AGL ENERGY LIMITED (AGL)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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AGL

AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 1.97
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AGL Energy owns and operates several power stations and is developing several renewable energy projects. The company also supplies gas for residential and commercial use. AGL was the second company to list on the Sydney stock exchange in 1871.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.23

29 Aug
2025

0.200

OPEN

$8.08

2.49%

HIGH

$8.35

6,002,374

LOW

$8.08

TARGET
$10.748 30.6% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AIA . ALX . APA . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNE . GNP . MEZ . ORG . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AGL: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 14.6 90.1 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 48.0 47.6 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx - 21.3% - 0.8% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 9.2 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 5.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 52.9% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 6.58%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.80

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 27/08 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.6
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx48.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,393.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx722.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx841.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.68 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1.90 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1.22 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-0.62 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1.90 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.14 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-674.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx238 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,069 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,307 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,220 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx742 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.35

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,125.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.82 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx12,596 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,051 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx939 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

14/08/2025

1

Upgrade to Buy from Neutral

$10.65

29.40%

AGL Energy's soft FY25 report has put the share price under pressure, but UBS is suggesting the market is too short-sighted. At the current price margin compression is being accounted for, but not the EPS upside longer term.

Hence, the broker has upgraded to Buy from Neutral.

UBS argues cheap legacy gas and coal supply contracts expiring and being replaced with higher cost fuels is now factored in, but this impact can be entirely overwhelmed by new earnings from accelerated investment in grid-scale batteries.

For now, forecasts have been reduced, with negatives (see also above) partially offset by a higher electricity pricing outlook. Target drops to $10.65 from $11.50.

Origin Energy ((ORG)) is the broker's sector favourite, with APA Group ((APA)) least preferred. AGL Energy sits in between.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 49.50 cents and EPS of 88.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 52.50 cents and EPS of 113.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Login above or Get a Free Trial

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxx xx xxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

0

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AGL STOCK CHART

FNArena News on AGL

1
Rudi’s View: Early August Signals & Observations

Aug 20 2025 - Rudi's View
2
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 15-08-25

Aug 18 2025 - Weekly Reports
3
Next Week At A Glance – 18-22 Aug 2025

Aug 15 2025 - Weekly Reports
4
AGL: Short Term Pain, Long Term Gain

Aug 15 2025 - Australia
5
Rudi’s View: BlueScope Steel, IGO, GrainCorp, Pilbara Minerals, Santos & More

Aug 14 2025 - Rudi's View

Latest Infrastructure & Utilities News

1
AGL: Short Term Pain, Long Term Gain

Aug 15 2025 - Australia
2
ESG Focus: Infragreen & The Era of Opportunity

Jul 14 2025 - ESG Focus
3
SRG Global: Building Australia

Jul 10 2025 - Small Caps
4
SRG Global: Continued Re-Rating Ahead

May 16 2025 - Small Caps
5
AGL Energy’s Bull Flag A Positive Signal

Apr 08 2025 - Technicals
6
Rudi’s View: To Sell Or Not To Sell

Mar 06 2025 - Rudi's View
7
AGL Energy: Data Centres To The Rescue?

Nov 07 2024 - Australia
8
Origin Energy Surprises To The Downside

Aug 20 2024 - Australia
9
Uptrend In Place For Origin Energy

Jul 30 2024 - Technicals
10
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