SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED (SUL)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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SUL - SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Automobiles & Components
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Debt/EBITDA: 1.52
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Super Retail Group owns and operates a number of retail brands in Australia, including Rebel Sport, Supercheap Auto, Macpac and BCF. Founded in 1972, the company listed as Supercheap Auto in 2004.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$14.76

20 Dec
2024

-0.060

OPEN

$14.71

-0.40%

HIGH

$14.76

776,746

LOW

$14.52

TARGET
$17.383 17.8% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AMA . AOV . APE . ARB . ASG . BAP . CAR . IFM . MTO . MXI . PWH . PWR . RPM . SFC . SNL . VMT .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
SUL: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 106.3 110.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 119.0 114.2 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 8.7% 3.4% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 15.5% - 4.1% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 13.4 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 7.7% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 111.9% 103.8% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 9.61%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 8.06

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 09/09 - ex-div 87c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx106.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx119.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,882.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx608.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx587.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.18 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.52 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.66 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.74 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.52 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.91 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx224.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx200 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx903 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,103 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx530 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx218 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.29

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx135.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.48 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,085 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,410 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.2

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

25/10/2024

3

Neutral

$16.50

11.79%

Macquarie notes group sales for Super Retail rose 4% in the first 16 weeks of 1H25 which is a slowdown from the first seven weeks of trading at sales growth of 5%, year-on-year.

Sales from MacPac and SCA have slowed with BCF and Rebel advancing.

Management continues to expect 25 new stores in FY25.

Macquarie lowers EPS estimates by -3.7% in FY25 and -0.5% in FY26. Target price slips by -5% to $16.50. No change to Neutral rating.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 129.00 cents and EPS of 108.00 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 143.00 cents and EPS of 122.00 cents.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Wilsons

31/10/2024

5

Downgrade to Underweight from Market Weight

$12.90

-12.60%

Super Retail's AGM revealed sales growth has deteriorated since July/August, given increased “competitive intensity” in its key vertical, Supercheap Auto (39% of sales), implying near-term gross margin headwinds are building, Wilsons notes.

While Rebel sales remain positive on improved footwear and  apparel, Wilsons posits momentum will need to improve meaningfully in November/December to offset higher costs and avoid a profit margin squeeze in FY25.

Looking forward, Wilsons tempers expectations for the positive impact of loyalty programs on sales growth (given ongoing softness in Rebel) and downgrades gross margin assumptions ahead of Super Retail’s peak sales period.

Target falls to $12.90 from $16.10, downgrade to Underweight from Market Weight.

FORECAST
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 76.60 cents and EPS of 93.90 cents.
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 82.80 cents and EPS of 105.00 cents.

Goldman Sachs

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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SUL STOCK CHART

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