
Rudi's View | Dec 19 2024
This story features MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MPL
Today’s update includes:
-A Conflict In Waiting?
-Banks And Super Funds
-A Comeback For Value?
-The Ongoing AI Promise
-Two New Additions
-More WiseTech Global dirt?
-FNArena Talks
-Bell Potter’s Best Picks
-Best Buys & Conviction Calls
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor
A Conflict In Waiting?
Ronald Temple, Chief Market Strategist Lazard:
“If President Trump implements tariffs and immigration controls, I would expect the FOMC to stop easing policy until it can assess the impact of such policies on inflation.
“This decision would likely lead to increased tension with the White House.”
Note: Jay Powell’s current term ends in May 2026.
Banks And Super Funds
A quick update put together by strategists at Morgan Stanley points firmly in the direction of superannuation funds in Australia to explain the 2024 enigma of expensive bank share prices that seemingly keep rallying higher come hail, rain or sunshine.
Net buying of bank shares by Australia’s superannuation sector has, in the words of the report, “heavily influenced sector performance and arguably pushed sector valuation to extremes”.
September data released by the ABS reveal the local superannuation sector has increased its ownership of Australian banks to 29.7% from 27.9% in September 2023.
Net purchasing has remained elevated throughout the calendar year past while most other investors, including offshore institutions and local households, have been selling.
Apart from super funds, Morgan Stanley also sees net buying from passive/ETF flows this year as having provided support to bank share prices, irrespective of valuations, which are pretty much universally seen as “expensive” (and that’s the mild version for putting it).
The report also highlights the issue is increasingly attracting the attention from the RBA –worried about potential stability risk– and the Council of Financial Regulators.
The latter Council is the main coordinating body for Australia’s financial regulators, bringing together the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), the Australian Treasury and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
APRA has a review flagged into the super funds sector and its strong desire to own the local banks for 2025.
Morgan Stanley’s update concludes with: “Given the valuation stretch in the Bank sector any fatigue in flow from what has been the dominant driver this year could be a trigger for multiple derate back to more normal valuation levels.”
A Comeback For Value?
Your typical value investor is not leaving 2024 behind with a lot of warm, fuzzy feelings and that’s putting it mildly.
Investment returns in 2024 have mostly been linked to a rather narrow selection of significant outperformers, including the banks in Australia, technology and growth stocks, and the explosion in demand for data centres on the back of the AI megatrend.
Bell Potter Equity Strategist Rob Crookston remains hopeful investors can fall in love again with the cheaper-priced ‘value’ segment of equities, sometime in 2025.
His reasoning is based on two core beliefs: economic growth should accelerate in 2026 and bond yields will remain higher-for-longer. Value stocks tend to perform well during an economic uptrend which should boost their earnings potential, so that’s one tick of approval.
Value stocks also tend to outperform when bond yields are on the rise. Crookston admits bond yields are most likely due for a fall in the year ahead, but he also believes (hopes?) that bond yields staying higher-for-longer (i.e. they won’t fall as deeply as normally would have been the case) will also help value stocks performing.
An extra bonus could stem from Trump’s policies. If these policies result in higher inflation, value stocks should do well, all else remaining equal.
The three sectors identified as offering the best value opportunities in Australia, are:
-Health insurers
-Travel sector
-Energy sector
Crookston specifically mentions Medibank Private ((MPL)), nib Holdings ((NHF)), Flight Centre Travel ((FLT)) and Santos ((STO)).
That other important segment on the value side of markets, commodities and mining companies, has been significantly de-rated over the past six months or so, with only a brief reprieve in October.
Strategists at Citi see no relief in sight, despite share prices looking “cheaply” priced. The in-house view keeps Citi Neutral to Bearish on the sector, with China stimulus and the potential for a trade war next year the two big unknowns.
The Ongoing AI Promise
Alina Gregory, Investment Director Cazenove: “Generative AI accounts for around 3-4% of total IT spend today (across hardware, software, services, advertising and gaming), and according to analysis from Bloomberg, it could expand to 14-16% by 2032.
“But as the technology continues to evolve, first-mover advantage may not last forever for the winners of today, and so we do have to constantly ask ourselves the question of whether these companies can live up to their high expectations.
‘Time will tell whether AI will deliver on its promise, but from what we see today, it certainly looks promising.”
Franklin Templeton‘s Global Investment Outlook 2025: “AI –if it is truly revolutionary– will reward investors beyond those who invested in computer chips. The next stage of returns likely resides in those industries that intelligently apply AI to their production, product development and client experience.”
Two New Additions
Two smaller cap companies have caught my attention these past few weeks and I’ve decided to add Integral Diagnostics ((IDX)) and Redox ((RDX)) to my curated lists on the All-Weather Stocks section of the FNArena website.
Integral Diagnostics is merging with Capitol Health and, as we explained in our story this week, this could well be the ideal starting point for multi-years of growth acceleration against a background that is made more favourable because of the next phase in MRI deregulation that is kicking in gear by mid next year.
This week’s story: https://fnarena.com/index.php/2024/12/18/diagnostic-imaging-radiates-opportunity/
Redox has a short life as an ASX-listed entity (mid-2023) but its track record from thirty years prior should have every investor’s attention. If management can continue delivering as a listed entity, this could well become the next addition to a select list of true All-Weathers.
A recent initiation of coverage report by Morgan Stanley sums up the key characteristics: a strong competitive position, deeply embedded at the centre of fragmented supply and demand, asset-light, with a stable and resilient earnings profile.
Redox is the largest distributor of chemicals in Australia having grown its revenues by 12% CAGR per annum over the past thirty years. Those readers who pay attention to the selections and lists included in my Rudi’s View updates every Thursday might have noticed Redox was picked by the Quant team at Macquarie a few months ago (see further below).
Including Morgan Stanley, there are now three daily monitored brokers that cover the company. I’d say put both companies on your radar. I have.
More WiseTech Global dirt?
I’ve been informed by a credible source that investigative journalists are digging for more dirt on WiseTech Global ((WTC)) and its founder/ex-CEO Richard White.
I don’t have the exact details but it’s probably a fair assumption that if/when the next story breaks, it won’t be positive PR for the company.
Given WiseTech Global is included in my curated list of Prime Growth Stories in the All-Weather section on the website, I feel obliged to keep FNArena subscribers informed.
FNArena Talks
My final interview for Switzer TV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn9Xc3cFrOc
Bell Potter’s Best Picks
As has pretty much become tradition, analysts at Bell Potter have selected and published their most favoured stock picks for the year ahead. As per usual, there’s plenty to take in as multiple ideas are being put forward per sectors.
-Listed Investment Companies (LICs): Australian Foundation Investment Company (AFI), Qualitas Real Estate Income Fund ((QRI)), and MFF Capital Investments ((MFF))
-Technology & Gaming: Life360 ((360)), Light & Wonder ((LNW)), and Gentrack Group ((GTK))
-Diversified Financials: Perpetual ((PPT)) and Regal Partners ((RPL))
-Real Estate: Aspen Group ((APZ)), Cedar Woods ((CWP)), and Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXC))
-Retailers: JB Hi-Fi ((JBH)), Premier Investments ((PMV)), and Accent Group ((AX1))
-Industrials: GenusPlus Group ((GNP)), SRG Global ((SRG)), and Duratec ((DUR)) as well as Austal Ltd ((ASB)), Brickworks ((BKW)), and IPD Group ((IPG))
-Healthcare: PolyNovo ((PNV)), Clarity Pharmaceuticals ((CU6)), and CSL ((CSL)) as well as EBR Systems ((EBR)), Biome Australia ((BIO)), and Genetic Signatures ((GSS))
-Gold companies: Genesis Minerals ((GMD)), Gold Road Resources ((GOR)), and Santana Minerals ((SMI))
-Base Metals: AIC Mines ((A1M)) and Nickel Industries ((NIC))
-Strategic Minerals: Alpha HPA ((A4N)) and IperionX ((IPX))
-Bulks & Energy companies: Boss Energy ((BOE)), Champion Iron ((CIA)), and Fenix Resources ((FEX))
For those who like to keep track on how these lists change and perform, below is what Bell Potter’s previous selection looked like:
-Among listed investment companies (LICs); Australian Foundation Investment Company ((AFI)), Metrics Master Income Trust ((MXT)), and MFF Capital Investments ((MFF))
-Agriculture & fast moving consumer goods; Bega Cheese ((BGA)), Rural Funds Group ((RFF)), and Elders ((ELD))
-Technology; TechnologyOne ((TNE)), Gentrack ((GTK)), and REA Group ((REA))
-Diversified Financials; Perpetual ((PPT)), Regal Partners ((RPL)), and McMillan Shakespeare ((MMS))
-Real Estate; Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXS)), HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW)), and GDI Property Group ((GDI))
-Retailers; Premier Investments ((PMV)), Universal Store Holdings ((UNI)), and Propel Funeral Partners ((PFP))
-Aerospace & Defence; Electro Optic Systems ((EOS)) and Austal ((ASB))
-Industrials; Brickworks ((BKW)), IPD Group ((IPG)), and Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-Healthcare; Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX)), Cyclopharm ((CYC)), Aroa Bioscience ((ARX)), MedAdvisor ((MDR)), and Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))
-Gold sector; Capricorn Metals ((CMM)) and Santana Minerals ((SMI))
-Base metals; Aeris Resources ((AIS)), Nickel Industries ((NIC)), and Mineral Resources ((MIN))
-Strategic Minerals; Alpha HPA ((A4N)), IperionX ((IPX)), and Liontown Resources ((LTR))
-Energy sector; Boss Energy ((BOE)) and Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Mining services; Seven Group Holdings ((SVW)), Mader Group ((MAD)), and SRG Global ((SRG))
Best Buys & Conviction Calls
RBC Capital’s global list of Top Picks for investors looking for exposure towards consumer spending and companies leveraged to it includes two ASX-listed companies: Webjet Group ((WEB)) and Domino’s Pizza Enterprises ((DMP)).
RBC Capital’s selection of Global Best Ideas in the Energy sector still includes Woodside Energy ((WDS)).
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Jarden’s December update has reduced the broker’s number of Best Ideas from the circa 110 smaller cap companies covered (ex-AS100) to 18 from 20 previously.
The broker’s Emerging Companies’ Key Picks (in order of total shareholder return) are:
-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-Temple & Webster ((TPW))
-Nick Scali ((NCK))
-EVT Ltd ((EVT))
Since the last update, IPH Ltd ((IPH)) and AUB Group ((AUB)) are no longer included, and Qualitas has been added. Jarden only recently initiated coverage and clearly likes Qualitas’ prospects and potential.
The above are all picked by the broker’s Emerging Companies research team. The following stock picks have been selected by respective sector analysts:
-Champion Iron ((CIA))
-Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG))
-Genesis Energy ((GNE))
-Integral Diagnostics ((IDX))
-Ingenia Communities Group ((INA))
-Inghams Group ((ING))
-Karoon Gas ((KAR))
-Michael Hill International ((MHJ))
-Monadelphous ((MND))
-Pointsbet Holdings ((PBH))
-Pepper Money ((PPM))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
Here, National Storage ((NSR)) has lost its inclusion since the prior update.
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Macquarie‘s selection of best fundamental picks among quality mid-cap companies on the ASX:
-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Ebos Group ((EBO))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH))
-Integral Diagnostics ((IDX))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-Nick Scali ((NCK))
-Megaport ((MP1))
-Monash IVF ((MVF))
-Propel Funeral Partners ((PFP))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-Ventia Services ((VNT))
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Ord Minnett‘s lists of preferred stocks on the ASX :
CORE BLUE CHIP
-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Santos ((STO))\
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
VALUE (INCOME)
-Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXC))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX))
-Ventia Services Group ((VNT))
SMALL CAPS
-Alliance Aviation ((AQZ))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Cosol ((COS))
-Electro Optic Systems ((EOS))
-EQT Holdings ((EQT))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-Lindsay Australia ((LAU))
-Qoria ((QOR))
-Regis Healthcare ((REG))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Stanmore Resources ((SMR))
-Vault Minerals ((VAU))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))
GROWTH
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Judo Capital ((JDO))
-Lynas Rare Earths ((LYC))
-Qube Holdings ((QUB))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Xero ((XRO))
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Crestone‘s freshly updated Best Sector Ideas are an attempt to identify the best in breed business models for major industry group sectors for long-term oriented investors. Anticipated performance over the next three years is part of the key considerations.
The selection consists of 17 companies (no changes made since the prior update):
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-James Hardie Industries ((JHX))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Monadelphous Group ((MND))
-REA Group ((REA))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Xero ((XRO))
Crestone’s selection of sustainable dividend growers consists of 22 names, with equally no changes made since the prior revision. Historically, the stock pickers remind investors, companies that grow dividends consistently can offer superior long-term return for those who own them.
-Amcor ((AMC))
-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
-Iress Ltd ((IRE))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Mirvac Group ((MGR))
-Pro Medicus ((PME))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-RAM Essential Services ((REP))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Tabcorp Holdings ((TAH))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Westpac Banking ((WBC))
****
Morningstar’s selection of Best Buys on the ASX consists of:
-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-TPG Telecom ((TPG))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-Bapcor ((BAP))
-Endeavour Group ((EDV))
-Santos ((STO))
-ASX Ltd ((ASX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Fineos Corp ((FCL))
-Ramsay Health Care ((RHC))
-IDP Education ((IEL))
****
Ord Minnett’s list of Conviction Calls:
-Alliance Aviation Services ((AQZ))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Cosol ((COS))
-EQT Holdings ((EQT))
-Electro Optic Systems Holdings ((EOS))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-Lindsay Australia ((LAU))
-Qoria ((QOR))
-Regis Healthcare ((REG))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Stanmore Resources ((SMR))
-Vault Minerals ((VAU))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))
****
Wilsons’ Australian Equity Focus Portfolio:
-CAR Group ((CAR))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-WEB Travel Group ((WEB))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Collins Foods ((CKF))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Santos ((STO))
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-CSL ((CSL))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
-Worley ((WOR))
-Xero ((XRO))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Evolution Mining ((EVN))
-South32 ((S32))
-Metals Acquisition ((MAC))
-Sandfire Resources ((SFR))
-HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
****
Wilsons Highest Conviction investment ideas:
-Santos ((STO))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-James Hardie
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
Among Research Ideas, the following six names are seen as Long Term Growth ideas:
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Ridley Corp ((RIC))
-Universal Stores ((UNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))
-Siteminder ((SDR))
For those with a more speculative mindset, Wilsons puts forward PYC Therapeutics ((PYC)). In the Resources sector, the choice is Beach Energy ((BPT)).
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Goldman Sachs’s APAC Conviction List includes Life360 ((360)) and Xero ((XRO)).
****
The full list of UBS’s Most Preferred Best Stock Ideas:
In Resources:
-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Santos ((STO))
In Financials:
-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
Industrials:
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-REA Group ((REA))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Worley ((WOR))
-Xero ((XRO))
The list of Least Preferred exposures:
-APA Group ((APA))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-ASX ((ASX))
-Bank of Queensland ((BOQ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG))
-JB Hi-Fi ((JBH))
-Reece ((REH))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))
****
Morgan Stanley’s Macro+ Focus List in Australia is currently made up of:
-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Santos ((STO))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
Plus:
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
****
Morgan Stanley’s Australia Macro+ Model Portfolio is currently made up of the following:
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac ((WBC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))
-Stockland ((STG))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-CAR Group ((CAR))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Wesfarmers ((WES))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Transurban ((TCL))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-South32 ((S32))
-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Santos ((STO))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))
****
Crestone’s selected list of Best Ideas in Australia:
-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Monadelphous Group ((MND))
-REA Group ((REA))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Xero ((XRO))
****
Stockbroker Morgans’ list of Best Ideas:
-Acrow ((ACF))
-ALS Ltd ((ALQ))
-Amotiv ((AOV))
-Beacon Lighting ((BLX))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Camplify Holdings ((CHL))
-Cedar Woods Properties ((CWP))
-ClearView Wealth ((CVW))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
-Dexus Industria REIT ((DXI))
-Elders ((ELD))
-Flight Centre Travel ((FLT))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-HomeCo Daily Needs REIT ((HDN))
-Karoon Energy ((KAR))
-MA Financial ((MAF))
-Maas Group ((MGH))
-Mach7 Technologies ((M7T))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-PolyNovo ((PNV))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-South32 ((S32))
-Superloop ((SLC))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-WH Soul Pattinson ((SOL))
-Woodside Energe ((WDS))
****
Macquarie Wealth‘s recommended Growth Portfolio:
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Aristocrat leisure ((ALL))
-Northern Star ((NST))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Computershare ((CPU))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Mineral Resources ((MIN))
-Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Pexa Group ((PXA))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Xero ((XRO))
Macquarie Wealth’s recommended Income Portfolio:
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Premier Investments ((PMV))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-APA Group ((APA))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-Deterra Royalties ((DRR))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Amotiv ((AOV))
-Charter Hall Retail REIT ((CQR))
-Amcor ((AMC))
****
In December, Shaw and Partners released its 10 Best Ideas to benefit from the anticipated small caps’ revival in 2024:
-AIC Mines ((A1M))
-Austin Engineering ((ANG))
-FireFly Metals ((FFM)), previously AuTeco (AUT)
-Chrysos ((C79))
-Gentrack Group ((GTK))
-Metro Mining ((MMI))
-MMA Offshore ((MRM))
-Peninsula Energy ((PEN))
-ReadyTech Holdings ((RDY))
-Silex Energy ((SLX))
****
Macquarie’s ASX Quality Compounders:
The highest quality compounders’ as identified by Macquarie quant research inside the ASX300:
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-REA Group ((REA))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Data#3 ((DTL))
-Pro Medicus ((PME))
-Jumbo Interactive ((JIN))
-PWR Holdings ((PWH))
-Netwealth Group ((NWL))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
-Codan ((CDA))
-Clinuvel Pharmacauticals ((CUV))
-Redox ((RDX))
Given Macquarie’s research strong leaning on the past five years, with high barriers to match, the following 11 companies fell just outside the above list:
-Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-CSL ((CSL))
-IDP Education ((IEL))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Johns Lyng ((JLG))
****
Ord Minnett‘s research analyst Athena Kospetas has communicated the following Key Preferred Ideas per sector:
Financials
-Westpac ((WBC))
-Judo Bank ((JDO))
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-nib Holdings ((NHF))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-EQT Trustees ((EQT))
Resources
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Red 5 ((RED))
Energy & Utilities
-Santos ((STO))
-Strike Energy ((STX))
-AGL Energy ((AGL))
Healthcare
-ResMed ((RMD))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Regis Healthcare ((REH))
Consumer stocks
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
Communication Services & Technology
-Xero ((XRO))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Telstra ((TLS))
Industrials
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Alliance Aviation ((AQZ))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Qube Holdings ((QUB))
Real Estate
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))
****
Barrenjoey’s Top Picks:
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG)) among financials, as well as GQG partners ((GQG)) and Westpac ((WBC))
-Xero ((XRO)), Pexa Group ((PXA)) and Dicker Data ((DDR)) in the technology sector
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX)) and Abacus Storage King ((ASK)) among REITs
-South32 ((S32)), Lynas Rare Earths ((LYC)) and Perseus Mining ((PRU)) among miners and Strike Energy ((STX)) in the oil&gas sector
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Aristocrat Leisure
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Seven Group ((SVW))
My research and All-Weather stock selections are 24/7 available for paying subscribers: https://fnarena.com/index.php/analysis-data/all-weather-stocks/
(Do note that, in line with all my analyses, appearances and presentations, all of the above names and calculations are provided for educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions.)
P.S. I – All paying members at FNArena are being reminded they can set an email alert for my Rudi’s View stories. Go to My Alerts (top bar of the website) and tick the box in front of ‘Rudi’s View’. You will receive an email alert every time a new Rudi’s View story has been published on the website.
P.S. II – If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included, we apologise, but technical limitations are to blame.
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CHARTS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: A1M - AIC MINES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: A4N - ALPHA HPA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ACF - ACROW LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AFI - AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT CO. LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AIS - AERIS RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALD - AMPOL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL - ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALQ - ALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALX - ATLAS ARTERIA
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC - AMCOR PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANG - AUSTIN ENGINEERING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ - ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AOV - AMOTIV LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APZ - ASPEN GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AQZ - ALLIANCE AVIATION SERVICES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARB - ARB CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARX - AROA BIOSURGERY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASB - AUSTAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASK - ABACUS STORAGE KING
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASX - ASX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AX1 - ACCENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BGA - BEGA CHEESE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BIO - BIOME AUSTRALIA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BKW - BRICKWORKS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BLX - BEACON LIGHTING GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOE - BOSS ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOQ - BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BPT - BEACH ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BRG - BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BSL - BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BXB - BRAMBLES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: C79 - CHRYSOS CORP. LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CDA - CODAN LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CHL - CAMPLIFY HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CIA - CHAMPION IRON LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CMM - CAPRICORN METALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COL - COLES GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COS - COSOL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CPU - COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CQR - CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSL - CSL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CU6 - CLARITY PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CUV - CLINUVEL PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CVW - CLEARVIEW WEALTH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWP - CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWY - CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CYC - CYCLOPHARM LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DDR - DICKER DATA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DHG - DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DMP - DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DRR - DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DTL - DATA#3 LIMITED.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DUR - DURATEC LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXC - DEXUS CONVENIENCE RETAIL REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXI - DEXUS INDUSTRIA REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBO - EBOS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBR - EBR SYSTEMS INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ELD - ELDERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EOS - ELECTRO OPTIC SYSTEMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EQT - EQT HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVN - EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVT - EVT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FCL - FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FEX - FENIX RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FFM - FIREFLY METALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FLT - FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FPH - FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDI - GDI PROPERTY GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMG - GOODMAN GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNE - GENESIS ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNP - GENUSPLUS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GOR - GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GPT - GPT GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GQG - GQG PARTNERS INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GSS - GENETIC SIGNATURES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GTK - GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HCW - HEALTHCO HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HDN - HOMECO DAILY NEEDS REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HUB - HUB24 LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IAG - INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IDX - INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IEL - IDP EDUCATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IGO - IGO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ING - INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPG - IPD GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPH - IPH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPX - IPERIONX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IRE - IRESS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JBH - JB HI-FI LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JDO - JUDO CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JIN - JUMBO INTERACTIVE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JLG - JOHNS LYNG GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: KAR - KAROON ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LAU - LINDSAY AUSTRALIA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LNW - LIGHT & WONDER INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LTR - LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LYC - LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: M7T - MACH7 TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAC - MAC COPPER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAD - MADER GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAF - MA FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MDR - MEDADVISOR LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MFF - MFF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGH - MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGR - MIRVAC GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MHJ - MICHAEL HILL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MIN - MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMI - METRO MINING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMS - MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MND - MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MP1 - MEGAPORT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MPL - MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MRM - MMA OFFSHORE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MTS - METCASH LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MVF - MONASH IVF GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MXT - METRICS MASTER INCOME TRUST
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NAB - NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NCK - NICK SCALI LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEM - NEWMONT CORPORATION REGISTERED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEU - NEUREN PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NHF - NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NIC - NICKEL INDUSTRIES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NSR - NATIONAL STORAGE REIT
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NST - NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWL - NETWEALTH GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NXT - NEXTDC LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORI - ORICA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PBH - POINTSBET HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PDN - PALADIN ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PEN - PENINSULA ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PFP - PROPEL FUNERAL PARTNERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PME - PRO MEDICUS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PMV - PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PNI - PINNACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PNV - POLYNOVO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPM - PEPPER MONEY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPT - PERPETUAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PRU - PERSEUS MINING LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PWH - PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PXA - PEXA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PYC - PYC THERAPEUTICS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAL - QUALITAS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAN - QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QBE - QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QOR - QORIA LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QRI - QUALITAS REAL ESTATE INCOME FUND
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QUB - QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDX - REDOX LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDY - READYTECH HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REA - REA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RED - RED 5 LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REG - REGIS HEALTHCARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REH - REECE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REP - RAM ESSENTIAL SERVICES PROPERTY FUND
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RFF - RURAL FUNDS GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RHC - RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIC - RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RPL - REGAL PARTNERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RWC - RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORP. LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: S32 - SOUTH32 LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SCG - SCENTRE GROUP
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDF - STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDR - SITEMINDER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SEK - SEEK LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SFR - SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLC - SUPERLOOP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLX - SILEX SYSTEMS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMI - SANTANA MINERALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMR - STANMORE RESOURCES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SOL - WASHINGTON H. SOUL PATTINSON AND CO. LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SRG - SRG GLOBAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STG - STRAKER LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STO - SANTOS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STX - STRIKE ENERGY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUN - SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TAH - TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TCL - TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLX - TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPG - TPG TELECOM LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPW - TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TWE - TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: UNI - UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VAU - VAULT MINERALS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VCX - VICINITY CENTRES
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VEA - VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VNT - VENTIA SERVICES GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WBC - WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WEB - WEB TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WES - WESFARMERS LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WPR - WAYPOINT REIT LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: XRO - XERO LIMITED