Daily Market Reports | Aug 26 2024
This story features ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
Click on a symbol for fast access.
The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)
ANZ AUB AZL BAP (2) BRG (4) CHC CTD (2) CWP CWY (2) DMP (3) DTL (3) FBU FCL HMC HSN IAG ILU MGH NSR PPM PWR PXA RIC SFX SGM SHA (2) SLC STO SXE TLC (2) VNT WTC
ANZ ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
Banks – Overnight Price: $29.30
Goldman Sachs rates ((ANZ)) as Buy (1) –
Goldman Sachs reiterates a Buy rating for ANZ Bank after the third quarter update, continuing to find evidence of the bank’s ability to derive productivity benefits.
While asset quality continues to normalise it remains better than 2020 levels across a number of metrics, the broker adds.
Upside is anticipated for group returns because of accretive mix shifts in the institutional business towards higher ROE payments and cash management. Target is $29.48, edging up from $29.42.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $29.48 Current Price is $29.30 Difference: $0.18
If ANZ meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $27.66, suggesting downside of -5.6%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in September.
Forecast for FY24:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 166.00 cents and EPS of 226.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.96.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 225.7, implying annual growth of -4.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 166.00 cents and EPS of 226.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.96.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.9, implying annual growth of -0.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 167.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.
Market Sentiment: -0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
AUB AUB GROUP LIMITED
Insurance – Overnight Price: $31.85
Goldman Sachs rates ((AUB)) as Buy (1) –
Goldman Sachs observes the second half of FY24 underlying net profit was ahead of estimates but AUB Group has provided FY25 guidance that is lower than expected.
While the broker acknowledges some conservatism, historically there is the inclusion of technology costs associated with the NZ project Lola and the recruitment of new teams.
Premium rate increases have moderated to around 6% yet management has indicated this can be offset by increases in commission rates. Medium-term margin targets have been retained with further upgrades considered possible. Buy rating retained. Target is $34.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $34.00 Current Price is $31.85 Difference: $2.15
If AUB meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $36.40, suggesting upside of 14.3%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 89.00 cents and EPS of 169.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.85.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 170.6, implying annual growth of 35.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 91.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 98.00 cents and EPS of 188.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.94.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 184.1, implying annual growth of 7.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 98.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
AZL ARIZONA LITHIUM LIMITED
New Battery Elements – Overnight Price: $0.02
Petra Capital rates ((AZL)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital highlights Arizona Lithium has reported positive results at its Prairie Lithium Project in Saskatchewan.
The company produced lithium carbonate from Pad #1 and converted to lithium chloride at site. A conditional approval for $21.6m royalty credits has been approved from the Saskatchewan government.
Construction of pad #2 is also complete, the broker notes.
Buy rating with a 5c target.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $0.05 Current Price is $0.02 Difference: $0.03
If AZL meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 150% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2.00.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BAP BAPCOR LIMITED
Automobiles & Components – Overnight Price: $4.93
Canaccord Genuity rates ((BAP)) as Hold (3) –
In line with guidance provided in May by Bapcor, FY24 underlying profit came in at $94.8m. Canaccord Genuity highlights cash flow conversion improved in the 2H, bringing FY24 conversion to 77%.
Management is guiding to $20-30m of EBITDA benefit via cost-out and distribution centre rationalisation.
Unlike the preceding Bapcor Trade Partners (BTP) plan to strengthen the company’s position in the automotive aftermarket sector, the analyst has some confidence this new target will be achieved.
The broker doesn’t share management’s confidence there have been no market share losses and will be monitoring both share and revenue performance in the coming periods.
In the meantime, Canaccord cautions investors against relying upon the recently rejected $5.40 bid for Bapcor as potential share price support, given similar bids on the ASX were pulled once due diligence was undertaken. Hold.
The target rises to $4.80 from $4.26.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.93 Difference: minus $0.13 (current price is over target).
If BAP meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $5.15, suggesting upside of 4.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.61.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.5, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.
Forecast for FY26:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.43.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.5, implying annual growth of 6.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Goldman Sachs rates ((BAP)) as Neutral (3) –
Bapcor’s FY24 result was in line with estimates with the company announcing various cost reduction measures to offset a deteriorating operating performance given the challenging environment.
The broker is cautious regarding the timing of any material turnaround until there is evidence of operating improvement and a robust strategic direction. Neutral maintained. Target is $5.20.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $4.93 Difference: $0.27
If BAP meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.15, suggesting upside of 4.5%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.5, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.50.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.5, implying annual growth of 6.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
BRG BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED
Household & Personal Products – Overnight Price: $33.16
Goldman Sachs rates ((BRG)) as Buy (1) –
Breville Group’s FY24 results revealed EBIT growth that was above the top end of guidance at 8%. Goldman Sachs continues to expect the business will benefit from global coffee premiumisation trends and deliver sales growth from FY24-27 of 10%.
New product development should also drive growth with a range of new products to be introduced in FY25. Buy rating retained. Target is $34.20, up from $30.00.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $34.20 Current Price is $33.16 Difference: $1.04
If BRG meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $33.17, suggesting upside of 0.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.04.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 108.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.70.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.7, implying annual growth of 13.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((BRG)) as Neutral (3) –
Jarden observes Breville Group reported another “quality” result in FY24 including strong cashflows with momentum improving into FY25.
Management offers no guidance, but Jarden expects 11.5% growth in earnings before interest and tax in FY25 with an acceleration in Americas growth; APAC returning to growth as the A&NZ markets improve with growing scale in South Korea. Europe remains questionable.
Operational leverage is expected to boost margins in the year ahead.
A Neutral rating is retained. Target lifts to $26.30 from $23.60 on the back of earnings upgrades.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $26.30 Current Price is $33.16 Difference: minus $6.86 (current price is over target).
If BRG meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $33.17, suggesting upside of 0.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 95.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.83.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 105.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.55.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.7, implying annual growth of 13.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Petra Capital rates ((BRG)) as Hold (3) –
Expansion in gross margins and stronger sales in 2H24 helped Breville Group report slightly better than forecast FY24 earnings, Petra Capital notes.
Lower freight costs with promotional activity controlled boosted the gross margin by 140 basis points in 2H24. It is likely to remain flat, the broker highlights, into FY25. This means growth will depend on volume expansion.
The analyst believes new product launches, new markets and expansion of Lelit/Baratza should assist in volume growth.
Petra Capital makes minor EPS changes. Target price rises to $28.30 from $24.40. Buy rated.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $28.30 Current Price is $33.16 Difference: minus $4.86 (current price is over target).
If BRG meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $33.17, suggesting upside of 0.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 92.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.89.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 40.70 cents and EPS of 104.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.67.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.7, implying annual growth of 13.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Wilsons rates ((BRG)) as Overweight (1) –
Breville Group’s FY25 result nosed out consensus’ forecasts, returning to double-digit growth in Americas and EMEA in the June half, observes Wilsons.
The broker takes this a good sign heading into the seasonally stronger December half and observes the company is gaining market share in the Americas, its biggest geographical market, which should prove defensive.
The company posted strong cash conversion, which brought the company back into the black, the company closing FY24 with net cash of $54m and restoring the balance sheet, observes Wilsons.
The broker expects net present debt will remain elevated until FY26 but observes inventory has stabilised at 22% of sales.
Overweight rating retained. Target price rises 12% to $34.90 a share.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $34.90 Current Price is $33.16 Difference: $1.74
If BRG meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $33.17, suggesting upside of 0.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.7, implying annual growth of 13.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CHC CHARTER HALL GROUP
REITs – Overnight Price: $14.42
Jarden rates ((CHC)) as Overweight (2) –
Charter Hall delivered a surprise beat for FY24 earnings with FY25 guidance suggesting to Jarden there are signs of a pick-up in activity and investment opportunities.
FY24 now appears to be the earnings trough for the REIT. Jarden believes it is well positioned for growth by “sticking to its knitting” through the cycle.
Management achieved 5% in cost savings which should flow onto FY25.
Overweight. Target $14.50.
Jarden will mark to market the REITs earnings models.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $14.50 Current Price is $14.42 Difference: $0.08
If CHC meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $13.84, suggesting downside of -4.0%(ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY25:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.8, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.
Forecast for FY26:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.0, implying annual growth of 10.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism – Overnight Price: $11.39
Jarden rates ((CTD)) as Overweight (2) –
Jarden believes Corporate Travel Management presented a re-basing of earnings with FY24 coming in well below expectations and a recovery not anticipated until FY26.
The results were “disappointing”, the broker notes. EBITDA fell -8% at the midpoint with a 30% rise in capex with much of the miss attributed to contract losses, the softer US bridging contract and lower war-related repatriation.
Jarden cuts EPS forecasts by -24% to -30% from FY25 to FY27 and sits slightly below FY25 guidance.
The target falls to $14 from $19. Overweight rating unchanged.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $11.39 Difference: $2.61
If CTD meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $15.46, suggesting upside of 35.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 77.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.70.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 91.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.46.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.3, implying annual growth of 9.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Wilsons rates ((CTD)) as Market Weight (3) –
Corporate Travel Management’s FY24 earnings (EBITDA) missed consensus forecasts by -6% and Wilsons’s forecasts by -7% as high-margin humanitarian-related government work eased off.
FY25 guidace also disappointed and the broker cuts FY25 EBITDA forecasts by -11%.
Management described FY25 as a reset in which it planned to deliver early against its five-year growth strategy (15% annual revenue growth and doubling of net profit after tax by FY29).
The broker is waiting for the company to deliver on guidance before getting too excited, particularly given the strong guided second-half skew of earnings.
Market Weight and $12.43 target price retained.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $12.43 Current Price is $11.39 Difference: $1.04
If CTD meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $15.46, suggesting upside of 35.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.10 cents and EPS of 81.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.03.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 9.30 cents and EPS of 86.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.14.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.3, implying annual growth of 9.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CWP CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED
Infra & Property Developers – Overnight Price: $5.54
Moelis rates ((CWP)) as Buy (1) –
Cedar Woods Properties FY24 results came in better than Moelis’ expectations and FY24 guidance, because of robust settlement rates.
Sales rose around 73% in FY24, with management guiding to 10% net profit growth in FY25, including the remaining settlement of land at William’s Landing and sale of the shopping centre at Eglington.
Price growth in WA was strong, continuing to move higher in FY25. Victoria remains subdued, QLD and SA are also experiencing price growth.
Moelis increases EPS forecasts by 1.9% for FY25 and 7.1% for FY26.
Revised target price of $6.03 from $5.42. Buy rated.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $6.03 Current Price is $5.54 Difference: $0.49
If CWP meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.37, suggesting upside of 14.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.07.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.8, implying annual growth of 5.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 59.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.34.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.4, implying annual growth of 30.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CWY CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED
Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers – Overnight Price: $2.96
Goldman Sachs rates ((CWY)) as Neutral (3) –
Cleanaway Waste Management posted a “solid” FY24 result in Goldman Sachs’ view. FY25 EBIT guidance of $395-425m at the mid point is around 4% ahead of the brokers previous estimates.
Management appears confident it can lower maintenance capital expenditure by -$50m per year from FY25 and beyond. The EBIT target for FY26 of more than $450m remains unchanged.
The broker notes work still needs to be done to complete the fleet transformation, integrate data/advanced analytics and optimise the branches. Neutral retained. Target is raised to $3.00 from $2.70. Goldman Sachs is transferring coverage to Joseph Kusia.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.96 Difference: $0.04
If CWY meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.01, suggesting upside of 1.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.89.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.3, implying annual growth of 32.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.8.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.91.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.8, implying annual growth of 26.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((CWY)) as Downgrade to Neutral from Overweight (3) –
Jarden observes Cleanaway Waste Management continues to generate positive earnings before interest and tax with negative EPS revisions as higher net interest charges bite.
The broker cuts EPS forecasts by -4% for FY25. FY26 EPS estimate unchanged.
Operationally, competition in solid waste services continues; liquid waste and health services continued to improve, but Jarden questions its sustainability in FY25.
Target price moves to $3.05 from $3. Rating downgraded to Neutral from Overweight, with a “less appealing” proposition for FY25.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $3.05 Current Price is $2.96 Difference: $0.09
If CWY meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.01, suggesting upside of 1.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 5.60 cents and EPS of 9.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.83.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.3, implying annual growth of 32.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.8.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 6.90 cents and EPS of 11.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.52.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.8, implying annual growth of 26.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DMP DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
Food, Beverages & Tobacco – Overnight Price: $31.77
Goldman Sachs rates ((DMP)) as Buy (1) –
Domino’s Pizza Enterprises posted a FY24 result that was in line with expectations. Goldman Sachs believes the renewed focus on store unit economics and reinvestment to trigger topline growth is well-placed.
Earnings appear to have troughed and there is a path of improvement visible through FY25. As the company closes more corporate stores the revenue/network sales margin will reduce and the EBIT margin will increase to reflect the change in business model.
The broker reiterates a Buy rating, reducing the target to $40.00 from $41.30.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $40.00 Current Price is $31.77 Difference: $8.23
If DMP meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $37.09, suggesting upside of 16.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 119.00 cents and EPS of 150.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.18.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 149.5, implying annual growth of 40.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 114.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 145.00 cents and EPS of 183.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.36.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 169.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 132.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((DMP)) as Overweight (2) –
Jarden observes Domino’s Pizza Enterprises FY24 results were in line and were of reasonable quality.
Management guided to a softer trading update. Same store sales were down -1.3% in the first seven weeks of FY25. Surprisingly, the broker notes, A&NZ and Europe are better with weakness in Asia.
The outlook infers a flat 1H25 with a stronger 2H24, which will likely result in downward earnings revisions, Jarden believes, despite slowing costs of goods sold, and improved franchisee profitablity.
Jarden cuts earnings forecasts by -5% to -9% for FY25 to FY27 with a revised target price of $42 from $48.
Overweight rated maintained.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $42.00 Current Price is $31.77 Difference: $10.23
If DMP meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $37.09, suggesting upside of 16.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 149.00 cents and EPS of 145.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.88.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 149.5, implying annual growth of 40.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 114.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 192.00 cents and EPS of 186.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.04.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 169.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 132.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Petra Capital rates ((DMP)) as Hold (3) –
Domino’s Pizza Enterprises reported FY24 results in line with Petra Capital’s forecasts.
Japan, Malaysia and France were the underperforming markets, as the broker expected, offset by A&NZ and Germany. Restructuring provided a $33.5m net benefit with another $20m net benefit anticipated in FY25.
Petra Capital makes minor EPS forecast changes.
Target price revised to $34 from $34.70. Hold rated.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $34.00 Current Price is $31.77 Difference: $2.23
If DMP meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $37.09, suggesting upside of 16.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 118.60 cents and EPS of 148.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.42.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 149.5, implying annual growth of 40.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 114.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 132.50 cents and EPS of 165.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.20.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 169.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 132.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DTL DATA#3 LIMITED.
IT & Support – Overnight Price: $8.09
Goldman Sachs rates ((DTL)) as Neutral (3) –
Data#3 posted FY24 revenue that was below expectations, driven by a miss in the infrastructure segment.
Despite the positive commentary regarding sequentially improving trends, Goldman Sachs notes continued slow customer decision-making and heightened competitive pressure provide a challenging trading backdrop for the first half of FY25.
The company has shown discipline in competitive tender processes, the broker adds, maintaining “solid” gross margins. Neutral retained. Target is raised 1% to $8.15.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $8.15 Current Price is $8.09 Difference: $0.06
If DTL meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $9.12, suggesting upside of 12.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.97.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 9.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 33.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.52.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of 10.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((DTL)) as Neutral (3) –
Data#3 reported mixed FY24 results with higher interest income in the 2H, leading to lower-than-expected earnings, Jarden notes.
Hardware revenue in 2H24 was weaker, down -13.8%, software revenue grew 8.2% and services revenue advanced 8.2%, although slowing in the 2H24 on the 1H24.
Jarden remains cautious on Data#3 because of 1H25 headwinds from macroeconomics, deferral of electoral spending and a competitive environment. The broker believes investors should wait for more earnings clarity.
Target price falls to $8.54 from $8.65. Neutral rated.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $8.54 Current Price is $8.09 Difference: $0.45
If DTL meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $9.12, suggesting upside of 12.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.97.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 9.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 34.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.65.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of 10.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Wilsons rates ((DTL)) as Overweight (1) –
Data#3’s FY24 revenue outpaced consensus by roughly 5% but missed on net profit after tax observes Wilsons.
But the broker appreciates the increase in the company’s revenue and gross profit (up 17%) and the 15% increase in Data#3’s dividend in a tough market (taking the payout ratio to 91%).
Wilsons observes the internal cost ratio rose 30 basis points due to inflation and investment in labour and systems.
Rating is downgraded to Market Weight from Overweight. Target price rises to $9.23 from $9.12.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $9.23 Current Price is $8.09 Difference: $1.14
If DTL meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $9.12, suggesting upside of 12.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 9.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of 10.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
FBU FLETCHER BUILDING LIMITED
Building Products & Services – Overnight Price: $2.77
Goldman Sachs rates ((FBU)) as Neutral (3) –
Goldman Sachs notes Fletcher Building’s group earnings of NZ$516m were ahead of estimates.
Early trading in July and August has indicated a continued deterioration in volumes, with management signalling a -10-15% decline in volumes for the materials & distribution business.
As a result, FY25 adjusted EBIT estimates are lowered by -10% and the target is reduced to $3.00 from $3.05. Neutral.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.77 Difference: $0.23
If FBU meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.68, suggesting downside of -3.2%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.02.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.5, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 30.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.10.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of 49.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0.
This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
FCL FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC
Cloud services – Overnight Price: $1.34
Goldman Sachs rates ((FCL)) as Neutral (3) –
Fineos Corp posted a mixed result for the first half, Goldman Sachs observes, although 2024 revenue guidance of EUR130-135m has been maintained with the emphasis on the lower end of the range.
Along with a softening in the subscription growth outlook, this is disappointing for the broker as pipeline conversion appears to remain a challenge.
While commentary regarding customer cloud transitions is encouraging, it is not enough to materially change a modest growth outlook and Goldman Sachs retains a Neutral rating. Target is $1.90.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.34 Difference: $0.56
If FCL meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY24:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.05 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2734.69.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2030.30.
This company reports in EUR. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
HMC HMC CAPITAL LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments – Overnight Price: $8.00
Jarden rates ((HMC)) as Neutral (3) –
HMC Capital continues to experience strong growth in assets under management with a high conviction to megatrends.
Jarden notes assets under management expanded to $10.6bn from $1.2bn in FY24 with a medium term $20bn target.
Management believes a $50bn target in five years is achievable.
EPS growth, once the broker accounts for trading profits and unrealised gains, equals a less flashy 9%. Jarden will mark to market the REITs earmings models.
Overweight. Target $7.90.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $7.90 Current Price is $8.00 Difference: minus $0.1 (current price is over target).
If HMC meets the Jarden target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $7.82, suggesting downside of -2.3%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 23.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.47.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.4, implying annual growth of 76.9%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.0.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.03.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.6, implying annual growth of 6.6%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
HSN HANSEN TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED
IT & Support – Overnight Price: $4.55
Goldman Sachs rates ((HSN)) as Neutral (3) –
Goldman Sachs found the FY24 result from Hansen Technologies mixed although there were three positive aspects in the detail. The core business provided revenue that was comfortably within guidance while Powercloud is performing ahead of expectations.
Cash EBITDA guidance for FY25 is also better-than-expected as the company reallocates its R&D to lower-cost jurisdictions. Negatives included softer cash flow on the working capital build up, and lower net profit compared with expectations.
Estimates for FY25 and FY26 EBITDA are reduced by -6% and -7%, respectively. Neutral retained. Target is raised to $4.95 from $4.85.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $4.95 Current Price is $4.55 Difference: $0.4
If HSN meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.50, suggesting upside of 42.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.75.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.3, implying annual growth of 105.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.85.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of 18.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
IAG INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED
Insurance – Overnight Price: $7.45
Goldman Sachs rates ((IAG)) as Neutral (3) –
Goldman Sachs retains a Neutral rating on Insurance Australia Group in the wake of the FY24 results. The second half underlying margin was in line with estimates while net profit was softer.
FY25 margin guidance appears achievable to the broker with the mid point suggesting 14.5%. Material reinsurance and perils cost pressures are expected in FY25, with moderating yields that should be partly offset by pricing ahead of claims inflation.
Neutral retained. Target is $7.20.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $7.20 Current Price is $7.45 Difference: minus $0.25 (current price is over target).
If IAG meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $7.44, suggesting downside of -0.2%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.63.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.4, implying annual growth of 8.3%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 43.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.33.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.5, implying annual growth of 7.7%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
ILU ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED
Mineral Sands – Overnight Price: $5.82
Goldman Sachs rates ((ILU)) as Buy (1) –
First half results from Iluka Resources were broadly in line with estimates. Goldman Sachs notes the company has experienced some recent headwinds from the Chinese property market and has started sales into the chemical and foundries markets.
Zircon prices are expected to be flat in the third quarter with some seasonal buying weakness heading into the fourth quarter. The high-grade Balranald project is on track for commissioning in the second half of 2025. The broker retains a Buy rating and $9 target.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $5.82 Difference: $3.18
If ILU meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 55% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $7.18, suggesting upside of 23.4%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY24:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 59.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.86.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.4, implying annual growth of -44.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 42.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.86.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 72.1, implying annual growth of 62.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MGH MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
Building Products & Services – Overnight Price: $4.46
Wilsons rates ((MGH)) as Overweight (1) –
Maas Group’s FY24 result landed near the top end of guidance and in line with Wilsons’ forecasts. Operating cash flow outpaced the broker triggering a beat on net debt. Sales eased roughly -6%.
Management guided to improved revenue and profitability in FY25, highlighting a robust project pipeline and the annualisation of its latest acquisitions.
EPS forecasts fall -3% to -6% to reflect forecast higher interest expense in FY25; and higher D&A expense.
The broker says capital allocation proved the highlight, the company moving to a “more balanced” 30% payout ratio, which triggered a -8% to -10% falls in DPS forecasts.
Overweight rating retained. Target price rises to $4.91 from $4.67.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $4.91 Current Price is $4.46 Difference: $0.45
If MGH meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.07.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 37.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.96.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NSR NATIONAL STORAGE REIT
REITs – Overnight Price: $2.38
Moelis rates ((NSR)) as Hold (3) –
National Storage REIT reported underlying earnings which met expectations, Moelis notes.
Rates rose 7.1%, promotional activity was sustained at historical levels, but occupancy slipped -2.9% to 81.9% from the June 2022 peak.
The REIT acquired 29 assets in FY24 for -$250m with over 145,000sqm of additional space under development to drive earnings growth in the future.
Forecasts remain largely unchanged. Hold rating with a revised target price of $2.40, up from $2.38.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $2.38 Difference: $0.02
If NSR meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.43, suggesting upside of 2.0%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 11.10 cents and EPS of 11.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.8, implying annual growth of -30.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 11.20 cents and EPS of 12.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.67.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.4, implying annual growth of 5.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PPM PEPPER MONEY LIMITED
Business & Consumer Credit – Overnight Price: $1.41
Goldman Sachs rates ((PPM)) as Buy (1) –
Ahead of the first half results on August 29, Goldman Sachs expects cash earnings for Pepper Money will be down -4.2%.
The broker currently forecasts net interest margins of 1.99% and will be awaiting an update regarding positioning in the housing market and to what extent the company can reprice when the rate reduction cycle eventuates.
An update on housing credit and its impact on resource allocation is also anticipated. Buy rating. Target is $1.67.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $1.67 Current Price is $1.41 Difference: $0.26
If PPM meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY24:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 10.90 cents and EPS of 23.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.95.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 12.50 cents and EPS of 27.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.07.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PWR PETER WARREN AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED
Automobiles & Components – Overnight Price: $1.78
Moelis rates ((PWR)) as Hold (3) –
Moelis comments Peter Warren Automotive’s reported FY24 results met the updated May guidance.
Acquisitions offset weaker margins and higher interest costs, the analyst highlighted, with the dividend for 2H24 down -45% to 6c on the previous corresponding period.
Management suggested revenue growth from new/used cars/parts and service in FY25 with new car margins forecast to remain squeezed.
The new CEO, Andrew Doyle commences on Oct 1. Hold rating retained. Target price $1.85.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $1.85 Current Price is $1.78 Difference: $0.07
If PWR meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $1.81, suggesting upside of 1.7%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 10.80 cents and EPS of 17.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.11.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.9, implying annual growth of -19.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.5.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 10.90 cents and EPS of 17.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.00.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 7.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.8.
Market Sentiment: -0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PXA PEXA GROUP LIMITED
Real Estate – Overnight Price: $13.88
Goldman Sachs rates ((PXA)) as Buy (1) –
FY24 results from Pexa Group were ahead of Goldman Sachs estimates. The broker revises FY25-27 operating EBITDA estimates down slightly.
The company’s market share is considered resilient and there is significant upside potential from the UK and Pexa Digital Growth. Given the early stage nature of both businesses, Goldman Sachs remains cautious regarding execution risks.
Buy rating retained because of an improved outlook in the core domestic business. Target is $15.70.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $15.70 Current Price is $13.88 Difference: $1.82
If PXA meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $15.77, suggesting upside of 13.6%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 53.38.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 50.1.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 47.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.53.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.6, implying annual growth of 39.4%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
RIC RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED
Agriculture – Overnight Price: $2.25
Wilsons rates ((RIC)) as Overweight (1) –
Ridley Corp’s FY24 result met Wilsons’s forecasts, weakness in Packaged & Ingredients offsetting strength in Bulk Stockfeeds and a reduction in corporate costs.
Wilsons observes “exceptionally strong cash flow” and considers earnings challenges in the June half to be an aberration and highlights the company’s track record of investing free cash flow into capacity expansion, capability improvement and asset efficiency.
The company announced an on-market buback of up to $20m and the acquisition of Carrick feed mill, to be completed by August 31.
Management advised earnings growth would continue in FY25 for both divisions.
EPs forecasts fall -4% to -5% across FY25 to FY27 to reflect a reduction in earnings forecasts, and higher interest expense and D&A forecasts. DPS forecasts fall -6% to -7% as the payout ratio moves to 65% to 70%.
Overweight rating retained. Target price eases to $2.54 from $2.58.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $2.54 Current Price is $2.25 Difference: $0.29
If RIC meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 14.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.31.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 16.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.72.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SFX SHEFFIELD RESOURCES LIMITED
Mineral Sands – Overnight Price: $0.31
Petra Capital rates ((SFX)) as Buy (1) –
Petra Capital visited Sheffield Resources’ Thunderbird mineral sands operations near Broome in WA.
The analyst points to improved mining rates which were announced last quarter and are expected to improve further in the future.
An investment in mining capacity is highlighted as potentially a boost, with the company yet to make any decisions.
Buy rating. Target price revised to 57c from 69c.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $0.57 Current Price is $0.31 Difference: $0.26
If SFX meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 84% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2.82.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 7.38.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SGM SIMS LIMITED
Steel & Scrap – Overnight Price: $11.16
Goldman Sachs rates ((SGM)) as Neutral (3) –
Sims posted FY24 results which were better than Goldman Sachs expected because of a robust second half performance from the Australian business that offset a loss from North American metals.
The broker notes Turkey scrap imports are well below prior years and higher Chinese steel exports are out-competing ferrous scrap in Asia.
The broker raises earnings estimates by 6% in FY25 but lowers FY26 by -5%. Neutral maintained. Target is raised to $11.40 from $11.10.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $11.40 Current Price is $11.16 Difference: $0.24
If SGM meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $12.14, suggesting upside of 8.8%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 61.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.30.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.0, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.7.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 137.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.15.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 102.1, implying annual growth of 117.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SHA SHAPE AUSTRALIA CORPORATION LIMITED
Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers – Overnight Price: $2.68
Moelis rates ((SHA)) as Buy (1) –
Shape Australia announced FY24 earnings at the top end of the July updated guidance, Moelis assesses with revenue down -3% due to the delay in starting a few large projects.
Margins were “resilient” because of improved “operational efficiencies”, management is quoted.
Moelis upgrades EPS forecasts by 3.4% and 5.7% for FY25/FY26, respectively, with record project wins alongside a good backlog of orders.
Target price lifts to $2.95 from $2.64. Buy rated.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $2.95 Current Price is $2.68 Difference: $0.27
If SHA meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 19.30 cents and EPS of 20.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.27.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 19.90 cents and EPS of 21.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.58.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Petra Capital rates ((SHA)) as Buy (1) –
Shape Australia reported slightly better than forecast FY24 earnings, ahead of Petra Capital’s expectations and consensus.
The broker likes the continued diversification of the order book from the office segment, up to circa 50%.
FY24 gross margin increased to 9.1% from 7.6% from FY23, due to more projects reaching completion.
Petra Capital lifts the EPS forecasts by 6% and 11% for FY25/FY26, respectively.
Buy rated, $2.84 target price, raised from $2.47.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $2.84 Current Price is $2.68 Difference: $0.16
If SHA meets the Petra Capital target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 18.30 cents and EPS of 20.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.20.
Forecast for FY26:
Petra Capital forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 20.30 cents and EPS of 22.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.86.
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SLC SUPERLOOP LIMITED
Telecommunication – Overnight Price: $1.72
Wilsons rates ((SLC)) as Overweight (1) –
Superloop’s FY24 revenue outpaced consensus’ and Wilsons’ forecasts by 3% thanks to a strong performance from its Consumer division, which experienced a 33% jump in customers, a 37% jump in revenue and 43% rise in gross profit.
FY25 guidance fell shy of consensus and Wilsons’ forecasts at the midpoint. Management expects a 55% increase in customers over two years, coupled with a 67% rise in revenue over the period.
While appreciating the company’s strong organic growth profile, the broker suggests acquisitions may be needed to meet these targets. FY25 EPS forecasts fall.
Overweight rating retained. Target price jumps 18% to $1.91 from $1.61.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $1.91 Current Price is $1.72 Difference: $0.19
If SLC meets the Wilsons target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 107.50.
Forecast for FY26:
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.22.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
STO SANTOS LIMITED
NatGas – Overnight Price: $7.37
Jarden rates ((STO)) as Overweight (2) –
Santos reported 1H24 earnings -6% below consensus forecasts, Jarden notes, with higher-than-expected costs across production, royalties, inventory and “other” items.
The analyst is optimistic on a 3Q25 startup of Barossa (50% interest) because of positive drilling results.
Costs at Bayu Undan continued to rise and came in above the broker’s estimates. Jarden revises EPS forecasts by -5% and -5.2% for FY24/FY25, respectively.
Overweight rating remains. Target falls to $8.10 from $8.25.
This report was published on August 23, 2024.
Target price is $8.10 Current Price is $7.37 Difference: $0.73
If STO meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $8.25, suggesting upside of 11.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY24:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 31.69 cents and EPS of 55.92 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.18.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.4, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.32 cents and EPS of 48.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.21.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.4, implying annual growth of N/A.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
SXE SOUTHERN CROSS ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING LIMITED
Mining Sector Contracting – Overnight Price: $1.90
Moelis rates ((SXE)) as Buy (1) –
Southern Cross Electrical Engineering reported FY24 slightly ahead of expectations, Moelis assesses, with a boost from infrastructure growth.
The company’s order book stands at $720m, a record. Infrastructure represents two-thirds with the balance split between commercial and resources. Some 93% of the work is in NSW, ACT and WA, the broker states.
Management reiterated guidance for FY25, with infrastructure the key driver of growth, the analyst notes. Buy rated. Target price adjusts to $2.10 from $1.94.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $1.90 Difference: $0.2
If SXE meets the Moelis target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 12.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.45.
Forecast for FY26:
Moelis forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 13.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.39.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
TLC LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED
Gaming – Overnight Price: $4.85
Goldman Sachs rates ((TLC)) as Neutral (3) –
Lottery Corp posted FY24 results slightly ahead of Goldman Sachs estimates. The Saturday Lotto game change will be implemented in FY25 with further potential game innovation in FY26-27 for Set for Life and Powerball.
The broker revises FY25-26 EBIT down -2-4% and reduces the target to $5.40 from $5.60. Neutral.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $4.85 Difference: $0.55
If TLC meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.53, suggesting upside of 13.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.94.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of -2.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.25.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of 7.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Jarden rates ((TLC)) as Neutral (3) –
Jarden assesses Lottery Corp over-earned by around $60m EBITDA in the FY24 results because of a record jackpot season, leading to $250m in revenue above trend.
A 2.5c special dividend was announced bringing the total to 18.5c (100% franked) for FY24.
The broker expects consensus downgrades between -4% to -5% for FY25 on the back of normalised jackpots, inflation costs and more up-to-date market factors.
Neutral rating. Target revised to $5.10 from $5.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $5.10 Current Price is $4.85 Difference: $0.25
If TLC meets the Jarden target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.53, suggesting upside of 13.9%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 16.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.22.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of -2.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.6.
Forecast for FY26:
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 16.50 cents and EPS of 18.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.22.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of 7.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
VNT VENTIA SERVICES GROUP LIMITED
Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers – Overnight Price: $4.39
Canaccord Genuity rates ((VNT)) as Buy (1) –
Strong growth in the Defence & Social Infrastructure and Telecommunications divisions propelled FY24 underlying earnings (EBITDA) 9% higher than in FY23 to $245.8m, compared to Canaccord Genuity’s $247m estimate.
The broker’s main highlight was outlook commentary by management, with guidance upgraded to FY25 NPATA growth of between 10%-12%, up from 7-10%. It’s noted key defence contract decisions are pending and will likely be a positive share price catalyst.
An interim dividend of 9.35 cents was declared representing a payout ratio of 75%.
The broker suggests high levels of contracted work underpin the immediate outlook. The Buy rating is maintained, and the target rises to $4.75 from $4.40.
This report was published on August 22, 2024.
Target price is $4.75 Current Price is $4.39 Difference: $0.36
If VNT meets the Canaccord Genuity target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.53, suggesting upside of 3.1%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY24:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.88.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.8, implying annual growth of 11.8%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.
Forecast for FY25:
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.14.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.3, implying annual growth of 10.1%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
WTC WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED
Cloud services – Overnight Price: $120.14
Goldman Sachs rates ((WTC)) as Neutral (3) –
FY24 results from WiseTech Global were largely ahead of Goldman Sachs estimates with EBITDA slightly above the top end of guidance. FY25 guidance is strong amid CargoWise growth expectations of 31-37%.
The latter ameliorates the broker’s concerns regarding the company’s ability to sustain around 30% revenue growth.
The broker suggests one of the negatives in the results is a material ramp up in earnings for CargoWise that implies very strong initial usage of new products, which may slow going forward. Neutral retained. Target rises 14% to $104.
This report was published on August 21, 2024.
Target price is $104.00 Current Price is $120.14 Difference: minus $16.14 (current price is over target).
If WTC meets the Goldman Sachs target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges – negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $109.17, suggesting downside of -9.1%(ex-dividends)
The company’s fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY25:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 123.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 97.67.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.3, implying annual growth of 51.5%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 99.9.
Forecast for FY26:
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 164.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock’s estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 73.26.How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?
Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.0, implying annual growth of 37.2%.
Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.
Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 72.8.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena’s consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don’t have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide experienced, intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface.
This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.
Decisions about inclusions in this Report are made independently of the providers of stock market research and at full discretion of the team of journalists responsible for content at FNArena. Inclusion does not equal endorsement, in any way, shape or form. This Report is provided for informational purposes only.
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For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SXE - SOUTHERN CROSS ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VNT - VENTIA SERVICES GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED