AUB GROUP LIMITED (AUB)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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AUB

AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Insurance
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Insurance
Debt/EBITDA: 3.53
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AUB Group provides broking, underwriting and risk management services to clients in Australia and New Zealand. Formed in 1985 as Austbrokers Holdings, it became a listed company in 2005.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$37.29

30 Oct
2025

-0.060

OPEN

$37.24

-0.16%

HIGH

$37.98

701,729

LOW

$37.24

TARGET
$40.018 7.3% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
CVW . FCL . GDG . HLI . IAG . MPL . NHF . NOL . QBE . SDF . SUN . TWR .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AUB: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 154.5 182.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 91.0 104.2 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 22.9% 18.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 15.2% 14.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 20.3 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.9% 57.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.33%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.46

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/09 - ex-div 59c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx154.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx91.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,128.2 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,451.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx386.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.96 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.44 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.10 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.38 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx284.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx26 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx932 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx958 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,006 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,344 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.45

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.41 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx226 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx727 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Login above or Get a Free Trial

UBS

28/10/2025

3

Neutral

$35.50

-4.80%

Management at AUB Group has paused trading following reports suggesting potential private equity interest, with UBS noting speculation that Swedish-based EQT may be preparing a takeover bid.

The broker highlights strong global private equity activity in insurance broking, representing 60-70% of transactions, and sees local interest as unsurprising given recent sector takeovers and subdued valuations.

The analysts apply acquisition multiples from the Ardonagh/PSC Insurance deal (24.8x PE) which implies a valuation of around $47 per share for AUB Group, or $44 per share allowing for the company's typical discount.

UBS retains its $35.50 target price and Neutral rating.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 100.40 cents and EPS of 192.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 105.70 cents and EPS of 202.60 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

03/09/2025

2

Overweight

$37.20

-0.24%

A surprising international result helped AUB Group achieve a solid to better-than-expected FY25 earnings report. Underlying net profit after tax grew 17.1%.

Management's FY26 guidance is considered conservative, with potential for positive margin upside. The analyst's FY30 margin forecasts are around 100bps to 800bps below the company's ambitions, leaving scope for beats to expectations.

Jarden lowers its EPS forecasts by -3.8% for FY26 and -3.2% for FY27.

Overweight retained. Target slips to $37.20 from $38.25.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 105.00 cents and EPS of 190.70 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 117.00 cents and EPS of 213.30 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AUB STOCK CHART

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