GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED (GMD)
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GMD

GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gold & Silver
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.44
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$6.17

08 Oct
2025

0.030

OPEN

$6.20

0.49%

HIGH

$6.24

4,527,958

LOW

$5.97

TARGET
$5.64 -8.6% downside
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GMD: 1
Title FY24
Actual
FY25
Actual
FY26
Forecast
FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 20.3 39.4 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 100.0% 94.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 15.7 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx920.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx110.9
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx420.7 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24.04 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.70 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx18.02 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.38 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.70 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx25.22 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx252.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx23 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx178 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx201 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx240 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.88

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx183.1 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.89 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx571 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx35 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx25 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

25/09/2025

3

Neutral

$5.70

-7.62%

Citi raises its FY26 gold earnings forecasts by 20-30% on higher gold price assumptions, resulting in higher target prices among gold stocks under its coverage.

December quarter forecasts rise by US$200/oz to US$3,700/oz, while the 2026 estimate increases to US$3,250/oz, up US$500/oz.

Long-term real prices are now set at US$2,500/oz from US$2,200/oz, while Citi also lifts its long-term equity model pricing to US$2,600/oz from US$2,300/oz, in line with consensus.

EPS momentum versus consensus remains positive, explain the analysts, with equities yet to fully reflect spot pricing as seen in prior cycles.

Citi explains miners have expanded margins, are showing no appetite for potentially value-destructive M&A, and are generating around $11bn of positive free cash flow (FCF) in this cycle. This compares to around -$16bn of FCF burnt between 2000-2013.

The broker's preferred ASX100 pick remains Evolution Mining, supported by organic growth options, high-quality long-life assets, consistent operational delivery, and copper exposure. Outside the ASX100, a Buy rating is maintained on Greatland Resources.

The Neutral rating is kept for Genesis Minerals and the target raised to $5.70 from $4.40.

FORECAST
Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
Citi forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.

Shaw and Partners

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx, xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Moelis

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

29/09/2025

1

Buy

$6.15

-0.32%

Canaccord Genuity has updated its long-term (from 2029) gold price forecast by 8.2% to US$4,173/oz, and the medium-term 2026/27/28 by 8.9%/8.5%/8.2%, respectively, in line with the forward curve.

For silver, the broker lifted the long-term price forecast by 14.5% to US$47.8/oz while long-term forex forecasts were left unchanged.

This has resulted in an average 13% rise in the broker's target price for senior producers, 12% for intermediate/junior producers, and 12% for explorers/developers.

The broker expects Genesis Minerals to report 65koz production in the September quarter, 5% higher sequentially, but -2% below the consensus. Cost forecast of $2,621/oz is in line with the consensus.

Buy. Target rises to $6.15 from $5.55.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 44.00 cents.

GMD STOCK CHART