Rudi’s View: Feb Season’s Best Buys & Key Picks

rudi-views
Always an independent thinker, Rudi has not shied away from making big out-of-consensus predictions that proved accurate later on. When Rio Tinto shares surged above $120 he wrote investors should sell. In mid-2008 he warned investors not to hold on to equities in oil producers. In August 2008 he predicted the largest sell-off in commodities stocks was about to follow. In 2009 he suggested Australian banks were an excellent buy. Between 2011 and 2015 Rudi consistently maintained investors were better off avoiding exposure to commodities and to commodities stocks. Post GFC, he dedicated his research to finding All-Weather Performers. See also "All-Weather Performers" on this website, as well as the Special Reports section.

Rudi's View | 4:21 PM

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor

Fresh from the press: Stockbroker Morgans harbours positive expectations ahead of the upcoming February results season for the following 12 companies:

-Expecting forecast-beating results from the renamed Breville, BRG Group ((BRG)), Computershare ((CPU)), Guzman y Gomez ((GYG)), and Tasmea ((TEA))

-Expecting a strong outlook from Lovisa Holdings ((LOV)), Megaport ((MP1)), Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI)), ResMed ((RMD)), Superloop ((SLC)) and Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))

-Regal Partners ((RPL)) is expected to announce capital management

-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE)) is expected to report better-than-feared financials

On the negative side, Morgans sees earnings risk for Healius ((HLS)), HealtCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT ((HCW)), IDP Education ((IEL)), Monadelphous ((MND)), Ramsay Health Care ((RHC)), Tourism Holdings Rentals ((THL)), and Ventia Services Group ((VNT)).

A soft market update might feature results from ARB Corp ((ARB)), Domino's Pizza ((DMP)), Endeavour Group ((EDV)), and Woolworths Group ((WOW)).

Other companies that might be under threat of releasing a weaker-than-expected result in February are nib Holdings ((NHF)) and PeopleIn ((PPE)).

Taking into account the local share market is trading at a notable premium to its long-term valuation multiples, Morgans prefers caution, suspecting that companies that fail to deliver on high valuations will be punished.

The broker's best tactical calls among small caps include Acrow ((ACF)), Lovisa, Megaport, Pinnacle Investment Management, Regal Partners, Superloop, Tasmea and Universal Store.

Preferred exposures on current weakness for resources stocks include BHP Group ((BHP)), Sandfire Resources ((SFR)), South32 ((S32)), Whitehaven Coal ((WHC)) and Woodside Energy ((WDS)).

Key calls for the Financial Services sector are QBE Insurance ((QBE)), Suncorp Group ((SUN)), Challenger ((CGF)), MA Financial ((MAF)) and Tyro Payments ((TYR)).

Taking all of the above, and more, into account, Morgans' key calls for February include Computershare, Guzman y Gomez, Lovisa Holdings, Megaport, Pinnacle Investment Management and Superloop.


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