
Rudi's View | Oct 02 2025
This story features REDOX LIMITED, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDX
The company is included in ASX300 and ALL-ORDS
Update on expert views, favourite stocks and Top Picks post the August results season in Australia.
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor
Morgan Stanley has nominated its post-August key small-/mid-cap ideas, supported by conviction on earnings and outlook:
-Redox ((RDX))
-Baby Bunting ((BBN))
-Life360 ((360))
As the in-house view has grown more confident about a more resilient global growth outlook, multiple changes have been made to the Australia Macro+ Model Portfolio and the Focus List.
A better growth outlook domestically translates into improved attractiveness for selected small and midcap companies, which is reflected in the changes made.
For the Australia Macro+ Model Portfolio:
Have been added in September:
-AMP ((AMP))
-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Generation Development ((GDG))
-GemLife Communities Group ((GLF))
-Iluka Resources ((ILU))
-Qube Holdings ((QUB))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Tuas Ltd ((TUA))
Have been removed:
-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-Amcor ((AMC))
-Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
Additions made to the Australia Macro+ Focus List:
-AMP
-BlueScope Steel
-GemLife Communities Group
-Iluka Resources
-Seek
-The Lottery Company ((TLC))
Have been removed:
-Car Group ((CAR))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Santos ((STO))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
****
Contrary to many an offshore market, the ASX suffered from post-August reporting disappointment with a little bit of RBA hawkishness added into the mix, strategists at Wilsons have observed.
Consensus earnings forecasts have been reduced throughout the month to 3.3% growth only for FY26 (was 4.8%) and this has been reflected in a net negative outcome for the ASX200 in September.
Mind you, minus -0.8% on a total return (dividends included) is hardly the stuff to be overly depressed about, though we know from personal observation many an individual stock has performed a lot worse over the past four weeks.
Wilsons strategists suggest post-August weakness has opened up opportunities in Brambles ((BXB)), The Lottery Corp ((TLC)) and Worley ((WOR)).
Wilsons’ Focus Portfolio’s largest overweight positions include ANZ Bank ((ANZ)), ResMed ((RMD)), Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI)) and Goodman Group ((GMG)).
Other high conviction holdings include Collins Foods ((CKF)), Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX)), Sandfire Resources ((SFR)), Worley, TechnologyOne ((TNE)) and WiseTech Global ((WTC)).
Having said all that, Macquarie strategists spotted the early beginnings of a new positive uptrend with the broker’s EPS forecasts actually improving throughout September.
Macquarie, as indicated earlier, is looking for forecasts to rise throughout FY26, which underpins this broker’s positive outlook for the market.
Macquarie is expecting a net positive outcome from the upcoming AGM season with the team of quant analysts favouring Aussie Broadband ((ABB)), Stockland ((SGP)), Australian Finance Group ((AFG)), JB Hi-Fi ((JBH)) and Downer EDI ((DOW)) for positive market update (among others).
The same quant analysis has identified Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE)), nib Holdings ((NHF)) and WiseTech Global ((WTC)) for negative news (among others).
****
Strategists at UBS believe smaller cap Australian stocks remain circa -10% undervalued against the top class of the index which could open up the prospect of a larger-than-usual re-rate.
UBS has tried to identify industrial companies trading at relatively depressed valuations versus history and with a reasonable correlation to the Australian economic cycle (expected to improve).
Companies that fit the mould include Superloop ((SLC)), oOh!media ((OML)), REA Group ((REA)), Aussie Broadband ((ABB)), National Storage REIT ((NSR)), Rural Funds ((RRL)), Dexus ((DXS)), Metcash ((MTS)), Premier Investments ((PMV)), and Harvey Norman ((HVN)).
****
Strategists at stockbroker Morgans have zoomed in on Quality stocks that have run into selling pressure of late and whose underperformance is now seen as an opportunity.
Morgans has highlighted Amcor ((AMC)), CSL ((CSL)), Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI)), PWR Holdings ((PWH)), Sonic Healthcare ((SHL)), Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE)), and Xero ((XRO)).
****
Jarden has revisited its thesis that the backdrop for Australian consumer electronics companies is the most favourable it has been in years, and believes that conclusion still stands.
Positive factors include the replacement cycle post-covid, new home activity and new product development.
Most likely to benefit most in the two years ahead:
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Harvey Norman ((HVN))
-JB Hi-Fi ((JBH))
-Officeworks ((WES))
****
The latest strategy update by Bell Potter has revealed the addition of Generation Development ((GDG)) to the Core Portfolio and the removal of Hub24 ((HUB)).
Platform operator Hub24’s share price has no doubt surprised both friend and foe over the twelve months past by roughly surging 70%.
Bell Potter’s investment case for Generation Development is predicated on exposure to structural tailwinds in the Australian superannuation and managed accounts sector, combined with the scalability of the business.
In communicating its top five top and bottom portfolio positions, the strategists are showing their current convictions.
Top Five Portfolio Exposures (Largest first):
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
-News Corp ((NWS))
-Light & Wonder ((LNW))
-Whitehaven Coal ((WHC))
-Worley ((WOR))
Bottom Five Portfolio Exposures (smallest exposure first)
-Wesfarmers ((WES))
-CSL ((CSL))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
In general terms, Bell Potter strategists retain a positive outlook for Australian equities with RBA rate cuts expected to deliver an improving economic outlook that should, all else remaining equal, benefit mid and small cap companies in particular.
Elevated valuations for growth stocks in combination with the risk for stagflation in the US is seen as less favourable for equities generally.
****
Morningstar’s selection of Best Stock Ideas currently consists of:
-Auckland International Airport ((AIA))
-ASX ((ASX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-Bapcor ((BAP))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-Endeavour Group ((EDV))
-Fineos Corp ((FCL))
-IDP Education ((IEL))
-Pilbara Minerals ((PLS))
-Ramsay Health Care ((RHC))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))
(Do note that, in line with all my analyses, appearances and presentations, all of the above names and calculations are provided for educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions.)
P.S. I – All paying members at FNArena are being reminded they can set an email alert for my Rudi’s View stories. Go to My Alerts (top bar of the website) and tick the box in front of ‘Rudi’s View’. You will receive an email alert every time a new Rudi’s View story has been published on the website.
P.S. II – If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included, we apologise, but technical limitations are to blame.
FNArena Subscription
A subscription to FNArena (6 or 12 months) comes with an archive of Special Reports (20 since 2006); examples below.



Find out why FNArena subscribers like the service so much: “Your Feedback (Thank You)” – Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.
FNArena is proud about its track record and past achievements: Ten Years On
Click to view our Glossary of Financial Terms
CHARTS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ABB - AUSSIE BROADBAND LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AFG - AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AIA - AUCKLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC - AMCOR PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMP - AMP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ - ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASX - ASX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BBN - BABY BUNTING GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BRG - BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BSL - BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BXB - BRAMBLES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSL - CSL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWY - CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DMP - DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DOW - DOWNER EDI LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FCL - FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDG - GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GLF - GEMLIFE COMMUNITIES GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMG - GOODMAN GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GPT - GPT GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HUB - HUB24 LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HVN - HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IEL - IDP EDUCATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ILU - ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JBH - JB HI-FI LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LNW - LIGHT & WONDER INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MTS - METCASH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NHF - NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NSR - NATIONAL STORAGE REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWS - NEWS CORPORATION
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: OML - OOH!MEDIA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORI - ORICA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PLS - PLS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PMV - PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PNI - PINNACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PWH - PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QUB - QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDX - REDOX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REA - REA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RHC - RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RRL - REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDR - SITEMINDER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SEK - SEEK LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SFR - SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SGP - STOCKLAND
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SHL - SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLC - SUPERLOOP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STO - SANTOS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUN - SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLX - TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TUA - TUAS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TWE - TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WES - WESFARMERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WHC - WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: XRO - XERO LIMITED

