GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED (GYG)
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GYG - GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 6.18
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$40.50

04 Feb
2025

0.620

OPEN

$40.49

1.55%

HIGH

$41.07

511,283

LOW

$39.77

TARGET
$40.225 -0.7% downside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . CCL . CKF . COL . DMP . EDV . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GYG: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 13.6 15.4 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 255.6 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: N/A

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 N/A

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxx-13.6
DPS All xxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxx342.2 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxx349.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxx42.9 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxx-4.02 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxx-6.22 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxx-3.34 %
Return on Assets xxxxxx-2.79 %
Return on Equity xxxxxx-6.22 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxx1.76 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxx9.4 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxx22 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxx217 M
Total Debt xxxxxx239 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxx1 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxx294 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxx7.85

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202220232024
Capex xxxxxx33.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxx9.81 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxx272 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxx62 M
Research & Development xxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxx0 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

11/10/2024

3

Hold

$41.40

2.22%

Operationally, "Guzman y Gomez is flying", according to Morgans, after a 1Q trading update showed Australian (including Singapore and Japan) network sales rising by 21.1%, compared to the 19.4% consensus forecast.

For weeks 8-13, comparative sales growth accelerated to 10.2%, up from 7.4% in the first seven weeks. According to management, the uptick was due a strong delivery performance and successful execution of the ‘Clean is the New Healthy’ campaign.

Also, customer demand for value menu items such as the $12 Chicken Mini Meal provided a boost.

Morgans raises its underlying earnings (EBITDA) forecasts across FY25-27 by 7.4%, 6%, and 5.7%, respectively. The target is increased to $41.40 from $37.70. Hold.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.20 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 26.09 cents and EPS of 26.80 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

03/10/2024

5

Initiation of coverage with Sell

$33.20

-18.02%

Goldman Sachs is cautiously optimistic on the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) outlook because consumer sentiment is trending
positively and as interest rate expectations and recent tax cuts are now being factored in.

Recent elevated population growth and a forecast return to growth in real disposable income and consumption are other factors behind the broker's positive thesis.

The analysts commence coverage of high-quality QSR operator Guzman y Gomez with a Sell rating as the long-term store expansion goal appears overstated and due to an overblown valuation.

The valuation is currently based on US peers rather than taking into account market differences in Australia, suggests Goldman.

A $33.20 target is set.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

GYG STOCK CHART

FNArena News on GYG

1
Rudi’s View: Cochlear, Guzman y Gomez, SiteMinder, Wesfarmers & Xero

Jan 30 2025 - Rudi's View
2
Rudi’s View: Feb Season’s Best Buys & Key Picks

Jan 23 2025 - Rudi's View
3
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 17-01-25

Jan 20 2025 - Weekly Reports
4
Guzman y Gomez Defying Consumer Squeeze

Oct 15 2024 - Small Caps
5
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Oct 14, 2024

Oct 14 2024 - Daily Market Reports

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