ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED (ORG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 1.07
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Origin Energy is an Australian natural gas and exploration company. It was formed in 2000 as a result of a de-merger from Boral. The company has a large exploration portfolio in Australia and is a major shareholder in the Australia Pacific LNG joint venture.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$9.83

18 Apr
2024

0.020

OPEN

$9.80

0.20%

HIGH

$9.87

3,724,251

LOW

$9.77

TARGET
$9.463 -3.7% downside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AGL . AIA . ALX . APA . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNP . MEZ . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
ORG: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx N/A 71.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx N/A 59.1 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 13.7 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 6.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 82.9% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 8.90%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

3.74

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 05/03 - ex-div 27.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx61.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx36.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16,375.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx516.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,051.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.44 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.17 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.43 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.91 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.17 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.66 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx111.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx192 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,066 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,258 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,964 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx930 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.63

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx475.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.90 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13,633 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx228 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,172 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.5

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

16/02/2024

1

Buy

$10.00

1.73%

Origin Energy's December-half result outpaced consensus by 11% and UBS by 5% thanks to strong performances across both electricity and gas.

UBS says the result places the division in a position to retain sustainable earnings (EBITDA) going forward.

The dividend was a cracker and management has promised to publish a new distribution policy at its investor meeting in April/May, and UBS expects this will yield a higher payout ratio of 40% to 70% of free cash fash flow.

The broker also expects Eraring can be retired profitably over FY26 to FY28 thanks to its battery investments and underwriting renewable offtake. Not only that, but Eraring's retirement skews earnings risk to the upside, suggests UBS.

Origin Energy is investing in two more high-returning grid-scale batteries in 2024 at a cost of -$1.4bn.

EPS forecasts rise 3%-17% across FY24 to FY26. Target price rises to $10 from $9.60.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 71.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 83.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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ORG STOCK CHART