CHALLENGER LIMITED (CGF)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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CGF

CGF - CHALLENGER LIMITED

Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Diversified Financials
Debt/EBITDA: N/A
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Challenger Ltd is an Australian financial company that specialises in superannuation and annuities. It claims to be Australia's largest guaranteed income provider. Founded in 1985 it was listed in 2003.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$9.00

12 Nov
2025

-0.020

OPEN

$9.06

-0.22%

HIGH

$9.06

1,674,575

LOW

$8.84

TARGET
$9.523

+0.21 change from previous day

5.8% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
CGF: 1
Title FY24
Actual
FY25
Actual
FY26
Forecast
FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 28.0 64.2 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 29.5 30.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 47.5% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 11.3% 1.7% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 14.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.4% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 105.4% 46.8% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.06%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

3.30

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 26/08 - ex-div 13.50c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.0
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx29.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,116.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx563.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx399.6 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.17 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.97 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.62 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.56 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.97 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.99 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx208.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6,936 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,332 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,268 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx580 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx650 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.43

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.2 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.01 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx802 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32,809 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

7
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx xx xxxxx-xxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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xx/xx/xxxx

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xxx

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

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xxx

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UBS

06/11/2025

1

Buy

$11.00

22.22%

Following the release of APRA's draft annuity capital standards, Challenger has provided its preliminary views on likely impacts, outlining excess capital benefits, broadly in line with UBS' previous estimates.

Longer-term benefits appear more favourable, the broker suggests, increasing the likelihood of further medium-term capital benefits from a mix-shift to fixed income and providing greater resilience to asset market shocks.

UBS now incorporates conservative benefits into its earnings and valuation outlook, leading to an increase in target to $11.00 from $10.10. Buy retained.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 69.00 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

10/11/2025

2

Overweight

$9.20

2.22%

Jarden expects Challenger to unlock at least $1.2bn of surplus capital over the next two to three years following the implementation of APRA’s new capital standards.

The broker highlights a potential early release of $442m in July 2026 and further upside from reduced growth asset exposure and a lower capital target range.

The analysts point to deployment options including buybacks, higher annuity rates, or acquisitions, with buybacks potentially lifting return on equity (ROE) by around 310bps to 15%.

Jarden views the structural backdrop as supportive and sees risks skewed to the upside. The broker maintains an Overweight rating and a $9.20 target.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 65.50 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 29.20 cents and EPS of 69.10 cents.

CGF STOCK CHART