GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED (GMD)
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GMD

GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gold & Silver
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.39
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$3.72

27 Mar
2025

0.010

OPEN

$3.72

0.27%

HIGH

$3.78

3,354,423

LOW

$3.69

TARGET
$3.392 -8.8% downside
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GMD: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 7.7 17.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 20.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.7
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx438.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx88.4
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx136.2 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.15 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.18 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.99 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.32 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.18 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.06 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-5.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx45 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx171 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.99

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx164.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx37.52 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx376 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

19/02/2025

1

Upgrade to Buy from Neutral

$3.90

4.84%

UBS has revised its gold price forecasts higher, increasing the year-end target by US$200 to US$3,100/oz and long-term by US$250 to US$2,200/oz, keeping the broker well above consensus.

The updated view comes as expectations for US rate cuts are pushed out and is driven by continued: 1) official sector buying, 2) safe haven buying, 3) lack of positioning and 4) ongoing liquidity issues.

Genesis Minerals generated $60m of cash and equivalents in the Dec Q even as it invests to grow production toward its targeted 325kozpa by FY29, UBS notes.

On the higher gold price and including more potential for production growth, UBS upgrades to Buy from Neutral. Target rises to $3.90 from $3.00.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Shaw and Partners

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Moelis

24/02/2025

3

Hold

$3.20

-13.98%

Genesis Minerals' 1H25 revenue met Moelis' forecast while EBITDA beat its estimate driven by slightly lower operating costs.

The broker reckons the result doesn't shift its view a great deal, though the improving financial outcomes is validation the growth in ounces will deliver an increase in earnings.

The broker is keen to see EBITDA margins can be maintained as production more than doubles or if the flight towards 400koz yields is diminishing returns on incremental ounces.

The broker cut D&A forecast for FY25-26 to align with 1H25 unit rates. Target price rises to $3.20 from $3.05, and Hold rating retained.

FORECAST
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.20 cents.
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 22.90 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

GMD STOCK CHART

FNArena News on GMD

1
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Mar 26, 2025

Mar 26 2025 - Daily Market Reports
2
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 28-02-25

Mar 03 2025 - Weekly Reports
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Feb 24, 2025

Feb 24 2025 - Daily Market Reports
4
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 21-02-25

Feb 24 2025 - Weekly Reports
5
FNArena Corporate Results Monitor – 22-02-2025

Feb 22 2025 - Australia

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