HMC CAPITAL LIMITED (HMC)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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HMC

HMC - HMC CAPITAL LIMITED

Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: 9.1
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$4.53

16 Apr
2025

-0.090

OPEN

$4.56

-1.95%

HIGH

$4.63

2,429,599

LOW

$4.52

TARGET
$8.47 87.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AEF . AMP . ASX . AVC . BVS . CGF . CVW . DJW . ENN . GDC . GDG . GQG . HUB . IFL . IFT . IRE . KAM . KSL . MAF . MFG . MQG . NGI . NWL . PAC . PNI . PPS . PPT . PTM . QAL . RPL . RZI . WHF .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
HMC: 1
Title FY23
Actual
FY24
Actual
FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 18.9 50.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 12.0 12.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 3.0% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.0% 0.0% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 8.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.7% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 63.6% 23.6% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 1.62%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

2.66

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 27/08 - ex-div 6c (franking 70%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 20202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxx18.9
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxx12.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxx81.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxx328.0
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxx69.6 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxx81.08 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 20202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxx5.85 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxx5.84 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxx4.21 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxx5.85 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxx1.34 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxx27.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 20202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxx200 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxx2 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxx202 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxx49 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxx255 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxx2.20

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 20202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxx0.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxx0.00 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxx-
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxx59 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxx733 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

21/03/2025

1

Buy

$12.40

173.73%

UBS notes results for office REITs improved in the February reporting season and leasing spreads could improve as lower post-Covid leases are replaced, assuming typical 5-year lease terms. 

The broker believes Australian REITs are looking more supportive vs the local market and in a global context.

In the broker's recent meeting with investors, HMC Capital was discussed in the context of fund manager momentum and risks.

Buy rating and $12.40 target price.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 61.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 12.70 cents and EPS of 34.20 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

-1

xx xxxxxx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

13/03/2025

2

Upgrade to Overweight from Underweight

$8.65

90.95%

Jarden upgraded the rating on HMC Capital to Overweight from Underweight following the significant share price fall over the last three months.

The broker acknowledges ongoing challenges remain with its listed funds - HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW)) and Digico Infrastructure Reit Stapled Unit ((DGT)) but the price decline is still overdone.

The broker cut the target price to $8.65 from $9.95 to account for the risks in the uncertain macro environment but highlights a 17.5% upside risk if its 19% compounded growth for underlying EPS (FY25-28) comes to pass.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 28.90 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 33.10 cents.

HMC STOCK CHART