INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP (INA)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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INA

INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP

FNArena Sector : Aged Care & Seniors
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: 5.66
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Ingenia Communities is an Australian property group that owns and operates a portfolio of lifestyle and holiday communities across Australia. It listed on the ASX in 2004.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$5.45

24 Mar
2025

-0.010

OPEN

$5.56

-0.18%

HIGH

$5.56

824,060

LOW

$5.45

TARGET
$6.303 15.7% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
EGH . LIC . OCA . REG .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
INA: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 3.4 28.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx N/A 12.5 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 78.2% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 19.2 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.3% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 44.1% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.18%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.07

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 23/08 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.4
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.3
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx484.5 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx370.5
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx82.2 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.89 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.92 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.63 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.58 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.92 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.78 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx750 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx754 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.29

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.95 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx184 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx172 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,261 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.7

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

26/02/2025

1

Buy

$6.50

19.27%

Citi notes Ingenia Communities' 1H25 was robust, with underlying profit up 58% year-on-year and implied EPS above consensus by 28%.

Management's FY25 guidance appears conservative to the analyst, with a projected slowdown in earnings growth over 2H25 of -22% to -28%.

Optimisation of costs boosted EBIT margins by 800 basis points, the broker states, and the implementation of growth strategies was characterised by robust volume growth.

Home sales of 190 were softer than 1H24, but interest rate cuts are expected to boost the outlook.

Citi retains a Buy rating, with expected medium-term earnings growth of 10%-15% aimed for. The target price lifts to $6.50 from $6.30.

FORECAST
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 11.30 cents and EPS of 32.80 cents.
Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 13.60 cents and EPS of 36.90 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Moelis

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

04/03/2025

2

Downgrade to Overweight from Buy

$6.40

17.43%

Ingenia Communities is executing well, Jarden observes, with first half results ahead of expectations. The risk to new FY25 guidance appears to the upside as volume and margins continue to expand.

The broker also welcomes management's view that organic growth will take precedence over potential industry consolidation.

As the shares are up 25% over the year to date Jarden downgrades to Overweight from Buy. Target is raised to $6.40 from $5.70.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 10.40 cents and EPS of 29.80 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 11.60 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

0

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx

xx.xx%

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INA STOCK CHART

FNArena News on INA

1
Rudi’s View: Post February Conviction Calls

Mar 13 2025 - Rudi's View
2
Post Bottom, Focus Shifts To A-REITs Potential

Mar 13 2025 - Feature Stories
3
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 07-03-25

Mar 07 2025 - Weekly Reports
4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Mar 04, 2025

Mar 04 2025 - Daily Market Reports
5
FNArena Corporate Results Monitor – 26-02-2025

Feb 26 2025 - Australia

Latest Aged Care & Seniors News

1
SMSFundamentals: Living Longer? Get Ready To Pay The Price! 

Jan 31 2025 - SMSFundamentals
2
Treasure Chest: Regis Healthcare

Sep 18 2024 - Treasure Chest
3
Treasure Chest: Lifestyle Communities En Vogue

Mar 19 2024 - Treasure Chest
4
Lifestyle Communities Enjoying Strong Demand

Feb 21 2022 - Small Caps
5
Aged Care Sector: Poised

Mar 16 2021 - Australia
6
Pressure Grows On Estia Health

Dec 10 2019 - Australia
7
Aveo Group Now A Binary Proposition

Jun 26 2019 - Australia
8
Aged Care Moves Into The RC Spotlight

Sep 20 2018 - Australia
9
Regis Healthcare In Strong Shape For FY19

Sep 04 2018 - Australia
10
Gateway Pays Up For Expansion

Mar 20 2018 - Small Caps