GOODMAN GROUP (GMG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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GMG

GMG - GOODMAN GROUP

FNArena Sector : Infra & Property Developers
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: 7.04
Index: ASX20 | ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Goodman Group is an Australian commercial and industrial property group that owns, develops and manages warehouses, large scale logistics facilities, business and office parks in 17 countries. First listed in February 2005.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$34.10

27 Jun
2025

-0.290

OPEN

$34.59

-0.84%

HIGH

$34.68

4,436,420

LOW

$33.69

TARGET
$36.168 6.1% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
CMW . CWP . FRI . FWD . GOZ . GPT . LIC . LLC . MGR . PPC . SFC . SGP . SIO . UOS .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GMG: 1
Title FY23
Actual
FY24
Actual
FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 5.2 118.1 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 30.0 30.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.0% 0.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 28.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.9% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 25.4% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 1.65%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.88

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 30/12 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-5.2
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx30.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,962.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx923.4
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,188.6 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-5.04 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.56 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.46 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.41 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.56 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.40 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx610.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,712 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,723 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,785 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.76

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.5 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.54 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx556 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx894 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4,118 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

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xx/xx/xxxx

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xx/xx/xxxx

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xxx

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xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

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xx.xx%

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Macquarie

29/05/2025

1

Outperform

$36.06

5.75%

Following the 3Q25 operational update from Goodman Group, Macquarie made negligible changes to EPS forecasts, lowering FY26 forecast by -0.2% and FY27 by -0.1%.

Target price trimmed marginally to $36.06 from $36.31. Outperform retained.

The broker's view from the 3Q update is recapped befow:

Management restated the key performance targets for data centres, but no new information was provided on lease contracts or capital partners. However, management highlighted they were in conversations with "several large customers" and "a range of potential investment partners."

The broker notes assets under management grew 1.7% to $85.8bn in the previous quarter and are expected to increase further upon completion of a new partnership in North America.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 119.00 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 134.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

02/06/2025

1

Buy

$39.00

14.37%

Jarden has lowered its target price for Goodman Group to $39.00 from $39.50 following a moderation in near-term earnings forecasts. The Buy rating is retained.

While guidance for 2025 operating earnings growth is 9%, the broker believes this is a temporary trough and expects stronger growth to resume from 2026 as data centre developments accelerate and new capital partners are onboarded.

The broker forecasts cumulative earnings (EBITDA) of around $28bn over the next decade, underpinned by logistics, data centre development and residential conversion opportunities.

Logistics is expected to remain around 30% of the development pipeline, with additional upside from selective residential asset conversions contributing to net tangible asset accretion. 

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 117.60 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 130.30 cents.

GMG STOCK CHART