COLLINS FOODS LIMITED (CKF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: May
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.45
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Collins Foods owns or franchises restaurants from three fast-food brands, KFC, Taco Bell and Sizzlers. Opening the first KFC franchise in 1969, it became a listed company in 2011. Sizzlers is in the process of closing down.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.42

20 Nov
2024

-0.060

OPEN

$8.47

-0.71%

HIGH

$8.48

310,918

LOW

$8.33

TARGET
$9.763 16.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . COL . DMP . EDV . GDA . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CKF: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 48.1 43.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 28.0 25.7 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% - 10.6% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 3.7% - 8.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 19.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.3% 59.9% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.12%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.34

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 08/07 - ex-div 15.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48.1
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,488.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx362.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx175.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.74 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.64 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.56 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.72 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.97 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx67.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx787 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx835 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx512 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx84 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.72

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.56 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx738 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx614 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

26/08/2024

1

Buy

$10.40

23.52%

In the first 16 weeks of 1H25 sales advanced 1.1% for Collins Foods, below expectations of 3.7% from UBS, and 4.5% for consensus.

The results were mixed, according to the broker, including an improvement in KFC Australia; weakness in KFC Netherlands; notable weakness in KFC Germany; Taco Bell was flat but trending lower.

High inflation and weak consumer sentiment continue to affect the company, with management lowering FY25 guidance.

UBS revises EPS forecasts by -5% and -18% for FY25/FY26.

Target price falls to $10.40 from $11.50. Buy rating unchanged.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 44.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 59.00 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

4

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

03/10/2024

2

Overweight

$9.57

13.66%

The worst has passed for quick service restaurants (QSR), concludes Jarden after a global review, as the cost of goods sold or COGS ease, the sector consolidates, and the sector cycles increased promotional intensity. 

Overall, the broker found Japan is showing the most positive signs, Europe is bottoming and the A&NZ region is steady. 

QSR's are outpacing full-service restaurants (FSR) across Australia, the UK and Japan, as consumers trade down and look to save money via pickup versus delivery and fewer items per basket.

For Collins Foods, trends look no worse but are not significantly better and the broker prefers Domino's Pizza Enterprises in the space.

The Overweight rating and $9.57 target are maintained.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 45.30 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 62.10 cents.

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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CKF STOCK CHART

FNArena News on CKF

1
Rudi’s View: The Importance Of ‘Quality’ Growth

Nov 21 2024 - Rudi's View
2
Rudi’s View: A Rally With No Earnings Support

Nov 14 2024 - Rudi's View
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Nov 12, 2024

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4
Rudi’s View: Trump Returns, What Now?

Nov 07 2024 - Rudi's View
5
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Nov 07, 2024

Nov 07 2024 - Daily Market Reports

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