ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED (EDV)
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EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Food, Beverages & Tobacco
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Food & Staples Retailing
Debt/EBITDA: 3.75
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$4.28

21 Nov
2024

-0.100

OPEN

$4.38

-2.28%

HIGH

$4.39

5,799,010

LOW

$4.28

TARGET
$5.013 17.1% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMC . AVG . BFC . CKF . COL . DMP . GDA . GYG . ING . LRK . MBH . MTS . RFG . SGLLV . TSI . TWE . WOA . WOW . YOW .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
EDV: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 28.6 26.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 21.8 18.9 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 3.2% - 6.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.0% - 13.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 16.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 4.4% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 76.3% 70.4% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 3.08%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.08

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 03/09 - ex-div 7.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.6
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21.8
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx12,309.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx210.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,212.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.16 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.69 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.46 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.37 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.69 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.30 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx403.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx368 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5,697 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6,065 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,808 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx293 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.40

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx419.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.40 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,056 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,242 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx45 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

12/11/2024

3

Neutral

$4.50

5.14%

Macquarie observes increased promotions as consumers face more challenges in Endeavour Group's 1Q25 update, consistent with results from other staples companies.

The broker highlights retail "comparable" sales remain under pressure, while hotels showed a more positive result, with like-for-like sales rising 2.9%.

Management aims for 30 store renewals in FY25, with 16 expected by the end of 1H25. The broker views this as below the required through-the-cycle renewal rate of around 35-40 per year.

Macquarie lowers EPS forecasts by -16% for FY25 and -8% for FY26, with one-off costs impacting the current fiscal year.

Neutral rating retained, with hotel performance offsetting weakness in retail. Target price falls -17% to $4.50.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 24.30 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 20.40 cents and EPS of 28.10 cents.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

13/11/2024

3

Downgrade to Neutral from Overweight

$5.00

16.82%

Jarden has downgraded Endeavour Group to Neutral from Overweight, citing a challenging outlook for the company as Q1 retail sales were flat and Q2 is expected to decline.

The broker expects 2Q retail margins to fall by -50 to -100bps year-on-year due to increased competition and promotional activity, while a lack of significant catalysts limits near-term growth opportunities.

With the recent CEO change, the analysts express concern over long-term execution, especially with rising operational costs and new ERP implementation pressures.

Jarden reduces its target price to $5.00 from $6.00, reflecting uncertainty and a cautious stance on retail and liquor market trends. Neutral.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 26.30 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 29.30 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

EDV STOCK CHART

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