi’s View: Taking Stock Ahead Of August

Jul 30 2025 - Rudi's View
5
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 25-07-25

Jul 25 2025 - Weekly Reports

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