NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED (NST)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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NST - NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Gold & Silver
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.67
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Northern Star is an Australian gold producer with assets in Australia and North America. Founded in 2000, the company became a listed entity in 2003.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$14.30

19 Jul
2024

-0.220

OPEN

$14.09

-1.52%

HIGH

$14.33

4,739,602

LOW

$14.00

TARGET
$15.82 10.6% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
A1M . ADT . ALK . AMI . BC8 . BEZ . BGL . CAI . CEL . CMM . CNB . CVV . CYL . DEG . EMR . EVN . EVR . FFM . FFM . FND . GMD . GOR . GPR . HGO . IGO . KCN . KGL . MAU . MEI . NEM . NVA . OBM . PDI . PNR . PRU . RED . RMS . RRL . RSG . RXL . RXM . SBM . SPR . SSR . STM . STN . SVL . TBR . TTM . WAF . WGX .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
NST: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 50.8 56.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 26.5 32.7 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 37.3% 10.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 23.3% 23.4% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 25.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.3% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 52.2% 58.4% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.60%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

1.85

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/03 - ex-div 15c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx50.8
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx26.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4,131.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx738.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,351.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.17 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.01 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.41 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.85 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.01 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.60 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx176.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx139 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,183 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,322 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,133 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.64

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,059.2 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx25.64 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,553 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-312 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx191 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

24/06/2024

1

Outperform

$18.00

25.87%

Macquarie has updated commodity forecasts and retains an overweight view on aluminum, nickel and met coal with an underweight view of iron ore, lithium and thermal coal, with a neutral view on gold.

The broker adjusts the Northern Star Resources earnings by 10% in FY24 and 30% in FY25.

Outperform rating retained and the target price raised to $18 from $17.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 34.90 cents and EPS of 62.00 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 45.40 cents and EPS of 111.20 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxx xx xxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

(xx/xx/xxxx)

xx.xx%

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EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Goldman Sachs

11/07/2024

3

Neutral

$14.40

0.70%

Goldman Sachs still prefers near-term margins/returns over long-term ounces when selecting exposures in the Australian Gold sector. Assets with less execution risk and those best positioned to capture increases in gold pricing are also favoured.

The analysts remain wary on gold stocks continuing to underperform on higher costs/capex guidance for FY25 in upcoming quarterly results.

Both Northern Star Resources and Evolution Mining have the best gold production outlook in Goldman’s view, with production growing in the majority of the next five years.

The Neutral rating is kept for Northern Star Resources and the target slips to $14.40 from $14.50.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 55.00 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 120.00 cents.

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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NST STOCK CHART