LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED (TLC)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gaming
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.08
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$5.07

20 Nov
2024

-0.020

OPEN

$5.08

-0.39%

HIGH

$5.12

1,220,377

LOW

$5.05

TARGET
$5.542 9.3% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AGI . ALL . BET . JIN . LNW . PBH . PLY . SGR . SKC . TAH .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
TLC: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 18.6 18.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 18.5 17.8 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 56.4% - 3.2% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 23.3% - 3.8% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 28.1 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.5% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 99.4% 98.8% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: N/A

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.66

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 28/08 - ex-div 10.50c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxx18.6
DPS All xxxxxx18.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxx3,977.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxx16.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxx492.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxx10.41 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxx131.87 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxx14.70 %
Return on Assets xxxxxx9.48 %
Return on Equity xxxxxx131.87 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxx24.63 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxx154.3 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxx12 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxx2,467 M
Total Debt xxxxxx2,480 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxx2,083 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxx604 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxx31.07

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202220232024
Capex xxxxxx68.5 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxx1.72 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxx911 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxx2,370 M
Research & Development xxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxx565 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

22/08/2024

3

Equal-weight

$5.35

5.52%

Following Lottery Corp's in-line FY24 results, Morgan Stanley observes earnings for Lotteries marginally beat the consensus forecast and Keno missed by -2.3%.

The broker highlights a $250m revenue impact in FY24 from above-average jackpot sequencing.

The company's Digital market share rose by 250bps on the previous corresponding period to 40.9%.

The FY24 dividend of 18.5 cents included a 2.5 cent special dividend and represented a dividend payout ratio of 100% of FY24 profit before significant items.

Equal-weight rating. Target $5.35. Industry View: In-line.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 20.00 cents.

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

14/10/2024

3

Neutral

$5.40

6.51%

Coming away from Lottery Corp's investor day, the analysts at Goldman Sachs could envisage group margin expansion over time from the ongoing transition onto higher margin digital channels, aided by a relatively flexible cost base.

While digital should become the largest contributor to lotteries turnover in the long-term, retail remains a critical channel for Lottery Corp, driving strong brand awareness, explains the broker.

Supporting growth in digital channels is accelerating growth in usage by a younger demographic over the last year, explains Goldman. Ages of between 28-43 now represent the largest proportion of the company's registered customer group.

The Neutral rating and $5.40 target are unchanged.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

TLC STOCK CHART

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