article 3 months old

The Overnight Report: Filling The Void

Daily Market Reports | Oct 24 2019

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This story features WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC

The company is included in ASX50, ASX100, ASX200, ASX300, ALL-ORDS and ALL-TECH

World Overnight
SPI Overnight (Dec) 6679.00 + 33.00 0.50%
S&P ASX 200 6673.10 + 0.90 0.01%
S&P500 3004.52 + 8.53 0.28%
Nasdaq Comp 8119.79 + 15.50 0.19%
DJIA 26833.95 + 45.85 0.17%
S&P500 VIX 14.01 – 0.45 – 3.11%
US 10-year yield 1.76 – 0.01 – 0.51%
USD Index 97.47 – 0.01 – 0.01%
FTSE100 7260.74 + 48.25 0.67%
DAX30 12798.19 + 43.50 0.34%

By Greg Peel

Groundhog Day

Yesterday’s trade on the ASX was largely a repeat performance of Tuesday’s activity with the ASX200 dropping early in the day only to spend the rest of the session grinding back to flat. This time no sector closed with a move of 1% or more.

The index fell a full -37 points to late morning, driven initially, one assumes, by Wall Street’s Brexit disappointment but a second leg down suggested perhaps a decent selling order. Once exhausted the market turned on its heels.

Sector ups and downs were a bit more evenly distributed yesterday than was the case on Tuesday, with telcos (-0.9%) the worst performer despite utilities, REITs and bond proxies within industrials being the most popular targets on the day.

Energy (+0.3%) enjoyed an oil price bounce, which became more pronounced last night, while IT (+0.2%) finally had an up-day.

Embattled WiseTech Global ((WTC)) came out of its second trading halt yesterday and rallied 8.5%, suggesting investors are happy to back the company’s defence against the short-seller’s accusations, which some analysts have described as rubbish.

WiseTech was the second best index performer behind Gold Road ((GOR)), which released a positive update on its Gruyere gold development and enjoyed a glowing assessment from Macquarie.

Peer Saracen Minerals ((SAR)) came in third with a 5.1% gain on the release of its production report while Western Areas ((WSA)) joined in the materials theme with a 4.2% gain given nickel is where’s the action is right now.

On the flipside, lithium miner Galaxy Resources ((GXY)) fell -7.1% to be the worst performer after mining leviathan Rio Tinto ((RIO)) realised that the waste form its borates business in California is loaded with lithium.

Beyond that, nothing much to read into yesterday, other than the market does not seem to want to go down at present, even if there’s nothing much to drive it up.

Interestingly our futures are up a full 33 points or 0.5% this morning with the S&P up only 0.3%, which is possibly explained by a 3% jump in the oil price overnight and another incremental comeback for iron ore.

Earnings Focus

Mark Zuckerberg was grilled all last night by a Congressional committee as part of the antitrust investigation but nothing much seemed to be achieved. Facebook shares rose 2% as a result but all three FAGs have been in holding patterns during a lengthy process which one wonders will come to anything. Regulation may be justifiable but what regulation?

Otherwise all focus last night on Wall Street was on earnings.

Big misses were posted by both Boeing and Caterpillar, but both Dow stocks rose on the day. For Boeing it was all about management insisting the 737 Max will be back in the sky by year’s end but there was no real reason for Caterpillar to rally other than the fact both stocks have been the poster children for the impact of Trump’s tariffs and summarily beaten down as a result.

Texas Instruments had reported a miss in the aftermarket on Tuesday night and last night fell -7.5% to drag down chip stocks in general and rekindle global slowdown fears. Yet the major indices all finished with late rallies to inch ever closer to the previous high.

There was more action after the bell, with Microsoft (Dow) posting top and bottom line beats but managing only to trade flat in the aftermarket because everyone already owns it.

In a tale of the old and the new, Ford (Dow) is down -2.5% on its result while Tesla is up 12%.

Another economic bellwether of sorts is eBay, which is down -3%.

The running tally continues to be one of 83% beats to 12% misses which should suggest a net rally, but as always misses are more highly punished and this time around most beats have been expected, which seems illogical given a “beat” implies better than expected. This time it’s about beating already too-low estimates.

So it’s earnings and not much else at least until next week’s Fed meeting, the Brexit deadline (which will likely be moved ahead three months) and news, if any, on trade.

Commodities

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 1491.40 + 3.80 0.26%
Silver (oz) 17.51 + 0.01 0.06%
Copper (lb) 2.65 + 0.02 0.92%
Aluminium (lb) 0.78 + 0.00 0.22%
Lead (lb) 1.01 – 0.00 – 0.07%
Nickel (lb) 7.39 – 0.13 – 1.73%
Zinc (lb) 1.14 + 0.01 0.53%
West Texas Crude 55.83 + 1.67 3.08%
Brent Crude 61.05 + 1.41 2.36%
Iron Ore (t) futures 86.95 + 0.95 1.10%

Following on from Tuesday’s speculation OPEC+ may be preparing to further cut crude production, last night saw the US weekly inventory count show a decline for the first time in six weeks. WTI subsequently jumped 3%, with commentators pointing to a market weighted to the short side.

The nickel price is currently on a yo-yo while the other base metals do nothing much.

Iron ore has now strung together two incremental gains.

The Aussie is steady at US$0.6853.

Today

The SPI Overnight closed up 33 points or 0.5%.

The flashers are out and about over the next 24 hours with estimates for October manufacturing PMIs in Australia, Japan, the eurozone and US. We recall it was the previous month’s US flash that sent Wall Street tumbling.

Tonight’s US durable goods orders data are also important on the same theme.

It will be For he’s a jolly good fellow time at tonight’s ECB meeting as Mario Draghi departs the scene.

It is a very big day on the local stock market calendar today.

Among those companies holding AGMs are APA Group ((APA)), Carsales ((CAR)), Crown Resorts ((CWN)), GUD Holdings ((GUD)), JB Hi-Fi ((JBH)), Magellan Financial ((MFG)), South32 ((S32)), Star Entertainment ((SGR)) and Tabcorp ((TAH)).

Among those posting quarterly production reports are Fortescue Metals ((FMG)), Galaxy Resources ((GXY)), Mineral Resources ((MIN)), Newcrest Mining ((NCM)) and Sandfire Resources ((SFR)).

Among those providing quarterly updates are AMP ((AMP)), IOOF ((IFL)), Qantas ((QAN)) and UR Westfield ((URW)).

Australian Pharmaceutical Industries ((API)) will report earnings.

The Australian share market over the past thirty days…

BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
CTX CALTEX AUSTRALIA Outperform Macquarie
IGO INDEPENDENCE GROUP Upgrade to Hold from Lighten Ord Minnett
ING INGHAMS GROUP Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
Upgrade to Neutral from Sell UBS
ORE OROCOBRE Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
QAN QANTAS AIRWAYS Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
SGP STOCKLAND Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Macquarie

For more detail go to FNArena's Australian Broker Call Report, which is updated each morning, Mon-Fri.

All overnight and intraday prices, average prices, currency conversions and charts for stock indices, currencies, commodities, bonds, VIX and more available on the FNArena website.  Click here. (Subscribers can access prices on the website.)

(Readers should note that all commentary, observations, names and calculations are provided for informative and educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions. All views expressed are the author's and not by association FNArena's – see disclaimer on the website)

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CHARTS

AMP APA CAR FMG GOR IFL JBH MFG MIN QAN RIO S32 SFR SGR TAH WTC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMP - AMP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FMG - FORTESCUE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GOR - GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IFL - INSIGNIA FINANCIAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JBH - JB HI-FI LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MFG - MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MIN - MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAN - QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: S32 - SOUTH32 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SFR - SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SGR - STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TAH - TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

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