AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED (AEL)
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AEL

AEL - AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Crude Oil
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: 2.63
Index: ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$0.205

24 Jun
2025

0.005

OPEN

$0.20

2.50%

HIGH

$0.21

4,426,629

LOW

$0.20

TARGET
$0.26 26.8% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ALD . BHP . BPT . BRU . CRD . CVN . FAR . HE8 . HZN . KAR . MAY . VEA .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AEL: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 4.3 0.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 22.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic -0.7-5.0-1.7-0.6-2.6-4.3
DPS All 0.00.00.00.00.00.0
Sales/Revenue 76.0 M79.1 M131.6 M203.9 M196.9 M219.0 M
Book Value Per Share 25.020.218.730.518.915.8
Net Operating Cash Flow 9.5 M38.4 M8.1 M57.8 M62.8 M-99.8 M
Net Profit Margin -15.86 %-108.70 %-22.82 %-5.18 %-34.76 %-52.09 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed -2.75 %-21.92 %-8.88 %-2.56 %-13.76 %-24.95 %
Return on Invested Capital -1.99 %-14.17 %-5.66 %-1.88 %-10.71 %-17.27 %
Return on Assets -1.30 %-8.14 %-2.82 %-0.91 %-5.06 %-8.01 %
Return on Equity -2.75 %-21.92 %-8.88 %-2.56 %-13.76 %-24.95 %
Return on Total Capital -3.03 %-0.65 %-1.49 %3.33 %-1.64 %-2.93 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends -173.1 M-6.3 M-19.2 M42.5 M-188.5 M-151.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt 0 M27 M61 M38 M1 M1 M
Long Term Debt 214 M215 M169 M131 M153 M254 M
Total Debt 214 M242 M230 M169 M155 M255 M
Goodwill - Gross ------
Cash & Equivalents - Generic 164 M132 M91 M247 M77 M14 M
Price To Book Value 2.021.741.300.800.791.42

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex 194.6 M81.7 M34.6 M20.9 M275.6 M66.5 M
Capex % of Sales 256.01 %103.26 %26.27 %10.24 %139.92 %30.35 %
Cost of Goods Sold 77 M64 M124 M165 M186 M191 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other 17 M19 M16 M18 M22 M47 M
Research & Development ------
Investments - Total 22 M22 M11 M0 M1 M1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

02/04/2025

1

Add

$0.28

36.59%

Morgans' short-term conviction on oil has been weakened by the uncertain backdrop of trade war, prompting the broker to consider three oil price scenarios and their impact on oil stocks.

In the base-case scenario of a US$70-80/bbl price (vs US$74/bbl now), the broker didn't indicate any impact on Amplitude Energy. In the oversupply bear case scenario of a US$50-60/bbl price, the broker expects the company to be insulated due to its focus on gas.

And in the supply-crunch bull case of US$90-110/bbl price, the lack of oil sensitivity would possibly be a drag.

No change to forecasts following a regular review.

Add. Target unchanged at 28c.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Wilsons

22/04/2025

1

Upgrade to Overweight from Market Weight

$0.24

17.07%

Wilsons' notes Amplitude Energy's March quarter results were in line with consensus, with the highlight being the successful implementation of 7-day shutdown at Orbost and returning the plant to full capacity.

The broker believes the company will be able to manage its finances during phase 1 of the East Coast Supply Project, after the cost blow-out during the decommissioning phase.

The analyst cut FY25 production forecast by -2% but raised FY26 by 1%, and incorporated previously announced cost blow-out.

Target unchanged at 24c. Rating upgraded to Overweight from Market Weight on share price fall.

FORECAST
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.90 cents.
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.30 cents.

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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AEL STOCK CHART

FNArena News on AEL

1
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – May 29, 2025

May 29 2025 - Daily Market Reports
2
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 24-04-25

Apr 24 2025 - Weekly Reports
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Apr 22, 2025

Apr 23 2025 - Daily Market Reports
4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Apr 20, 2025

Apr 22 2025 - Daily Market Reports
5
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 17-04-25

Apr 17 2025 - Weekly Reports

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1
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Jun 05 2025 - International
2
Upping the East Coast Amplitude

Mar 28 2025 - Commodities
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8
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Crude Oil: Further Weakness Ahead

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