Daily Market Reports | Feb 12 2025
This story features ALLIGATOR ENERGY LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGE
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
Click on a symbol for fast access.
The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)
AGE AIM AYA BC8 BPT BRG BSL BWP CAR (2) CLW COH CPU CSL CTP DMP (3) DXC IPL JAN JBH (2) LIN MEI MEK MYX NCK NWC NWS PLS RKN SGM SWM TPW TTM WA1 WEB
AGE ALLIGATOR ENERGY LIMITED
Uranium – Overnight Price: $0.03
Petra Capital rates ((AGE)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital notes Alligator Energy ended the December quarter with $20.2m cash and received approval for the retention lease for the Samphire project in January.
The company is now on track to submit its operating plan in early February and this approval is needed before commencing onsite activities. The broker notes Alligator has been progressing with the resource, with an interim resource update expected in the March quarter.
Follow-up drilling is also expected at the Big Lake discovery this quarter, while assays are pending for a 22-hole drilling program completed at Nabarlek North in the Northern Territory.
Buy rating and 10c target price retained.
This report was published on February 3, 2025.
Target price is $0.10 Current Price is $0.03 Difference: $0.067
If AGE meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 203% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
AIM AI-MEDIA TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED
Commercial Services & Supplies – Overnight Price: $0.71
Petra Capital rates ((AIM)) as Initiation of coverage with Buy (1) –
Petra Capital has initiated coverage of AI-Media Technologies with a Buy recommendation and target price of $1.26.
The broker believes AI-Media is in the sweet spot to benefit from significant caption opportunities for both live and pre-recorded content across the Americas, Europe and the Asia Pacific region.
These include strong regulatory tailwinds demanding “fair-play” for those with hearing loss, and ever-increasing channels/genres requiring captioning and translation.
The broker’s gross margins estimates are set to expand from 64% to 83% over the life of the broker’s forecasts, driving an attractive 3-year compounded annual EBITDA forecast for FY25-27 of 46%.
The broker notes AI-Media has provided a longer-dated aspirational EBITDA target of $60m by FY29. If achieved, this would represent material upside to the target price.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $1.26 Current Price is $0.71 Difference: $0.545
If AIM meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 76% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 102.14.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.83.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
AYA ARTRYA LIMITED
Medical Equipment & Devices – Overnight Price: $0.86
Petra Capital rates ((AYA)) as Buy (1) –
Initial Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) review of Artrya’s 510(k) submission for its Salix Coronary Anatomy product has resulted in a request for additional information, Petra Capital notes.
This is minor and addressable but pushes out the approval by two months vs the broker’s previous estimate of end-March.
The broker now sees increased likelihood of a positive outcome. Meanwhile, key catalysts ahead of FDA approval are two new Australian radiology groups expected to come on board imminently, the broker highlights.
The broker has updated its model to reflect the recent placement of $5m at $0.42/sh vs its estimate of $30m raise in 2H25 at $0.60/sh. The analyst continues to assume another $25m raise in 2H25, at a higher price of $0.72/sh.
Buy rating maintained but target price is marginally lower at $2.20 from $2.21.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $0.86 Difference: $1.34
If AYA meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 156% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 14.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 5.85.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 34.40.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BC8 BLACK CAT SYNDICATE LIMITED
Gold & Silver – Overnight Price: $0.73
Petra Capital rates ((BC8)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital has resumed coverage of Black Cat Syndicate with a Buy rating and target price of $1.10.
The broker notes the company’s Paulsens gold mine hosts one of the highest-grade gold resources in Australia (407koz at 9.4g/t gold). First gold at Paulsens in December added to the company’s gold production at Myhree since October under an ore sale agreement.
The broker now forecasts Black Cat’s gold output at a run-rate of over 95kozpa by end-FY25, with a third production centre at Coyote from 2027 lifting group output to +140kozpa.
Petra highlights the company is fully funded for a sequential mine development path, unhedged and has no debt.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.73 Difference: $0.37
If BC8 meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 51% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.20.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.80.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BPT BEACH ENERGY LIMITED
Crude Oil – Overnight Price: $1.43
Canaccord Genuity rates ((BPT)) as Sell (5) –
Beach Energy’s 1H25 result was solid, benefitting from some “pay it forward” LNG swap arrangements, Canaccord Genuity highlights.
The broker notes the company’s true gearing is likely higher with the obligation to reverse these swaps and forgo future revenues, dampening cash flows in the near term.
Beach is still targeting first gas at Waitsia for 4Q25 but the broker notes there have been several issues with quality during the build, increasing the risk of a volatile commissioning process.
The broker made model revisions around the LNG swap cargoes, with minor adjustments to timing and cost recognition. This has resulted in slight upgrades to FY25 sales, EBITDA and net income.
Sell rating retained. Target price $1.28.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $1.28 Current Price is $1.43 Difference: minus $0.145 (current price is over target).
If BPT meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $1.52, suggesting upside of 6.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 16.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.64.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.2, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.1.
Forecast for FY26:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 13.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.48.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.6, implying annual growth of 16.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BRG BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED
Household & Personal Products – Overnight Price: $36.89
Goldman Sachs rates ((BRG)) as Buy (1) –
Breville Group notched up another feather in its cap, reporting a strong 1H25 result, with revenue growing 10.1% and net profit after tax rising 16.1%, boosted by lower interest costs, Goldman Sachs notes.
On balance, the results were better than the analyst’s expectations, with management guiding to earnings growth before interest and tax of 5%-10% for FY25, which is marginally below consensus expectations at the midpoint of forecasts.
Management highlighted there is some allowance in guidance for potential tariff impacts from the US. Including current tariff announcements, Breville is trending toward the upper end of guidance.
Goldman Sachs remains Buy-rated with a $40.80 target, pointing to long-term growth opportunities for Beanz, on top of direct market entry into the Middle East and China.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $40.80 Current Price is $36.89 Difference: $3.91
If BRG meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $37.19, suggesting upside of 2.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 93.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.67.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.5, implying annual growth of 13.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 109.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.84.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.7, implying annual growth of 14.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.9.
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BSL BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED
Steel & Scrap – Overnight Price: $21.79
Goldman Sachs rates ((BSL)) as Buy (1) –
In its 1H25 preview for Australian steel stocks Bluescope Steel and Sims Ltd ((SGM)), Goldman Sachs expects both to report close to trough EBIT. Low Asian steel spreads will impact Bluescope’s Australian steel earnings, and low scrap volumes and prices will impact Sims, the broker adds.
Goldman believes the steel and scrap demand outlook, impacts from proposed US steel tariffs, capex/growth & cost out programs, and 2H EBIT guidance will be key areas of focus. The broker highlights its EBIT forecasts would decline at spot price (forecasts assume US HRC price of US$770/st vs spot at US$720/st)
The broker expects the impact of potential US tariffs on US steel prices to be a key focus for the two company results but notes US Steel analyst highlighted Mexico and Canada steel imports are a small proportion of US imports. Goldman’s commodities team thinks an increase in tariffs (on top of the current 10% tariff rates) on US steel imports, could result in higher US domestic steel prices relative to ex-US prices.
In the case of Bluescope, the broker forecasts 1H25 EBIT of $291m vs company guidance of $270-310m and consensus of $295m. For the 2H, the broker’s forecast is $526m vs $406m consensus based on a modest improvement in steel spread.
Buy rating and $26.7 target price.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $26.70 Current Price is $21.79 Difference: $4.91
If BSL meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $23.73, suggesting upside of 8.6%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.81.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.9, implying annual growth of -58.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.2.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 228.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.56.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 192.7, implying annual growth of 157.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BWP BWP TRUST
REITs – Overnight Price: $3.43
Moelis rates ((BWP)) as Hold (3) –
BWP Trust reported 1H25 distributable income of $65.7m ($66.1m underlying with $0.4m in retained earnings) which Moelis notes is the first time in five years the trust distributed less than its underlying earnings.
The broker notes the trust is contemplating a number of large redevelopment projects at sites where Bunnings is vacating. To date though, BWP’s capital commitments remain limited, with the analyst estimating gearing remains below 23%, leaving it with plenty of capacity for acquisitive growth.
Hold rating maintained and target price rises slightly to $3.76 from $3.74.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $3.76 Current Price is $3.43 Difference: $0.33
If BWP meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 18.60 cents and EPS of 18.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.24.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 19.10 cents and EPS of 19.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.50.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CAR CAR GROUP LIMITED
Automobiles & Components – Overnight Price: $37.30
Goldman Sachs rates ((CAR)) as Buy (1) –
After an uncharacteristic earnings miss for CAR Group in the first half, Goldman Sachs retains a Buy rating but lowers the target price to $43.90 from $45.2.
The broker explains a deferred US price rise and weaker Australian revenue across Private, Dealer, and Display segments led to a -2% earnings (EBITDA) miss against consensus, while net debt increased to $1.07bn due to currency impacts.
More positively, Latin America earnings exceeded the analysts’ estimate by 10%, benefiting from strong audience trends, product uptake and yield growth. It’s also felt the outlook for the Korean business has improved.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $43.90 Current Price is $37.30 Difference: $6.6
If CAR meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $41.63, suggesting upside of 10.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 90.00 cents and EPS of 100.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.30.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.7, implying annual growth of 47.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 82.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 88.00 cents and EPS of 109.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.22.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.9, implying annual growth of 14.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 93.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.6.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((CAR)) as Underweight (4) –
Despite a -2% miss to its forecast, Jarden believes Car Group’s 1H25 update showed good operating momentum. The broker notes market expectations were high, resulting in -6.5% sell-off on the day.
The broker lowered its FY25 group EBITDA and net profit forecasts by -1.2% and -3.0% respectively after accounting for a delay to US price increases, softer revenue outlook in Australia, continued strength in Brazil, and FX.
Target price drops to $34.6 from $35.5. Underweight rating maintained.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $34.60 Current Price is $37.30 Difference: minus $2.7 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $41.63, suggesting upside of 10.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 80.10 cents and EPS of 98.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.79.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.7, implying annual growth of 47.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 82.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 92.60 cents and EPS of 115.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.27.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.9, implying annual growth of 14.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 93.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.6.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CLW CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT
REITs – Overnight Price: $3.87
Jarden rates ((CLW)) as Underweight (4) –
Jarden believes Charter Hall Long WALE REIT CLW made good progress in improving its portfolio and capital structure but notes rental growth is slowing in a lower inflationary environment.
The broker expects the weighted average cost of debt to increase by 100bps over the next 18 months, putting pressure on earnings.
The broker reckons new asset recycling initiatives could boost this growth, but could be challenging given the cost of capital.
The analysts lowered FY25 and FY26 EPS forecasts by -0.3% and -4.0% respectively. Underweight rating and $3.8 target price.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $3.87 Difference: minus $0.07 (current price is over target).
If CLW meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $4.00, suggesting upside of 4.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 24.90 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.48.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 24.50 cents and EPS of 24.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.73.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.5, implying annual growth of -2.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
COH COCHLEAR LIMITED
Medical Equipment & Devices – Overnight Price: $301.95
Jarden rates ((COH)) as Neutral (3) –
Following a global survey of audiologists/ENT surgeons involved with cochlear implants, Jarden remains comfortable with its forecast for cochlear implant (CI) unit growth of 9.9% for Cochlear in 1H25 vs consensus of 8.4%.
Looking into FY26, the broker notes the company’s CI unit growth is well supported by its win of a 3-year Chinese Government tender and further upside from the Indian Government recommencing tender shortly.
The broker does not see Cochlear’s growth profile challenged medium term as its brand continues to build confidence amongst the adult and elderly cohorts to address their hearing loss. Another upgrade cycle would be kicked off by the launch of Kanso 3, the broker forecasts.
The survey resulted in no changes to the broker’s 1H25 earnings forecasts but, importantly, it has substantially reduced the risk of an earnings miss.
Neutral rating and $263.75 target price.
This report was published on February 8, 2025.
Target price is $263.75 Current Price is $301.95 Difference: minus $38.2 (current price is over target).
If COH meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $295.90, suggesting downside of -2.4%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 461.40 cents and EPS of 656.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.98.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 649.7, implying annual growth of 19.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 457.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 546.20 cents and EPS of 778.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.81.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 720.4, implying annual growth of 10.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 504.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.1.
Market Sentiment: -0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CPU COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED
Diversified Financials – Overnight Price: $35.96
Goldman Sachs rates ((CPU)) as Neutral (3) –
At first glance, Computershare reported a robust 1H25 result, notes Goldman Sachs, with management providing a positive FY25 EPS guidance upgrade to 135c per share, versus previous guidance at 126c per share.
The analyst highlights the company’s three divisions performed well, including Issuer Services, Employee Share Plans, and Corporate Trust, where revenue advanced on the back of transaction and event-based growth.
Margin income benefited from increased balances.
The stock remains Buy-rated with a $35.50 target price.
This report was published on February 12, 2025.
Target price is $35.50 Current Price is $35.96 Difference: minus $0.46 (current price is over target).
If CPU meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $34.86, suggesting downside of -12.6%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 96.00 cents and EPS of 192.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.70.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 207.2, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 100.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 87.00 cents and EPS of 195.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.41.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.4, implying annual growth of 2.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 105.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CSL CSL LIMITED
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences – Overnight Price: $256.96
Wilsons rates ((CSL)) as Market Weight (3) –
CSL beat forecasts for Behring and Vifor in the 1H25 result but Seqirus’ performance missed, Wilsons notes. The company reaffirmed FY25 net profit guidance of US$3.2-$3.3bn and gross margin increase of over 100bps for Behring.
The broker raised FY25 net profit estimate by 0.8% to US$3.2bn, noting it is at the lower end of CSL guidance. The analyst marginally raised FY25 EPS forecast but lowered FY26 by -4.4%, with the downgrade centred on Seqirus.
The broker’s valuation is based on DCF which in USD terms is down -18%, but translates to -14% in AUD terms. New target price is $250.
Market Weight rating maintained with the broker reiterating CSL remains relatively expensive compared to global biopharma.
This report was published on February 12, 2025.
Target price is $250.00 Current Price is $256.96 Difference: minus $6.96 (current price is over target).
If CSL meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $331.26, suggesting upside of 29.4%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 442.48 cents and EPS of 1008.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.47.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 1035.8, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 473.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 482.30 cents and EPS of 1075.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.90.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 1200.0, implying annual growth of 15.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 538.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CTP CENTRAL PETROLEUM LIMITED
NatGas – Overnight Price: $0.06
Wilsons rates ((CTP)) as No Rating (-1) –
Following a site tour on Feb 10-11, Wilsons concludes Central Petroleum showcased a sharpened strategic focus and a clear path to value creation.
The company is looking to increase sales gas volumes and realise higher gas prices in the short-term within a tightening Northern Territory gas market.
The broker notes investor sentiment seemed to be at a recent high driven by recent drilling results, improved capital discipline measures and expectations of $7m per annum free cash flow from March 26.
Central Petroleum is not rated. No target price.
This report was published on February 12, 2025.
Current Price is $0.06. Target price not assessed.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DMP DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
Food, Beverages & Tobacco – Overnight Price: $34.73
Goldman Sachs rates ((DMP)) as Buy (1) –
Following Domino’s Pizza’s trading update and announcement to close a further -205 stores, Goldman Sachs has revised underlying EBIT lower for FY25 and FY26 by -2% and -5% respectively.
The broker agrees with the strategic pivot to refocus on unit economics as a first step and is encouraged by the swift action of the new CEO Mark van Dyck.
However, comfort around same-store sales growth inflection to positive momentum, especially in Japan and France, will be most critical for the path forward, Goldman notes.
Buy rating maintained and target price is $38.3.
This report was published on February 9, 2025.
Target price is $38.30 Current Price is $34.73 Difference: $3.57
If DMP meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $35.01, suggesting upside of 2.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 109.00 cents and EPS of 138.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.17.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 131.3, implying annual growth of 23.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 109.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.0.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 131.00 cents and EPS of 165.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.05.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 155.5, implying annual growth of 18.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 126.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.0.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((DMP)) as Overweight (2) –
Jarden believes Dominos Pizza delivered a surprisingly positive update, with the new CEO prioritising efficiency and strategic growth.
The broker is growing confident the company has passed the earnings trough, and cash flow will improve and ROIC will lift.
The analyst notes the new CEO signalled no more major store closures with a focus on strategic growth from here.
Given increased cost-out targets and benefits from closures, the broker sees the risks for its FY25 EBIT forecasts potentially skewed to the upside.
Target price lifts to $41 from $40. Overweight rating maintained.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $41.00 Current Price is $34.73 Difference: $6.27
If DMP meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $35.01, suggesting upside of 2.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 146.00 cents and EPS of 139.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.86.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 131.3, implying annual growth of 23.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 109.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.0.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 189.00 cents and EPS of 175.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.74.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 155.5, implying annual growth of 18.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 126.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.0.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Petra Capital rates ((DMP)) as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) –
Domino’s Pizza’s 1H25 trading update was in line with consensus, notes Petra Capital, with the company announcing savings of $15.5m from the closure of -205 stores and other cost savings of $18.6m.
Whilst France remains challenged, Japan (plus other Asian markets) appears to be past its lows, Germany is rebounding, and ANZ is holding against strong same-store sales, Petra observes.
The broker has factored in the store closures but made no material change to its net cost savings profile at this stage.
The analyst notes for the first time in a long while, there are now more markets showing positive trends vs negative, and hence lowered the beta used in its DCF valuation.
Target price rises to $40 from $32, and rating upgraded to Buy from Hold.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $40.00 Current Price is $34.73 Difference: $5.27
If DMP meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $35.01, suggesting upside of 2.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 109.40 cents and EPS of 136.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.41.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 131.3, implying annual growth of 23.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 109.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.0.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 124.10 cents and EPS of 155.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.41.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 155.5, implying annual growth of 18.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 126.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.0.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DXC DEXUS CONVENIENCE RETAIL REIT
REITs – Overnight Price: $2.92
Moelis rates ((DXC)) as Buy (1) –
Following Dexus Convenience Retail REIT’s 1H25 result, Moelis lowered its earnings profile slightly, taking a more conservative view of cost inflation and occupancy.
The broker highlights cost inflation continues to run ahead of rent growth, resulting in EBIT margin falling year on year to 71.9% from 72.2%.
The broker expects gearing to reach 34% by FY27 without valuation growth, from 28.7% in December. With modest valuation growth, the broker expects below 32% gearing.
The broker continues to believe the stock is meaningfully undervalued, with its current implied cap rate of 7.4% representing an attractive discount to direct market evidence. Buy rating retained and target price is $3.39.
This report was published on February 9, 2025.
Target price is $3.39 Current Price is $2.92 Difference: $0.47
If DXC meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.23, suggesting upside of 10.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 20.60 cents and EPS of 20.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.11.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.6, implying annual growth of 734.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 21.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.84.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.5, implying annual growth of 4.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
IPL INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED
Agriculture – Overnight Price: $2.90
Goldman Sachs rates ((IPL)) as Buy (1) –
Incitec Pivot lowered FY25 production expectations by -7% to 740-800kt due to sulphuric acid supply interruptions and recent Queensland weather events which resulted in rail line closure between Phosphate Hill and Townsville.
Goldman Sachs had previously forecast 825kt production but notes the revised guidance is set against spot DAP fertilizer and forex that imply substantial upside vs current segment/group earnings.
As such, the broker sees an upside of $140m from the two vs a downside of -$50m from reduced manufacturing. Buy rating and $3.35 target retained.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $3.35 Current Price is $2.90 Difference: $0.45
If IPL meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.22, suggesting upside of 12.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in September.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.11.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.6, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.26.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.5, implying annual growth of 16.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
JAN JANISON EDUCATION GROUP LIMITED
Education & Tuition – Overnight Price: $0.20
Wilsons rates ((JAN)) as Market Weight (3) –
Janison Education’s 1H25 revenue of $22.7 missed Wilsons’ forecast by -4%, driven by a lower outcome across solutions and assessments segment. Gross profit margin and EBITDA also missed forecasts, though net cash was ahead.
The broker is heartened by the significant improvement in pipeline, up 280% year on year at $16m, but highlights execution and conversion are key.
The broker has pushed back its expectations for a more notable uplift in growth through FY27 vs 2H26 previously. Target price lowered to 22c from 25c. Rating maintained at Market Weight.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $0.22 Current Price is $0.20 Difference: $0.025
If JAN meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 13.93.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.93.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
JBH JB HI-FI LIMITED
Consumer Electronics – Overnight Price: $99.73
Goldman Sachs rates ((JBH)) as Sell (5) –
Goldman Sachs reckons JB Hi-Fi’s 1H25 result was largely in line but slightly weaker than expected gross profit margin signals persistent competition.
The broker tweaked its forecasts slightly, raising FY25 EPS estimate by 0.2% but lowering FY26 by -1.2%.
Sell rating maintained. The broker notes the company is trading on FY26 P/E estimate of 21x vs historical average of 13x.
Target price $73.9.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $73.90 Current Price is $99.73 Difference: minus $25.83 (current price is over target).
If JBH meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately minus 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $94.31, suggesting downside of -5.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 281.00 cents and EPS of 430.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.19.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 429.7, implying annual growth of 7.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 306.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 300.00 cents and EPS of 459.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.73.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 459.0, implying annual growth of 6.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 312.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((JBH)) as Neutral (3) –
Jarden describes JB Hi-Fi’s 1H25 update as another high-quality result, characterised by market share gains, cost control and gross margin decline.
The result was 7% ahead of Jarden’s forecasts, leading to a 3-6% upgrade in FY25-27 EPS estimates that reflected the beat and strong 2H25 trading update.
The broker believes there is a clear focus on value, with around 26 references to competition discounting on the call, more than twice the average of the past 10 result calls.
This was attributed to consumers actively seeking floor discounts and is likely to see further pressure on margins into 2H25, Jarden notes.
Target price rises to $95.8 from $84.0. Neutral rating maintained, with the broker reiterating a preference for Harvey Norman ((HVN)), Flight Centre ((FLT)), Domino’s Pizza ((DMP)) and Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE)) across consumer stocks.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $95.80 Current Price is $99.73 Difference: minus $3.93 (current price is over target).
If JBH meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $94.31, suggesting downside of -5.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 277.00 cents and EPS of 426.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.40.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 429.7, implying annual growth of 7.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 306.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 304.00 cents and EPS of 467.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.35.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 459.0, implying annual growth of 6.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 312.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
LIN LINDIAN RESOURCES LIMITED
Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina – Overnight Price: $0.10
Petra Capital rates ((LIN)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital notes Lindian is fully permitted to commence operations and has commenced non-processing infrastructure work. While the current REO price environment remains weak near term, the broker believes Lindian represents an outstanding value proposition.
The broker pushed out its forecast maiden production/sales timeline to June quarter 2026 from late-2025/early 2026 before.
The broker has also adopted a more conservative ramp-up profile in FY27 with production/sales at 75% of 450ktpa nameplate capacity from 100% before.
Additionally, the analyst has added $30m of new equity into the forecast funding mix ($15m in FY25 at 10c/sh, and A$15m in FY26 at 20c/sh. The increase in dilution reduces the target by -22% to $0.50 from $0.63.
Buy rating maintained.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $0.50 Current Price is $0.10 Difference: $0.4
If LIN meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 400% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 50.00.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 16.67.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MEI METEORIC RESOURCES NL
Gold & Silver – Overnight Price: $0.08
Petra Capital rates ((MEI)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital highlights Meteoric Resources’ drilling update from its Agostinho license at the flagship Caldeira project confirmed more high-grade mineralisation, and a higher proportion of valuable magnet rare earths.
The results will be included in the June quarter update, and the broker reiterates its view the economics outlined in the maiden scoping study are likely to improve in the pre-feasibility study (PFS).
The broker reminds Meteoric’s selection as the only mining company in Brazil’s Climate and Ecological Transformation Investment Platform signals the potential for low-cost debt or grants.
The upcoming PFS (June quarter) may provide a catalyst and strengthen the company’s case for international government funding support, the analyst believes.
Buy rating maintained and target price is 24c.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $0.24 Current Price is $0.08 Difference: $0.162
If MEI meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 208% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 13.00.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 78.00.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MEK MEEKA METALS LIMITED
Gold & Silver – Overnight Price: $0.12
Petra Capital rates ((MEK)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital notes the latest development update confirms work remains both on schedule and on budget at Meeka Metals’ Murchison Gold Project.
The broker forecasts maiden year (FY26) gold production of 46koz, predominantly from open pit ore, ramping up to 61koz in FY27 on increased tonnages of higher-grade feed.
Buy rating and 14c target price maintained.
This report was published on February 3, 2025.
Target price is $0.14 Current Price is $0.12 Difference: $0.015
If MEK meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 62.50.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.38.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MYX MAYNE PHARMA GROUP LIMITED
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences – Overnight Price: $5.64
Canaccord Genuity rates ((MYX)) as Buy (1) –
Canaccord Genuity notes Mayne Pharma’s 1H25 trading update was positive, with revenue of $210-215m beating its forecast of $203m.
There was limited detail on segment specifics, and the broker is looking forward to the half-year result on 26 February for more colour and cost outlook.
The broker sees a likely material upgrade to FY25 and FY26 expectations, noting its forecast is for FY25 sales of $422m and underlying EBITDA of $49m.
Buy rating and $6.25 target price maintained.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $6.25 Current Price is $5.64 Difference: $0.61
If MYX meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NCK NICK SCALI LIMITED
Furniture & Renovation – Overnight Price: $17.12
Jarden rates ((NCK)) as Downgrade to Overweight from Buy (2) –
Nick Scali delivered a strong 1H25 result with net profit beating Jarden’s forecast by 17%. Gross profit margin (GPM) for Australia/NZ of 64.4% beat the consensus of 62.8%, and the UK margin of 45.1% beat 42.9% consensus.
The broker notes trading update for Australia/NZ was weak but the outlook for UK margins remained strong.
The broker lowered FY25 net profit estimate by -2% and increased FY26 by 6%, driven by revenue downgrades on a slower store rollout and softer trading update, offset by GPM upgrades.
Target price rises to $18.5 but rating downgraded to Overweight from Buy on valuation and execution risk.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $18.50 Current Price is $17.12 Difference: $1.38
If NCK meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $16.57, suggesting downside of -2.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 71.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.04.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 72.3, implying annual growth of -26.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 90.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.92.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 99.7, implying annual growth of 37.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NWC NEW WORLD RESOURCES LIMITED
Copper – Overnight Price: $0.02
Petra Capital rates ((NWC)) as Buy (1) –
New World Resources’ has commenced a 12-month Federal permit approval for its high-grade Antler Copper Project in Arizona.
Petra Capital highlights this is the only required Federal permit and is expected to be finalised throughout the course of 2025.
Based on the current anticipated permitting timeline and project schedule, the company is targeting first concentrate production in mid-2027 which is in line with the broker’s forecast.
The broker has revised forecast equity component of project funding and working capital to $150m at 3c/sh for 4.5m new shares from $165m at 4c/sh for 3.75m new shares. The increased dilution lowers the target price to 9c from 10c.
Rating remains at Buy.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $0.09 Current Price is $0.02 Difference: $0.069
If NWC meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 329% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.00.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.00.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NWS NEWS CORPORATION
Print, Radio & TV – Overnight Price: $54.35
Jarden rates ((NWS)) as Overweight (2) –
News Corp’s 2Q25 result beat Jarden and consensus forecasts, with revenue growing 6% vs the broker/consensus 2% estimate.
Jarden has lifted its FY25 EBITDA estimate by 2% as a result of the 2Q25 beat and a higher contribution from news media business, modestly offset by unfavourable FX movements in its 3Q/4Q25 estimates.
FY26 EBITDA forecast was raised by 2.7% on higher expectations for the lower-margin news media business.
Target price rises to $54.6 from $50.2, mostly due to an increase in REA Group’s ((REA)) share price and standalone valuation.
Overweight rating maintained, with the broker reiterating its continued preference for News Corp as a better way to gain exposure to REA.
This report was published on February 8, 2025.
Target price is $54.60 Current Price is $54.35 Difference: $0.25
If NWS meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $58.17, suggesting upside of 7.6%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.52 cents and EPS of 128.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.46.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 135.5, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.9.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 30.52 cents and EPS of 137.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.58.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 164.5, implying annual growth of 21.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9.
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PLS PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED
New Battery Elements – Overnight Price: $2.12
Jarden rates ((PLS)) as Buy (1) –
Pilbara Minerals pre-announced some outcomes ahead of the 1H25 result on February 20 and Jarden notes while they are mostly non-cash, the 1H performance was weaker than its expectation.
Specifically, the broker notes the company’s estimated 1H25 EBITDA of $45-49m is below its own $52m forecast.
Estimated reported net loss of -$68-71m is materially lower than Jarden’s -$33m forecast due to several expenses associated with the company’s downstream investment strategy.
The broker has reduced FY25 EBITDA estimate by -4%. Buy rating and $2.6 target price retained.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.12 Difference: $0.48
If PLS meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.61, suggesting upside of 22.2%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 530.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.6, implying annual growth of -93.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 356.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.62.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.7, implying annual growth of 850.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.5.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
RKN RECKON LIMITED
Accountancy – Overnight Price: $0.51
Moelis rates ((RKN)) as Buy (1) –
Reckon’s FY24 revenue was slightly higher than Moelis’ forecast but the EBITDA margin of 37.3% was lower than the 38.0% estimate.
The broker notes capitalised software development of $14.8m was flat vs FY23, resulting in free cash flow of $1.7m and providing capacity to fund the 2.5c dividend.
The analyst estimates drawn debt will rise to over $9m in FY25 as Cashflow Manager and the Legal Group growth strategy are funded, with the final $1.25m payment tranche for Cashflow due in 2026.
The broker raised FY25 revenue estimate but lowered EPS forecast by -3.8% reflecting a moderately higher amortisation expense run rate than previously estimated.
Target price 76c and Buy rating maintained.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $0.76 Current Price is $0.51 Difference: $0.25
If RKN meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 49% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.50 cents and EPS of 4.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.44.
Forecast for FY26:
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SGM SIMS LIMITED
Steel & Scrap – Overnight Price: $13.51
Goldman Sachs rates ((SGM)) as Neutral (3) –
In its 1H25 preview for Australian steel stocks Bluescope Steel ((BSL)) and Sims Ltd, Goldman Sachs expects both to report close to trough EBIT. Low Asian steel spreads will impact Bluescope’s Australian steel earnings, and low scrap volumes and prices will impact Sims, the broker adds.
Goldman believes the steel and scrap demand outlook, impacts from proposed US steel tariffs, capex/growth & cost out programs, and 2H EBIT guidance will be key areas of focus. The broker highlights its EBIT forecasts would decline at spot price (forecasts assume US HRC price of US$770/st vs spot at US$720/st)
The broker expects the impact of potential US tariffs on US steel prices to be a key focus for the two company results but notes US Steel analyst highlighted Mexico and Canada steel imports are a small proportion of US imports. Goldman’s commodities team thinks an increase in tariffs (on top of the current 10% tariff rates) on US steel imports, could result in higher US domestic steel prices relative to ex-US prices.
In the case of Sims, the broker forecasts 1H25 underlying EBIT of $69m vs $71m consensus. For the 2H, the broker’s forecast is $202m vs $90m consensus based on EBITDA/EBIT margin of $72/t and $42/t respectively.
The broker highlights recent acquisitions such as Baltimore Scrap (Nov 23) & Northeast Metal Traders (May 23) in the US should boost US volumes by 6% year on year.
Neutral rating and $15.5 target price.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $15.50 Current Price is $13.51 Difference: $1.99
If SGM meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $13.26, suggesting downside of -1.2%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 90.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.01.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.6, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.1.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 68.00 cents and EPS of 171.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.90.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 98.0, implying annual growth of 97.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SWM SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED
Print, Radio & TV – Overnight Price: $0.17
Goldman Sachs rates ((SWM)) as Sell (5) –
Goldman Sachs points to a weaker-than-expected 1H25 net profit after tax for Seven West Media, but management noted some green shoots at the start of 2H25.
Bookings are trending up at a low single-digit rate for the start of 3Q25, with management anticipating slight earnings growth over the second half, post the loss of high single-digit earnings from Meta, the analyst explains.
The Federal election and Sports BVOD are highlighted as two positives for the current fiscal year. Management retained cost guidance, including flat costs for FY26.
The broker lifts earnings estimates by 14%, from 11% growth for FY25, on higher revenues and a better advertising outlook.
The target price rises to 13c, up 8%. No change to the Sell rating.
This report was published on February 11, 2025.
Target price is $0.13 Current Price is $0.17 Difference: minus $0.045 (current price is over target).
If SWM meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately minus 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.17, suggesting downside of -7.4%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.38.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.9, implying annual growth of 32.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.38.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of 2.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.5.
Market Sentiment: -0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
TPW TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED
Furniture & Renovation – Overnight Price: $14.25
Canaccord Genuity rates ((TPW)) as Buy (1) –
Ahead of Temple & Webster’s 1H25 result on 13 February, Canaccord Genuity forecasts revenue of $313m vs consensus of $309m, reflecting continued positive trading momentum through the period.
The broker is slightly above consensus for full-year revenue estimate too.
The broker expects the company to continue growing its market share through a step-up in brand investment across a multi-channel
campaign amidst a challenging furniture and homewares market in Australia.
The analyst notes expectations remain elevated leading into the result, with the stock rallying over 50% over the previous six months and trading at all-time highs.
Buy rating and $13 target price maintained.
This report was published on February 10, 2025.
Target price is $13.00 Current Price is $14.25 Difference: minus $1.25 (current price is over target).
If TPW meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $12.52, suggesting downside of -12.2%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 203.57.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.6, implying annual growth of 340.0%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 215.9.
Forecast for FY26:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 95.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.1, implying annual growth of 159.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 83.3.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
TTM TITAN MINERALS LIMITED
Gold & Silver – Overnight Price: $0.47
Canaccord Genuity rates ((TTM)) as Speculative Buy (1) –
Resource drilling at Titan Minerals’ Cerro Verde deposit within the broader Dynasty Gold Project in Ecuador uncovered yet another new vein, offering potential resource growth opportunities, Canaccord Genuity notes.
The broker expects drilling results at regular time intervals over the coming months, also noting results are pending for three completed holes at Cerro Verde and a further six from Iguana.
Rating remains at Speculative Buy and target price is $1.1.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.47 Difference: $0.625
If TTM meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately 132% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
WA1 WA1 RESOURCES LIMITED
Industrial Metals – Overnight Price: $14.01
Canaccord Genuity rates ((WA1)) as Speculative Buy (1) –
WA1 Resources released ferroniobium (FeNb) assay results from a sample it produced with concentrate generated from its metallurgical test work program for Luni deposit, which exceeded its expectations.
Canaccord Genuity highlights in two years the company has gone from discovery to delivering a resource and setting the foundation for a processing flow sheet to unlock value from Luni.
The broker sees these results as a major de-risking step for WA1 as it progresses Luni. Speculative Buy rating maintained and target price is $28.
This report was published on February 6, 2025.
Target price is $28.00 Current Price is $14.01 Difference: $13.99
If WA1 meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately 100% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
WEB WEB TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism – Overnight Price: $5.11
Canaccord Genuity rates ((WEB)) as Initiation of coverage with Buy (1) –
Canaccord Genuity has initiated coverage of Web Travel Group with a Buy rating and target price of $6.3.
The broker believes the company retains a strong investment case supported by the high probability of above-market revenue growth (beyond its FY30 target) coupled with a 40%-Plus EBITDA margin outcome.
The broker values Web on a blend of DCF, price-earnings and EV/EBITDA multiple methodologies. The DCF valuation is $6.70, price-earnings valuation works out to $6.40 while EV/EBITDA based on 11x FY26 multiple is $5.70.
The blended average of those methodologies is a target price of $6.3 per share.
This report was published on February 7, 2025.
Target price is $6.30 Current Price is $5.11 Difference: $1.19
If WEB meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.54, suggesting upside of 9.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY25:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.89.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.9, implying annual growth of 5.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 26.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.3, implying annual growth of 37.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don’t have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide experienced, intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface.
This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.
Decisions about inclusions in this Report are made independently of the providers of stock market research and at full discretion of the team of journalists responsible for content at FNArena. Inclusion does not equal endorsement, in any way, shape or form. This Report is provided for informational purposes only.
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