HELLOWORLD TRAVEL LIMITED (HLO)
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HLO - HELLOWORLD TRAVEL LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Travel, Leisure & Tourism
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 0.45
Index: ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$1.955

20 Nov
2024

-0.085

OPEN

$2.05

-4.17%

HIGH

$2.05

537,751

LOW

$1.93

TARGET
$2.817 44.1% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AIA . AIZ . CEH . CHL . CTD . EVT . EXP . FLT . KLS . QAN . SDR . SKO . SST . THL . VGL . VVA . WEB . WJL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
HLO: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 19.2 21.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 11.0 11.3 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 71.1% 10.9% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 37.5% 3.0% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 9.4 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 5.7% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 57.4% 53.3% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.89%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.50

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 05/09 - ex-div 6c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.2
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx216.9 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx203.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx66.3 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.11 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.71 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.23 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.28 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.71 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.00 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx46.9 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx22 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx502 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx162 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.08

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.8 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.30 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx116 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx70 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.7

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Shaw and Partners

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

28/08/2024

3

Downgrade to Hold from Add

$2.30

17.65%

Helloworld Travel posted a solid June Q which saw it deliver just under the mid-point of FY24 guidance.

The highlights for Morgans were acquisitions exceeding their investment cases, earnings margin, materially stronger than expected cash flow and a strong net cash position.

Nevertheless, when the acquisitions are backed out, the base business went backwards in 2H24 versus 1H24 and 2H23, the broker notes. Outlook comments were limited and no guidance was provided.

Given the uncertain near-term outlook and reflecting weaker 2H24 trends, Morgans downgrades to Hold from Add until there is a clearer picture on the outlook.

Target falls to $2.30 from $3.33.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

04/09/2024

2

Overweight

$3.10

58.57%

Helloworld Travel's result met FY24 earnings guidance, with underlying profit 2% ahead of Jarden. It was a strong result, the broker suggests, as the company benefited from the recovery in travel, Express Travel acquisition and higher profit from associates.

Pleasingly for the broker, June Q total transaction value trends lifted modestly to 46% year on year with demand from travel advisors solid. Disappointingly, few comments were made on outlook.

The key question for Jarden is management's ability to execute on cost control and capitalise on increased air capacity in 2025 and positive elasticity from easing air ticket prices. Target falls to $3.10 from $3.70.

Overweight retained, but the broker has a preference for Flight Centre ((FLT)) and Webjet ((WEB)) in the travel space.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 23.60 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 27.70 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

HLO STOCK CHART

FNArena News on HLO

1
Upside For The New Webjet(s)

Sep 26 2024 - Australia
2
In Brief: Lithium, Webjet Split, Retailers In Focus

Sep 20 2024 - Weekly Reports
3
Rudi’s View: August Results Fail To Inspire

Sep 05 2024 - Rudi's View
4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Sep 04, 2024

Sep 04 2024 - Daily Market Reports
5
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 30-08-24

Sep 02 2024 - Weekly Reports

Latest Travel, Leisure & Tourism News

1
What Happened To WEB Travel’s Growth Outlook?

Oct 17 2024 - Small Caps
2
Upside For The New Webjet(s)

Sep 26 2024 - Australia
3
SiteMinder To Thrive On New Product Launches

Aug 06 2024 - Small Caps
4
In Brief: It’s Not The Economy, Stupid!

Jul 05 2024 - Weekly Reports
5
SiteMinder Travelling Well

May 01 2024 - Small Caps
6
Webjet’s B2B Opportunity

Apr 15 2024 - Australia
7
Stars Are Aligning For SiteMinder

Aug 02 2023 - Small Caps
8
Treasure Chest: Corporate Travel Management

Jun 20 2023 - Treasure Chest
9
Treasure Chest: The WebBed Opportunity For Webjet

Jun 07 2023 - Treasure Chest
10
Helloworld Turnaround Now Includes Europe

Mar 28 2023 - Small Caps