
Rudi's View | Nov 06 2025
This story features SIGMA HEALTHCARE LIMITED, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SIG
The company is included in ASX50, ASX100, ASX200, ASX300 and ALL-ORDS
Updates on Model Portfolios, Best Buys, Top Picks, Sector favourites and Conviction Buys.
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor
Longview Economics‘ tactical market signals have been flashing various warning signals, but not a universal ‘get-me-outta-here’ consensus.
Kudos to those signals as global equities have merely traded sideways amidst heightened volatility, ignoring the many calls for a much deeper “reckoning”.
Not that Australian investors would necessarily agree with that statement as the local bourse has excelled in exhibiting the worst of all worlds post-August.
On days when US equities rally the local index might, just might join in with a tepid gain, but when the US sneezes the ASX most definitely suffers from pneumonia.
Exceptions have been the banks (despite everyone calling them ex-growth), commodities and smaller cap speccies. To be fair, there are equally some strong momentum stocks that largely kept going, until they no longer did.
Has anyone else noticed shares in Sigma Healthcare ((SIG)) will simply not fall?
Meanwhile, below the surface (for those whose attention is not fixated on the index), many of local High Quality and Super-Duper growth stocks have been de-rated as if the world just experienced a repeat of the Nasdaq meltdown in 2000-2001.
Unless we are about to experience such a repeat (not my personal base case scenario) or next year’s US mid-term elections year includes economic recession, the Fed loses grip of global liquidity or something similarly nasty is about to unfold, I believe this selective post-August slump for many of the best of what the ASX has to offer will eventually create a ‘starting point’ from which strong investment returns will follow next.
No idea when exactly this will happen, but I have no doubt it will.
Many of the stocks I have in mind form part of my selections on the dedicated All-Weather Stocks section of the website. Paying subscribers can check it out here: https://fnarena.com/index.php/analysis-data/all-weather-stocks/
Those earlier mentioned tactical market signals have kept the official line at Longview Economics that investors better be “cautious” with their equity portfolio strategies and positioning. That view is slowly starting to change, inspired by improving signals.
Hence, Longview’s updated view this week is that much of prior complacency and exuberance is now gone with some signals trending back into positive territory.
Longview’s communication to investors is it is time to start adding more ‘risk’ to portfolios, i.e. to take a more positive view (move Overweight US equities).
Assuming Longview’s signals are indicating the annual Santa rally for US equities is about to commence soon, Australian investors will be keeping the fingers crossed the local share market will at least keep pace and not continue underperforming.
We cannot blame Michele Bullock for everything, or can we?
Bell Potter Keeps The Faith
One team of local market strategists that has kept the faith into the Australian market resuming its positive trend soon are Paul Basha, Rob Crookston and Evelyn Murdoch at Bell Potter.
While their preference resides with mid and small cap companies –because: still ‘undervalued’ and thus offering greater upside potential– Bell Potter sees “protection” from overseas risks through owning growth companies with relatively defensive earnings.
The broker’s Australian Equity Core Portfolio has thus added Woolworths Group ((WOW)) in replacement of Coles Group ((COL)) as indication the team is now convinced the gap between the two supermarket competitors will now reverse from the trend over the past few years.
The Portfolio itself remains heavily weighted towards (in order of percentage weight):
But now that we’re at it, why not share all the portfolio components that are overweighted:
Financials
Resources
Defensives
Real Assets
Industrials
Growth
Bell Potter strategists continue their view that a number of popular household names remain too richly valued and thus the portfolio remains underweighted stocks like CommBank ((CBA)), Telstra ((TLS)), Wesfarmers ((WES)), and CSL ((CSL)).
They are not a fan of iron ore producers Fortescue ((FMG)) and Rio Tinto ((RIO)) either.
Morgan Stanley
“With more questions than answers, we maintain maximum diversification. Consider taking profits in highbeta, small/micro-cap, speculative and unprofitable equities and redeploying to large-cap core and quality stocks, including the “Mag 7” and GenAI beneficiaries in financials, health care and energy.
“In fixed income, we suggest shifting up in duration to the five-to-ten-year “belly of the curve,” while focusing on asset class diversification.
“International equities and real assets, including gold, real estate and select private infrastructure, are opportunities to add.”
In general terms, Morgan Stanley believes US equities have become more attractive recently as markets have modestly weakened.
Jarden Likes A-REITs
As share prices weakened now the RBA sits firmly on hold, Jarden sector analysts like A-REITs even more than before.
Their top sector picks:
- Goodman Group ((GMG))
- Stockland ((SGP))
- Ingenia Communities Group ((INA))
- HomeCo Daily Needs REIT ((HDN))
- Charter Hall ((CHC))
Model Portfolios, Conviction Calls & Best Buys
Bell Potter
Bell Potter has identified four quality stocks, all Hold-rated, that should see no impact on their earning growth, hence share price weakness can be treated as an opportunity (i.e. Buy on weakness):
Top Picks for agricultural exposure:
Bell Potter’s Key Picks for exposure to consumer budgets via the ASX are:
- Bega Cheese ((BGA))
- Coles Group ((COL))
- JB Hi-Fi ((JBH))
- Harvey Norman ((HVN))
- Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
- Light & Wonder ((LNW))
Bell Potter’s preferred small cap stocks:
- AMA Group ((AMA))
- Bega Cheese ((BGA))
- Cuscal ((CCL))
- Centuria Capital Group ((CNI))
- Cedar Woods Properties ((CWP))
- Develop Global ((DVP))
- Elders ((ELD))
- Generation Development ((GDG))
- Integral Diagnostics ((IDX))
- Kinatico ((KYP))
- Macmahon Holdings ((MAH))
- Nickel Industries ((NIC))
- Praemium ((PPS))
- Universal Store ((UNI))
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs’ APAC Conviction list only includes two ASX-listed stocks:
Morgans
Morgans’ selection of Best Ideas:
Financials
Consumer Staples
Healthcare
Infrastructure & Utilities
Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
A-REITs
Consumer Discretionary
- Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
- Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
- Guzman Y Gomez ((GYG))
- Light & Wonder ((LNW))
Industrials
Travel
Corporate Travel Management ((CTD))
Technology
Agriculture
Elders ((ELD))
Mining & Energy
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley’s Australia Macro+ Focus List currently consists of the following ten:
- Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
- AMP Ltd ((AMP))
- ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
- BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
- GemLife Communities Group ((GLF))
- Goodman Group ((GMG))
- Iluka Resources ((ILU))
- Seek (((SEK))
- The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
- Xero ((XRO))
The Australia Macro+ Model Portfolio:
- ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
- CommBank ((CBA))
- National Australia Bank ((NAB))
- Westpac ((WBC))
- Macquarie Group ((MQG))
- AMP Ltd ((AMP))
- Generation Development ((GDG))
- Suncorp Group ((SUN))
- GemLife Communities Group ((GLF))
- Goodman Group ((GMG))
- GPT Group ((GPT))
- Scentre Group ((SCG))
- Stockland ((SGP))
- Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
- Eagers Automotive ((APE))
- Car Group ((CAR))
- Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
- The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
- Wesfarmers ((WES))
- Xero ((XRO))
- James Hardie ((JHX))
- Orica ((ORI))
- Qube Holdings ((QUB))
- Seek ((SEK))
- Coles Group ((COL))
- CSL ((CSL))
- ResMed ((RMD))
- Telstra ((TLS))
- Transurban Group ((TCL))
- Tuas Ltd ((TUA))
- BHP Group ((BHP))
- BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
- Iluka Resources ((ILU))
- Newmont Corp ((NEM))
- Rio Tinto ((RIO))
- South32 ((S32))
- Santos ((STO))
- Woodside Energy ((WDS))
Morningstar
Morningstar’s Dividend Pick list (23 names in total):
- ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
- Telstra Group ((TLS))
- Woodside Energy ((WDS))
- Rio Tinto ((RIO))
- Woolworths ((WOW))
- ASX Ltd ((ASX))
- APA Group ((APA))
- Sonic Healthcare ((SHL))
- GPT Group ((GPT))
- Amcor ((AMC))
- Dexus ((DXS))
- Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
- Steadfast Group ((SDF))
- Endeavour Group ((EDV))
- AGL Energy ((AGL))
- Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
- Dyno Nobel ((DNL))
- Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
- Chorus ((CNU))
- Charter Hall Long Wale REIT ((CLW))
- Viva Energy ((VEA))
- Genesis Energy ((GNE))
- Deterra Royalties ((DRR))
Morningstar’s selection of Best Ideas for ASX-listed stocks consists of the following:
- AGL Energy ((AGL))
- Auckland International Airport ((AIA))
- ASX Ltd ((ASX))
- Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
- Bapcor ((BAP))
- Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
- Dexus ((DXS))
- Endeavour Group ((EDV))
- Fineos Corp ((FCL))
- IDP Education ((IEL))
- Pilbara Minerals ((PLS))
- Ramsay Health Care ((RHC))
- SiteMinder ((SDR))
- Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
- Woodside Energy ((WDS))
UBS
UBS’ list of Most Preferred ASX-listed stocks:
Resources
- BHP Group ((BHP))
- BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
- Genesis Minerals ((GMD))
- Newmont Corp ((NEM))
- Orica ((ORI))
- Origin Energy ((ORG))
Financials & REITS
- Goodman Group ((GMG))
- Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
- Mirvac Group ((MGR))
- nib Holdings ((NHF))
- Westpac ((WBC))
Industrials
- Cochlear ((COH))
- Coles ((COL))
- Harvey Norman ((HVN))
- Metcash ((MTS))
- NextDC ((NXT))
- REA Group ((REA))
- ResMed ((RMD))
- SGH Ltd ((SGH))
- Superloop ((SLC))
- TechnologyOne ((TNE))
- Telstra ((TLS))
- Virgin Australia ((VGN))
- WiseTech Global ((WTC))
UBS also compiles a list of Least Preferred ASX-listed stocks:
- ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
- APA Group ((APA))
- Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
- ASX Ltd ((ASX))
- CommBank ((CBA))
- Inghams Group ((ING))
- Reece ((REH))
- Temple & Webster ((TPW))
Wilsons
Wilsons thinks the local healthcare sector offers compelling bottom-up growth stories, including for its two sector favourites; ResMed ((RMD)) and Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
Wilsons’ Focus Portfolio retains an Overweight allocation to the sector, also including CSL (CSL).
(Do note that, in line with all my analyses, appearances and presentations, all of the above names and calculations are provided for educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions.)
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CHARTS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AIA - AUCKLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL - ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALQ - ALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALX - ATLAS ARTERIA
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMA - AMA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC - AMCOR PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMP - AMP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ - ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APE - EAGERS AUTOMOTIVE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARB - ARB CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASX - ASX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BGA - BEGA CHEESE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BSL - BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAT - CATAPULT SPORTS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CCL - CUSCAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CGF - CHALLENGER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CHC - CHARTER HALL GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CLW - CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CNI - CENTURIA CAPITAL GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CNU - CHORUS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COL - COLES GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSC - CAPSTONE COPPER CORP.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSL - CSL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CTD - CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWP - CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DGT - DIGICO INFRASTRUCTURE REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DMP - DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DNL - DYNO NOBEL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DRR - DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DVP - DEVELOP GLOBAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBR - EBR SYSTEMS INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ELD - ELDERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVN - EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FCL - FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FMG - FORTESCUE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDG - GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GLF - GEMLIFE COMMUNITIES GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMG - GOODMAN GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNE - GENESIS ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GPT - GPT GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GYG - GUZMAN Y GOMEZ LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HDN - HOMECO DAILY NEEDS REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HVN - HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IAG - INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IDX - INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IEL - IDP EDUCATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ILU - ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ING - INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JBH - JB HI-FI LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: KYP - KINATICO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LNW - LIGHT & WONDER INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAF - MA FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAH - MACMAHON HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGR - MIRVAC GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MP1 - MEGAPORT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MTS - METCASH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NAB - NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEM - NEWMONT CORPORATION REGISTERED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NHF - NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NIC - NICKEL INDUSTRIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NST - NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NUF - NUFARM LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWS - NEWS CORPORATION
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NXT - NEXTDC LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORI - ORICA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PLS - PLS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PME - PRO MEDICUS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PNI - PINNACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPS - PRAEMIUM LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PWH - PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAL - QUALITAS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QUB - QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REA - REA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REH - REECE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RFF - RURAL FUNDS GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RGN - REGION GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RHC - RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: S32 - SOUTH32 LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SCG - SCENTRE GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDF - STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDR - SITEMINDER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SEK - SEEK LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SGH - SGH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SGP - STOCKLAND
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SHL - SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SIG - SIGMA HEALTHCARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLC - SUPERLOOP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STO - SANTOS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUN - SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TCL - TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLX - TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPW - TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TUA - TUAS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TWE - TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TYR - TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: UNI - UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VEA - VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VGN - VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WBC - WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WES - WESFARMERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WHC - WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOW - WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: XRO - XERO LIMITED

