LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED (TLC)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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TLC

TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gaming
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Consumer Services
Debt/EBITDA: 3.08
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$5.41

18 Aug
2025

-0.020

OPEN

$5.41

-0.37%

HIGH

$5.43

2,717,878

LOW

$5.39

TARGET
$5.51 1.8% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AGI . ALL . BBT . BET . JIN . LNW . PBH . PLY . SGR . SKC . TAH .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
TLC: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 18.6 16.1 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 18.5 16.3 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 56.4% - 13.4% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 23.3% - 12.2% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 32.8 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 99.4% 100.8% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.14%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.50

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 28/08 - ex-div 10.50c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxx18.6
DPS All xxxxxx18.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxx3,977.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxx16.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxx492.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxx10.41 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxx131.87 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxx14.70 %
Return on Assets xxxxxx9.48 %
Return on Equity xxxxxx131.87 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxx24.63 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxx154.3 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxx12 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxx2,467 M
Total Debt xxxxxx2,480 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxx2,083 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxx604 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxx31.07

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202220232024
Capex xxxxxx68.5 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxx1.72 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxx911 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxx2,370 M
Research & Development xxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxx565 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.2

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

04/07/2025

5

Downgrade to Sell from Buy

$5.00

-7.58%

Citi downgrades Lottery Corp to Sell from Buy with the target price declining to $5 from $5.60.

The company is due to report FY25 earnings on August 20, and the analyst anticipates a fall in earnings before interest and tax of around -13% to $628m.

Ongoing declines in Powerballs in May and June, with like-for-like Powerballs down circa -9% to June versus down -4% to April, are in part due to cannibalisation with Oz Lotto and increased player interest in Oz Lotto.

Citi reduces EPS forecasts by -3.1% for FY25 and -4.3% for FY26.

FORECAST
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 15.80 cents.
Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 16.90 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

(xx/xx/xxxx)

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

30/07/2025

3

Downgrade to Neutral from Overweight

$5.30

-2.03%

Jarden downgrades Lottery Corp to Neutral from Overweight, with a lower target price of $5.30 from $5.35, due to the stock's recent outperformance.

The company has appointed a new CEO, Wayne Pickup, who will replace Ms van der Merwe. He brings significant experience in the industry, having served as CEO of Allwyn's North America business and CEO of Lotto NZ, the analyst details.

Lottery Corp is due to report FY25 earnings on August 20, with aggregate jackpot levels having improved from the soft, below-trend period in 1H25.

Jarden believes consensus earnings downgrades have mitigated much of the risk to the FY25 earnings announcement.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.50 cents and EPS of 16.10 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 19.50 cents and EPS of 19.20 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

TLC STOCK CHART

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