COLLINS FOODS LIMITED (CKF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CKF

CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: April
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.77
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Collins Foods owns or franchises restaurants from three fast-food brands, KFC, Taco Bell and Sizzlers. Opening the first KFC franchise in 1969, it became a listed company in 2011. Sizzlers is in the process of closing down.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$9.38

27 Jun
2025

0.000

OPEN

$9.33

0.000

HIGH

$9.42

689,522

LOW

$9.14

TARGET
$9.913 5.7% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . COL . DMP . EDV . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CKF: 1
Title FY24
Actual
FY25
Actual
FY26
Forecast
FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 7.5 48.6 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 26.0 27.5 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 84.4% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx - 7.1% 5.7% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 19.3 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.9% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 346.7% 56.5% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.62%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

2.77

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/12 - ex-div 11c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx26.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,519.5 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx343.8
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx181.4 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.58 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.12 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.72 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.55 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.12 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.79 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx86.4 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx55 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx835 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx891 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx525 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx119 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.41

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx67.9 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.47 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx743 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx651 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

25/06/2025

1

Buy

$10.10

7.68%

Morgans assesses Collins Foods' FY25 result as materially better than expected, noting considerable improvement in 2H25 profitability on stronger same-store sales growth, cost deflation and operational improvements.

However, the FY26 underlying net profit guidance for low to mid-teens growth fell short of the broker's expectation, prompting a -5% downgrade for the FY26 forecast.

The analyst also lowered the underlying net profit forecast for FY27 and FY28 by -15.7% and -17.5%, respectively, on more subdued same-store sales growth estimates and margins.

Buy maintained as the broker reckons 1H25 was a low point for margins in this cycle and the company will benefit from a recovery in operating conditions. Target cut to $10.10 from $10.50.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 49.00 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 31.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

26/06/2025

2

Overweight

$10.10

7.68%

Jarden explains FY25 was a tough year for Collins Foods, with earnings (EBITDA) ending flat, but 2H25 showed an improvement of 5% growth as cost of goods sold declined and labour optimisation assisted.

There are also indications of improving same-store sales growth, and management has guided to mid-to-teens net profit after tax growth for FY26 of around 17% ex-Taco Bell, which is in line with consensus.

Jarden believes Germany offers upside with new restaurant guidance of 40–70 by FY28, alongside ongoing productivity gains.

Overweight rating unchanged. Target price lifts to $10.10 from $9.95.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 50.60 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 EPS of 60.30 cents.

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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CKF STOCK CHART