SCENTRE GROUP (SCG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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SCG

SCG - SCENTRE GROUP

FNArena Sector : REITs
Year End: December
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: N/A
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Scentre Group was formed in 2014 through the merger of Westfield Retail Trust and Westfield Group's Australian and New Zealand management business. The company owns, manages and develops Westfield shopping centres in Australia and New Zealand.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$3.84

11 Aug
2025

0.020

OPEN

$3.84

0.52%

HIGH

$3.85

5,157,504

LOW

$3.79

TARGET
$3.788 -1.4% downside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
SCG: 1
Title FY23
Actual
FY24
Actual
FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 20.2 22.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 17.2 17.6 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% 13.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 3.6% 2.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 16.8 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 4.6% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 85.0% 76.9% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 6.01%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

4.48

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 15/02 - ex-div 8.35c (franking 0%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20.2
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.2
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,637.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx346.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,039.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx39.81 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.86 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.28 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.92 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.86 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.00 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx179.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,447 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,328 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16,774 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx381 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.99

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.64 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx796 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx124 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32,868 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

14/07/2025

5

Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral

$3.18

-17.19%

In a preview of the August earnings season, Macquarie sees limited earnings risk for Australian REITs, with FY25 EPS growth for the sector forecast at 4.3%. For FY26, the broker believes headwinds are reducing and expects EPS growth of 5.8%, with an acceleration to 10.6% growth in FY27.

Revised expectation for the cash rate is a key driver as Macquarie strategists now expect -125bps of rate cuts in this cycle vs -75bps forecast in January. Within the sector, the broker expects retail and logistics to be the top performers in terms of earnings, driven by income growth, low maintenance capital expenditures, and reduced lease incentive leakage.

The broker lifted the FY25 EPS forecast for Scentre Group by 0.7% and by 1.7% for FY26. For 1H25, the analyst is forecasting EPS of 11.2c and DPS of 8.6c.

The stock is among the broker's least preferred in the REIT space.

Target falls to $3.18 from $3.34. Rating downgraded to Underperform from Neutral on valuation.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.70 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 25.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

11/06/2025

2

Overweight

$4.25

10.68%

Ahead of the FY25 (1H25 for Scentre Group) reporting season in August, Jarden has marked-to-market the REIT sector to account for news flow, and the latest BBSW futures curve and risk-free rates.

Overall, the broker expects upbeat messages from the REITs, most likely to guide to an accelerating NTA and FFO growth.

Among mall REITs, the broker prefers Scentre Group over Vicinity Centres ((VCX)) on valuation. The analyst sees upside risk to its FY25 FFO forecast of 22.75c after recent hybrid refinancing and strong leasing momentum.

For 1H25 the broker is positioned 2% above consensus on FFO growth. Overweight. Target lifted to $4.25 from $3.95.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.70 cents and EPS of 22.80 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 18.90 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.

SCG STOCK CHART