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Rudi’s View: Banks, WiseTech, Redox & Integral Diagnostics

rudi-views
Always an independent thinker, Rudi has not shied away from making big out-of-consensus predictions that proved accurate later on. When Rio Tinto shares surged above $120 he wrote investors should sell. In mid-2008 he warned investors not to hold on to equities in oil producers. In August 2008 he predicted the largest sell-off in commodities stocks was about to follow. In 2009 he suggested Australian banks were an excellent buy. Between 2011 and 2015 Rudi consistently maintained investors were better off avoiding exposure to commodities and to commodities stocks. Post GFC, he dedicated his research to finding All-Weather Performers. See also "All-Weather Performers" on this website, as well as the Special Reports section.

Rudi's View | Dec 19 2024

This story features MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MPL

Today’s update includes:

-A Conflict In Waiting?
-Banks And Super Funds
-A Comeback For Value?
-The Ongoing AI Promise
-Two New Additions
-More WiseTech Global dirt?
-FNArena Talks

-Bell Potter’s Best Picks
-Best Buys & Conviction Calls

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor

A Conflict In Waiting?

Ronald Temple, Chief Market Strategist Lazard:

“If President Trump implements tariffs and immigration controls, I would expect the FOMC to stop easing policy until it can assess the impact of such policies on inflation.

“This decision would likely lead to increased tension with the White House.”

Note: Jay Powell’s current term ends in May 2026.

Banks And Super Funds

A quick update put together by strategists at Morgan Stanley points firmly in the direction of superannuation funds in Australia to explain the 2024 enigma of expensive bank share prices that seemingly keep rallying higher come hail, rain or sunshine.

Net buying of bank shares by Australia’s superannuation sector has, in the words of the report, “heavily influenced sector performance and arguably pushed sector valuation to extremes”.

September data released by the ABS reveal the local superannuation sector has increased its ownership of Australian banks to 29.7% from 27.9% in September 2023.

Net purchasing has remained elevated throughout the calendar year past while most other investors, including offshore institutions and local households, have been selling.

Apart from super funds, Morgan Stanley also sees net buying from passive/ETF flows this year as having provided support to bank share prices, irrespective of valuations, which are pretty much universally seen as “expensive” (and that’s the mild version for putting it).

The report also highlights the issue is increasingly attracting the attention from the RBA –worried about potential stability risk– and the Council of Financial Regulators.

The latter Council is the main coordinating body for Australia’s financial regulators, bringing together the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), the Australian Treasury and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

APRA has a review flagged into the super funds sector and its strong desire to own the local banks for 2025.

Morgan Stanley’s update concludes with: “Given the valuation stretch in the Bank sector any fatigue in flow from what has been the dominant driver this year could be a trigger for multiple derate back to more normal valuation levels.”

A Comeback For Value?

Your typical value investor is not leaving 2024 behind with a lot of warm, fuzzy feelings and that’s putting it mildly.

Investment returns in 2024 have mostly been linked to a rather narrow selection of significant outperformers, including the banks in Australia, technology and growth stocks, and the explosion in demand for data centres on the back of the AI megatrend.

Bell Potter Equity Strategist Rob Crookston remains hopeful investors can fall in love again with the cheaper-priced ‘value’ segment of equities, sometime in 2025.

His reasoning is based on two core beliefs: economic growth should accelerate in 2026 and bond yields will remain higher-for-longer. Value stocks tend to perform well during an economic uptrend which should boost their earnings potential, so that’s one tick of approval.

Value stocks also tend to outperform when bond yields are on the rise. Crookston admits bond yields are most likely due for a fall in the year ahead, but he also believes (hopes?) that bond yields staying higher-for-longer (i.e. they won’t fall as deeply as normally would have been the case) will also help value stocks performing.

An extra bonus could stem from Trump’s policies. If these policies result in higher inflation, value stocks should do well, all else remaining equal.

The three sectors identified as offering the best value opportunities in Australia, are:

-Health insurers
-Travel sector
-Energy sector

Crookston specifically mentions Medibank Private ((MPL)), nib Holdings ((NHF)), Flight Centre Travel ((FLT)) and Santos ((STO)).

That other important segment on the value side of markets, commodities and mining companies, has been significantly de-rated over the past six months or so, with only a brief reprieve in October.

Strategists at Citi see no relief in sight, despite share prices looking “cheaply” priced. The in-house view keeps Citi Neutral to Bearish on the sector, with China stimulus and the potential for a trade war next year the two big unknowns.

The Ongoing AI Promise

Alina Gregory, Investment Director Cazenove: “Generative AI accounts for around 3-4% of total IT spend today (across hardware, software, services, advertising and gaming), and according to analysis from Bloomberg, it could expand to 14-16% by 2032.

“But as the technology continues to evolve, first-mover advantage may not last forever for the winners of today, and so we do have to constantly ask ourselves the question of whether these companies can live up to their high expectations.

‘Time will tell whether AI will deliver on its promise, but from what we see today, it certainly looks promising.”

Franklin Templeton‘s Global Investment Outlook 2025: “AI –if it is truly revolutionary– will reward investors beyond those who invested in computer chips. The next stage of returns likely resides in those industries that intelligently apply AI to their production, product development and client experience.”

Two New Additions

Two smaller cap companies have caught my attention these past few weeks and I’ve decided to add Integral Diagnostics ((IDX)) and Redox ((RDX)) to my curated lists on the All-Weather Stocks section of the FNArena website.

Integral Diagnostics is merging with Capitol Health and, as we explained in our story this week, this could well be the ideal starting point for multi-years of growth acceleration against a background that is made more favourable because of the next phase in MRI deregulation that is kicking in gear by mid next year.

This week’s story: https://fnarena.com/index.php/2024/12/18/diagnostic-imaging-radiates-opportunity/

Redox has a short life as an ASX-listed entity (mid-2023) but its track record from thirty years prior should have every investor’s attention. If management can continue delivering as a listed entity, this could well become the next addition to a select list of true All-Weathers.

A recent initiation of coverage report by Morgan Stanley sums up the key characteristics: a strong competitive position, deeply embedded at the centre of fragmented supply and demand, asset-light, with a stable and resilient earnings profile.

Redox is the largest distributor of chemicals in Australia having grown its revenues by 12% CAGR per annum over the past thirty years. Those readers who pay attention to the selections and lists included in my Rudi’s View updates every Thursday might have noticed Redox was picked by the Quant team at Macquarie a few months ago (see further below).

Including Morgan Stanley, there are now three daily monitored brokers that cover the company. I’d say put both companies on your radar. I have.

More WiseTech Global dirt?

I’ve been informed by a credible source that investigative journalists are digging for more dirt on WiseTech Global ((WTC)) and its founder/ex-CEO Richard White.

I don’t have the exact details but it’s probably a fair assumption that if/when the next story breaks, it won’t be positive PR for the company.

Given WiseTech Global is included in my curated list of Prime Growth Stories in the All-Weather section on the website, I feel obliged to keep FNArena subscribers informed.

FNArena Talks

My final interview for Switzer TV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn9Xc3cFrOc

Bell Potter’s Best Picks

As has pretty much become tradition, analysts at Bell Potter have selected and published their most favoured stock picks for the year ahead. As per usual, there’s plenty to take in as multiple ideas are being put forward per sectors.

-Listed Investment Companies (LICs): Australian Foundation Investment Company (AFI), Qualitas Real Estate Income Fund ((QRI)), and MFF Capital Investments ((MFF))

-Technology & Gaming: Life360 ((360)), Light & Wonder ((LNW)), and Gentrack Group ((GTK))

-Diversified Financials: Perpetual ((PPT)) and Regal Partners ((RPL))

-Real Estate: Aspen Group ((APZ)), Cedar Woods ((CWP)), and Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXC))

-Retailers: JB Hi-Fi ((JBH)), Premier Investments ((PMV)), and Accent Group ((AX1))

-Industrials: GenusPlus Group ((GNP)), SRG Global ((SRG)), and Duratec ((DUR)) as well as Austal Ltd ((ASB)), Brickworks ((BKW)), and IPD Group ((IPG))

-Healthcare: PolyNovo ((PNV)), Clarity Pharmaceuticals ((CU6)), and CSL ((CSL)) as well as EBR Systems ((EBR)), Biome Australia ((BIO)), and Genetic Signatures ((GSS))

-Gold companies: Genesis Minerals ((GMD)), Gold Road Resources ((GOR)), and Santana Minerals ((SMI))

-Base Metals: AIC Mines ((A1M)) and Nickel Industries ((NIC))

-Strategic Minerals: Alpha HPA ((A4N)) and IperionX ((IPX))

-Bulks & Energy companies: Boss Energy ((BOE)), Champion Iron ((CIA)), and Fenix Resources ((FEX))

For those who like to keep track on how these lists change and perform, below is what Bell Potter’s previous selection looked like:

-Among listed investment companies (LICs); Australian Foundation Investment Company ((AFI)), Metrics Master Income Trust ((MXT)), and MFF Capital Investments ((MFF))

-Agriculture & fast moving consumer goods; Bega Cheese ((BGA)), Rural Funds Group ((RFF)), and Elders ((ELD))

-Technology; TechnologyOne ((TNE)), Gentrack ((GTK)), and REA Group ((REA))

-Diversified Financials; Perpetual ((PPT)), Regal Partners ((RPL)), and McMillan Shakespeare ((MMS))

-Real Estate; Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXS)), HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW)), and GDI Property Group ((GDI))

-Retailers; Premier Investments ((PMV)), Universal Store Holdings ((UNI)), and Propel Funeral Partners ((PFP))

-Aerospace & Defence; Electro Optic Systems ((EOS)) and Austal ((ASB))

-Industrials; Brickworks ((BKW)), IPD Group ((IPG)), and Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))

-Healthcare; Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX)), Cyclopharm ((CYC)), Aroa Bioscience ((ARX)), MedAdvisor ((MDR)), and Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))

-Gold sector; Capricorn Metals ((CMM)) and Santana Minerals ((SMI))

-Base metals; Aeris Resources ((AIS)), Nickel Industries ((NIC)), and Mineral Resources ((MIN))

-Strategic Minerals; Alpha HPA ((A4N)), IperionX ((IPX)), and Liontown Resources ((LTR))

-Energy sector; Boss Energy ((BOE)) and Paladin Energy ((PDN))

-Mining services; Seven Group Holdings ((SVW)), Mader Group ((MAD)), and SRG Global ((SRG))

Best Buys & Conviction Calls

RBC Capital’s global list of Top Picks for investors looking for exposure towards consumer spending and companies leveraged to it includes two ASX-listed companies: Webjet Group ((WEB)) and Domino’s Pizza Enterprises ((DMP)).

RBC Capital’s selection of Global Best Ideas in the Energy sector still includes Woodside Energy ((WDS)).

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Jarden’s December update has reduced the broker’s number of Best Ideas from the circa 110 smaller cap companies covered (ex-AS100) to 18 from 20 previously.

The broker’s Emerging Companies’ Key Picks (in order of total shareholder return) are:

-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-Temple & Webster ((TPW))
-Nick Scali ((NCK))
-EVT Ltd ((EVT))

Since the last update, IPH Ltd ((IPH)) and AUB Group ((AUB)) are no longer included, and Qualitas has been added. Jarden only recently initiated coverage and clearly likes Qualitas’ prospects and potential.

The above are all picked by the broker’s Emerging Companies research team. The following stock picks have been selected by respective sector analysts:

-Champion Iron ((CIA))
-Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG))
-Genesis Energy ((GNE))
-Integral Diagnostics ((IDX))
-Ingenia Communities Group ((INA))
-Inghams Group ((ING))
-Karoon Gas ((KAR))
-Michael Hill International ((MHJ))
-Monadelphous ((MND))
-Pointsbet Holdings ((PBH))
-Pepper Money ((PPM))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))

Here, National Storage ((NSR)) has lost its inclusion since the prior update.

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Macquarie‘s selection of best fundamental picks among quality mid-cap companies on the ASX:

-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Ebos Group ((EBO))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH))
-Integral Diagnostics ((IDX))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-Nick Scali ((NCK))
-Megaport ((MP1))
-Monash IVF ((MVF))
-Propel Funeral Partners ((PFP))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-Ventia Services ((VNT))

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Ord Minnett‘s lists of preferred stocks on the ASX :

CORE BLUE CHIP

-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Santos ((STO))\
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))

VALUE (INCOME)

-Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXC))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX))
-Ventia Services Group ((VNT))

SMALL CAPS

-Alliance Aviation ((AQZ))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Cosol ((COS))
-Electro Optic Systems ((EOS))
-EQT Holdings ((EQT))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-Lindsay Australia ((LAU))
-Qoria ((QOR))
-Regis Healthcare ((REG))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Stanmore Resources ((SMR))
-Vault Minerals ((VAU))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))

GROWTH

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Judo Capital ((JDO))
-Lynas Rare Earths ((LYC))
-Qube Holdings ((QUB))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Xero ((XRO))

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Crestone‘s freshly updated Best Sector Ideas are an attempt to identify the best in breed business models for major industry group sectors for long-term oriented investors. Anticipated performance over the next three years is part of the key considerations.

The selection consists of 17 companies (no changes made since the prior update):

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-James Hardie Industries ((JHX))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Monadelphous Group ((MND))
-REA Group ((REA))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Xero ((XRO))

Crestone’s selection of sustainable dividend growers consists of 22 names, with equally no changes made since the prior revision. Historically, the stock pickers remind investors, companies that grow dividends consistently can offer superior long-term return for those who own them.

-Amcor ((AMC))
-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
-Iress Ltd ((IRE))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Mirvac Group ((MGR))
-Pro Medicus ((PME))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-RAM Essential Services ((REP))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Tabcorp Holdings ((TAH))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Westpac Banking ((WBC))

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Morningstar’s selection of Best Buys on the ASX consists of:

-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-TPG Telecom ((TPG))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-Bapcor ((BAP))
-Endeavour Group ((EDV))
-Santos ((STO))
-ASX Ltd ((ASX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Fineos Corp ((FCL))
-Ramsay Health Care ((RHC))
-IDP Education ((IEL))

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Ord Minnett’s list of Conviction Calls:

-Alliance Aviation Services ((AQZ))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Cosol ((COS))
-EQT Holdings ((EQT))
-Electro Optic Systems Holdings ((EOS))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-Lindsay Australia ((LAU))
-Qoria ((QOR))
-Regis Healthcare ((REG))
-SiteMinder ((SDR))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Stanmore Resources ((SMR))
-Vault Minerals ((VAU))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))

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Wilsons’ Australian Equity Focus Portfolio:

-CAR Group ((CAR))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-WEB Travel Group ((WEB))
-Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Collins Foods ((CKF))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Santos ((STO))
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-CSL ((CSL))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
-Worley ((WOR))
-Xero ((XRO))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Evolution Mining ((EVN))
-South32 ((S32))
-Metals Acquisition ((MAC))
-Sandfire Resources ((SFR))
-HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))

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Wilsons Highest Conviction investment ideas:

-Santos ((STO))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-James Hardie
-Hub24 ((HUB))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))

Among Research Ideas, the following six names are seen as Long Term Growth ideas:

-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Ridley Corp ((RIC))
-Universal Stores ((UNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))
-Siteminder ((SDR))

For those with a more speculative mindset, Wilsons puts forward PYC Therapeutics ((PYC)). In the Resources sector, the choice is Beach Energy ((BPT)).

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Goldman Sachs’s APAC Conviction List includes Life360 ((360)) and Xero ((XRO)).

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The full list of UBS’s Most Preferred Best Stock Ideas:

In Resources:

-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Santos ((STO))

In Financials:

-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))

Industrials:

-Brambles ((BXB))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-REA Group ((REA))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Worley ((WOR))
-Xero ((XRO))

The list of Least Preferred exposures:

-APA Group ((APA))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-ASX ((ASX))
-Bank of Queensland ((BOQ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG))
-JB Hi-Fi ((JBH))
-Reece ((REH))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))

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Morgan Stanley’s Macro+ Focus List in Australia is currently made up of:

-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Santos ((STO))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))

Plus:

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))

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Morgan Stanley’s Australia Macro+ Model Portfolio is currently made up of the following:

-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac ((WBC))

-Macquarie Group ((MQG))

-Suncorp Group ((SUN))

-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))
-Stockland ((STG))

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-CAR Group ((CAR))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Wesfarmers ((WES))
-WiseTech Global ((WTC))

-James Hardie ((JHX))

-Orica ((ORI))

-Coles Group ((COL))

-CSL ((CSL))
-ResMed ((RMD))

-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Transurban ((TCL))

-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-South32 ((S32))

-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Santos ((STO))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))

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Crestone’s selected list of Best Ideas in Australia:

-Ampol ((ALD))
-APA Group ((APA))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-IGO Ltd ((IGO))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Monadelphous Group ((MND))
-REA Group ((REA))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Xero ((XRO))

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Stockbroker Morgans’ list of Best Ideas:

-Acrow ((ACF))
-ALS Ltd ((ALQ))
-Amotiv ((AOV))
-Beacon Lighting ((BLX))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Camplify Holdings ((CHL))
-Cedar Woods Properties ((CWP))
-ClearView Wealth ((CVW))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
-Dexus Industria REIT ((DXI))
-Elders ((ELD))
-Flight Centre Travel ((FLT))
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-HomeCo Daily Needs REIT ((HDN))
-Karoon Energy ((KAR))
-MA Financial ((MAF))
-Maas Group ((MGH))
-Mach7 Technologies ((M7T))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-PolyNovo ((PNV))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Qualitas ((QAL))
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-South32 ((S32))
-Superloop ((SLC))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-WH Soul Pattinson ((SOL))
-Woodside Energe ((WDS))

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Macquarie Wealth‘s recommended Growth Portfolio:

-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Aristocrat leisure ((ALL))
-Northern Star ((NST))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Computershare ((CPU))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Mineral Resources ((MIN))
-Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Pexa Group ((PXA))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Xero ((XRO))

Macquarie Wealth’s recommended Income Portfolio:

-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Premier Investments ((PMV))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-APA Group ((APA))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-Deterra Royalties ((DRR))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Amotiv ((AOV))
-Charter Hall Retail REIT ((CQR))
-Amcor ((AMC))

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In December, Shaw and Partners released its 10 Best Ideas to benefit from the anticipated small caps’ revival in 2024:

-AIC Mines ((A1M))
-Austin Engineering ((ANG))
-FireFly Metals ((FFM)), previously AuTeco (AUT)
-Chrysos ((C79))
-Gentrack Group ((GTK))
-Metro Mining ((MMI))
-MMA Offshore ((MRM))
-Peninsula Energy ((PEN))
-ReadyTech Holdings ((RDY))
-Silex Energy ((SLX))

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Macquarie’s ASX Quality Compounders:

The highest quality compounders’ as identified by Macquarie quant research inside the ASX300:

-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-REA Group ((REA))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Data#3 ((DTL))
-Pro Medicus ((PME))
-Jumbo Interactive ((JIN))
-PWR Holdings ((PWH))
-Netwealth Group ((NWL))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
-Codan ((CDA))
-Clinuvel Pharmacauticals ((CUV))
-Redox ((RDX))

Given Macquarie’s research strong leaning on the past five years, with high barriers to match, the following 11 companies fell just outside the above list:

-Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-CSL ((CSL))
-IDP Education ((IEL))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Johns Lyng ((JLG))

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Ord Minnett‘s research analyst Athena Kospetas has communicated the following Key Preferred Ideas per sector:

Financials
-Westpac ((WBC))
-Judo Bank ((JDO))
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-nib Holdings ((NHF))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-EQT Trustees ((EQT))

Resources
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Red 5 ((RED))

Energy & Utilities
-Santos ((STO))
-Strike Energy ((STX))
-AGL Energy ((AGL))

Healthcare
-ResMed ((RMD))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Regis Healthcare ((REH))

Consumer stocks
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))

Communication Services & Technology
-Xero ((XRO))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Telstra ((TLS))

Industrials
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Alliance Aviation ((AQZ))
-SRG Global ((SRG))
-Qube Holdings ((QUB))

Real Estate
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))

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Barrenjoey’s Top Picks:

-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG)) among financials, as well as GQG partners ((GQG)) and Westpac ((WBC))
-Xero ((XRO)), Pexa Group ((PXA)) and Dicker Data ((DDR)) in the technology sector
-Vicinity Centres ((VCX)) and Abacus Storage King ((ASK)) among REITs
-South32 ((S32)), Lynas Rare Earths ((LYC)) and Perseus Mining ((PRU)) among miners and Strike Energy ((STX)) in the oil&gas sector
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Aristocrat Leisure
-Reliance Worldwide ((RWC))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Seven Group ((SVW))

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CHARTS

360 A1M A4N ACF AFI AGL AIS ALD ALL ALQ ALX AMC ANG ANZ AOV APA APZ AQZ ARB ARX ASB ASK ASX AUB AX1 AZJ BAP BGA BHP BIO BKW BLX BOE BOQ BPT BRG BSL BXB C79 CAR CBA CDA CHL CIA CKF CMM COH COL COS CPU CQR CSL CU6 CUV CVW CWP CWY CYC DBI DDR DHG DMP DRR DTL DUR DXC DXI DXS EBO EBR EDV ELD EOS EQT EVN EVT FCL FEX FFM FLT FPH GDI GMD GMG GNE GNP GOR GPT GQG GSS GTK HCW HDN HUB IAG IDX IEL IGO INA ING IPG IPH IPX IRE JBH JDO JHX JIN JLG KAR LAU LNW LOV LTR LYC M7T MAC MAD MAF MDR MFF MGH MGR MHJ MIN MMI MMS MND MP1 MPL MQG MRM MTS MVF MXT NAB NCK NEM NEU NHF NIC NSR NST NWL NXT ORG ORI PBH PDN PEN PFP PME PMV PNI PNV PPM PPT PRU PWH PXA PYC QAL QAN QBE QOR QRI QUB RDX RDY REA RED REG REH REP RFF RHC RIC RIO RMD RPL RWC S32 SCG SDF SDR SEK SFR SLC SLX SMI SMR SOL SPK SRG STG STO STX SUN TAH TCL TLC TLS TLX TNE TPG TPW TWE UNI VAU VCX VEA VNT WBC WDS WEB WES WOR WPR WTC XRO

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: A1M - AIC MINES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: A4N - ALPHA HPA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ACF - ACROW LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AIS - AERIS RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALD - AMPOL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL - ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALQ - ALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALX - ATLAS ARTERIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC - AMCOR PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANG - AUSTIN ENGINEERING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ - ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AOV - AMOTIV LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APZ - ASPEN GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AQZ - ALLIANCE AVIATION SERVICES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARB - ARB CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARX - AROA BIOSURGERY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASB - AUSTAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASK - ABACUS STORAGE KING

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASX - ASX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AX1 - ACCENT GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BGA - BEGA CHEESE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BIO - BIOME AUSTRALIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BKW - BRICKWORKS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BLX - BEACON LIGHTING GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOE - BOSS ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOQ - BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BPT - BEACH ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BRG - BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BSL - BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BXB - BRAMBLES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: C79 - CHRYSOS CORP. LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CDA - CODAN LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CHL - CAMPLIFY HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CIA - CHAMPION IRON LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CMM - CAPRICORN METALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COL - COLES GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COS - COSOL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CPU - COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CQR - CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSL - CSL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CU6 - CLARITY PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CUV - CLINUVEL PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CVW - CLEARVIEW WEALTH LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWP - CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWY - CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CYC - CYCLOPHARM LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DDR - DICKER DATA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DHG - DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DMP - DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DRR - DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DTL - DATA#3 LIMITED.

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DUR - DURATEC LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXC - DEXUS CONVENIENCE RETAIL REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXI - DEXUS INDUSTRIA REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBO - EBOS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBR - EBR SYSTEMS INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ELD - ELDERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EOS - ELECTRO OPTIC SYSTEMS HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EQT - EQT HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVN - EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVT - EVT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FCL - FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FEX - FENIX RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FFM - FIREFLY METALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FLT - FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDI - GDI PROPERTY GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMD - GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMG - GOODMAN GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNE - GENESIS ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GNP - GENUSPLUS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GOR - GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GPT - GPT GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GQG - GQG PARTNERS INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GSS - GENETIC SIGNATURES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GTK - GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HCW - HEALTHCO HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HDN - HOMECO DAILY NEEDS REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HUB - HUB24 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IAG - INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IDX - INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IEL - IDP EDUCATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IGO - IGO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ING - INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPG - IPD GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPH - IPH LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPX - IPERIONX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IRE - IRESS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JBH - JB HI-FI LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JDO - JUDO CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JIN - JUMBO INTERACTIVE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JLG - JOHNS LYNG GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: KAR - KAROON ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LAU - LINDSAY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LNW - LIGHT & WONDER INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LTR - LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LYC - LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: M7T - MACH7 TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAC - MAC COPPER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAD - MADER GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAF - MA FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MDR - MEDADVISOR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MFF - MFF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGH - MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGR - MIRVAC GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MHJ - MICHAEL HILL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MIN - MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMI - METRO MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMS - MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MND - MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MP1 - MEGAPORT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MPL - MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MRM - MMA OFFSHORE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MTS - METCASH LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MVF - MONASH IVF GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MXT - METRICS MASTER INCOME TRUST

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NAB - NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NCK - NICK SCALI LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEM - NEWMONT CORPORATION REGISTERED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEU - NEUREN PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NHF - NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NIC - NICKEL INDUSTRIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NSR - NATIONAL STORAGE REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NST - NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWL - NETWEALTH GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NXT - NEXTDC LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORI - ORICA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PBH - POINTSBET HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PDN - PALADIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PEN - PENINSULA ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PFP - PROPEL FUNERAL PARTNERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PME - PRO MEDICUS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PMV - PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PNV - POLYNOVO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPM - PEPPER MONEY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPT - PERPETUAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PRU - PERSEUS MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PWH - PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PXA - PEXA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PYC - PYC THERAPEUTICS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAL - QUALITAS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAN - QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QBE - QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QOR - QORIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QRI - QUALITAS REAL ESTATE INCOME FUND

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QUB - QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDX - REDOX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDY - READYTECH HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REA - REA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RED - RED 5 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REG - REGIS HEALTHCARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REH - REECE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REP - RAM ESSENTIAL SERVICES PROPERTY FUND

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RFF - RURAL FUNDS GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RHC - RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIC - RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RPL - REGAL PARTNERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RWC - RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORP. LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: S32 - SOUTH32 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SCG - SCENTRE GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDF - STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDR - SITEMINDER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SEK - SEEK LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SFR - SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLC - SUPERLOOP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLX - SILEX SYSTEMS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMI - SANTANA MINERALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMR - STANMORE RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SRG - SRG GLOBAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STG - STRAKER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STO - SANTOS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STX - STRIKE ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUN - SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TAH - TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TCL - TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLX - TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPG - TPG TELECOM LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPW - TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TWE - TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: UNI - UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VAU - VAULT MINERALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VCX - VICINITY CENTRES

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VEA - VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VNT - VENTIA SERVICES GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WBC - WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WEB - WEB TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WES - WESFARMERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WPR - WAYPOINT REIT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: XRO - XERO LIMITED