AGL ENERGY LIMITED (AGL)
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AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 1.09
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AGL Energy owns and operates several power stations and is developing several renewable energy projects. The company also supplies gas for residential and commercial use. AGL was the second company to list on the Sydney stock exchange in 1871.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$10.96

20 Nov
2024

0.010

OPEN

$10.96

0.09%

HIGH

$11.03

1,210,948

LOW

$10.87

TARGET
$11.59 5.7% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AIA . ALX . APA . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNE . GNP . MEZ . ORG . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AGL: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 105.7 96.2 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 61.0 57.5 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A - 9.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 96.8% - 5.7% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 11.2 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 5.3% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 57.7% 59.8% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 11.89%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.66

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 27/08 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx105.7
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx61.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13,583.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx807.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,240.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.23 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.48 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.84 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.60 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.48 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20.27 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,072.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx35 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,693 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,728 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,073 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,168 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.34

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx838.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.17 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11,436 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx509 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,057 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

15/08/2024

3

Neutral

$11.28

2.92%

FY24 has been a successful year for AGL Energy, Macquarie suggests, with multiple upgrades to guidance and a slight beat at the end. FY25 earnings guidance is slightly better than consensus.

Given forward prices, guidance translates into a flat FY26 earnings outlook, ahead of the broker's previous expectation. Operating cash flow was "stellar", given working capital benefits and the timing of government rebates.

This will unwind, the broker notes, but in the interim provides low cost funding of $1.5bn for capex. The recent share-price rally nonetheless captures much of the improved earnings outlook.

Neutral and $11.28 target retained.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 54.00 cents and EPS of 90.80 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 90.70 cents.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

16/10/2024

3

Neutral

$11.50

4.93%

Goldman Sachs updates its forecasts for stocks under coverage in the Energy sector from available production data for the September quarter and marks-to-market for commodity prices and currency.

For commodity prices, the broker lowers its Brent crude and refining margin estimates and raises the spot LNG price forecast.

The broker's near-term Brent price forecast falls to US$70-85/bbl from US$75-90/bbl though a temporary peak at US$90/bbl is possible from potential disruptions to Iranian supply.

Goldman's JKM gas price forecast rises by 18% to US$13.5/mmbtu over the second half of 2024 and by 15% to US$12.2/mmbtu over 2025.

The target for AGL Energy rises to $11.50 from $11.30. Neutral.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 48.00 cents and EPS of 96.00 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 80.00 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AGL STOCK CHART

FNArena News on AGL

1
Rudi’s View: The Importance Of ‘Quality’ Growth

3:18 PM - Rudi's View
2
Rudi’s View: A Rally With No Earnings Support

Nov 14 2024 - Rudi's View
3
Rudi’s View: Trump Returns, What Now?

Nov 07 2024 - Rudi's View
4
AGL Energy: Data Centres To The Rescue?

Nov 07 2024 - Australia
5
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