GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED (GMD)
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GMD

GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gold & Silver
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.39
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$4.06

14 Apr
2025

0.070

OPEN

$4.03

1.75%

HIGH

$4.12

5,772,933

LOW

$4.02

TARGET
$3.675 -9.5% downside
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GMD: 1
Title FY23
Actual
FY24
Actual
FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 7.7 19.4 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 20.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.7
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx438.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx88.4
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx136.2 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.15 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.18 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.99 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.32 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.18 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.06 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-5.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx32 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx45 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx171 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.99

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx164.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx37.52 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx376 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

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xxx

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xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

20/02/2025

3

Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform

$3.30

-18.72%

Macquarie downgrades Genesis Minerals to Neutral from Outperform with an unchanged target price of $3.30.

The broker notes 1H25 results were in line with expectations, with net profit guidance provided in the 2Q25 update.

Management retained FY25 guidance, with year-to-date production at 47% of the mid-point. The analyst highlights the Laverton restart commenced halfway through 2Q25.

Net cash of $130m was below Macquarie’s estimate due to higher-than-expected lease liabilities, likely related to equipment for Laverton.

Macquarie tweaks EPS estimates.

Earlier, in a first response, Macquarie noted Genesis Minerals reported 1H25 profit in line with expectations. Net cash was softer due to a higher lease/finance facility balance, more than the broker's expectation. 

FY25 production and cost guidance was reiterated. This, Macquarie believed, signals the miner is on track to achieve its own guidance.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.70 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Shaw and Partners

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Moelis

24/02/2025

3

Hold

$3.20

-21.18%

Genesis Minerals' 1H25 revenue met Moelis' forecast while EBITDA beat its estimate driven by slightly lower operating costs.

The broker reckons the result doesn't shift its view a great deal, though the improving financial outcomes is validation the growth in ounces will deliver an increase in earnings.

The broker is keen to see EBITDA margins can be maintained as production more than doubles or if the flight towards 400koz yields is diminishing returns on incremental ounces.

The broker cut D&A forecast for FY25-26 to align with 1H25 unit rates. Target price rises to $3.20 from $3.05, and Hold rating retained.

FORECAST
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.20 cents.
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 22.90 cents.

GMD STOCK CHART