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Rudi’s View: Gold, Healthcare, Staples & Copper

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Always an independent thinker, Rudi has not shied away from making big out-of-consensus predictions that proved accurate later on. When Rio Tinto shares surged above $120 he wrote investors should sell. In mid-2008 he warned investors not to hold on to equities in oil producers. In August 2008 he predicted the largest sell-off in commodities stocks was about to follow. In 2009 he suggested Australian banks were an excellent buy. Between 2011 and 2015 Rudi consistently maintained investors were better off avoiding exposure to commodities and to commodities stocks. Post GFC, he dedicated his research to finding All-Weather Performers. See also "All-Weather Performers" on this website, as well as the Special Reports section.

Rudi's View | Jul 11 2024

This story features AMCOR PLC, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC

Updates on strategies, model portfolios, key picks, best buys and conviction calls.

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor

Macquarie strategists believe the US economy has decelerated into a slowdown, with consequences for which sectors are likely to perform or not on the share market.

The fact the RBA might still hike in August is ignored. Macquarie prefers to take guidance from the fact central banks elsewhere are almost universally moving towards loosening.

Key changes applied to the broker’s Model Portfolio include increased exposure to defensives, growth and REITs and reduced exposure to financials and resources.

The strategists also point out the Macquarie proprietary FOMO meter currently reads 1.42, which is at elevated level, while sentiment in the US seems extemely bullish. The combination of the two is treated as a warning signal.

Macquarie suggests further returns from here onwards are most likely to be “weak” and driven by defensives. Macquarie prefers healthcare and staples.

In terms of individual stocks, Macquarie’s Model Portfolio has added exposure to Amcor ((AMC)) and GrainCorp (GNC)) -both are new inclusions- and to CSL ((CSL)) and ResMed ((RMD)), as well as to growth stocks Xero ((XRO)) and Block ((SQ2)).

REITs have been overweighted through the inclusion of Mirvac Group ((MGR)).

Exposure to National Australia Bank ((NAB)) and CommBank ((CBA)) shares has been slimmed down, as well as to Suncorp Group ((SUN)) on the expectation of negative impact from La Nina weather. The latter should benefit GrainCorp.

All in all, point out the strategists, average returns from shares tend to be lower during a slowdown phase, with the Australian market taking its lead from the US, based on historical precedents.

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Did anyone mention “resources”?

The past week has seen multiple sector updates by resources analysts, with major shifts in preferences occurring.

All in all, optimism for copper remains, met coal is back on the radar and sentiment towards rare earths and lithium and other battery materials varies from poor to really poor. The outlook for iron ore is not looking great, but not terrible either.

The team at JP Morgan retains its large cap preferences for BHP Group ((BHP)), Rio Tinto ((RIO)) and South32 ((S32)), accompanied by positive views on BlueScope Steel ((BSL)) and Sandfire Resources ((SFR)).

In the local gold sector, JP Morgan retains Overweight ratings for Evolution Mining ((EVN)), Northern Star ((NST)) and De Grey Mining ((DEG)). The broker has downgraded Newmont Corp ((NEM)) and Gold Road Resources ((GOR)) to Neutral.

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Staying with the gold producers, Goldman Sachs reports Australian producers have transitioned back to focus on margins and cash generation rather than production growth throughout the year past (even though M&A remains a theme).

This should make the sector more attractive for investors, but share prices have yet to reflect this change. The broker suspects continuously rising costs are keeping the buyers at bay.

Goldman Sachs suggests those producers with higher costs and lots of capex on the agenda are most likely to underperform peers that offer less risk for cost overruns.

Gold producers currently rated Buy at Goldman Sachs are Evolution Mining, De Grey Mining, Gold Road Resources, and Bellevue Gold ((BGL)).

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Similar caution dominates the latest preview for the upcoming quarterly production report updates and August result releases by Australian gold producers at Barrenjoey.

Most of in-house updates on the sector are generating financial estimates below market consensus, reports Barrenjoey, with a combination of lower production, higher costs and more capex all impacting.

Barrenjoey has singled out Northern Star, Regis Resources ((RRL)) and Gold Road Resources for potentially greater downside risks, and sees relatively lower risk for Evolution Mining, Newmont Corp, and Capricorn Metals ((CMM)).

The broker’s advice to investors: those gold equities that demonstrate cash generation relative to peers through reporting season will be rewarded.

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Analysts at RBC Capital are more optimistic (or is that more courageous?). They understand investors in gold companies do not want to get caught out in case FY25 guidances disappoint, but it is their view there should be less risk than last year of such disappointments repeating.

RBC Capital has Outperform ratings for Northern Star, Regis Resources, Westgold Resources ((WGX)), and Bellevue Gold. Both Evolution Mining and Gold Road Resources are rated Underperform.

Separately, RBC Capital also added Brambles to its selection of Top 30 Global Ideas for 2024.

****

Canaccord Genuity’s best gold poducer ideas:

-Northern Star Resources ((NST))
-Ramelius Resources ((RMS))
-Resolute Mining ((RSG))
-Adriatic Metals ((ADT))

Best developer ideas:

-Spartan Resources ((SPR))
-Predictive Discovery ((PDI))
-Mitre Mining Corp ((MMC))

****

A general update on commodity prices at Petra Capital resulted in positive changes for gold and bauxite, while forecasts for copper and zinc have been upgraded too. Negative adjustments were made for rare earths and graphite fines, while near-term forecasts have been lowered for uranium and lithium.

With Petra Capital’s research zooming in on the smaller end of the sector, and with all share prices trading well below revised price targets, page 5 of the research report only contains Buy ratings.

Blue Energy ((BLU)) in the oil&gas sector, offers the highest upside potential of the bunch, with its shares trading 845% (not a typo) below the broker’s price target.

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Over at UBS, the Australasian Mining sector team prefers copper, aluminium, gold and met coal, but not iron ore or lithium. The broker’s macro view is that mining companies are at risk of providing investors with potentially “stale” forecasts as more capex might be required to sustain production and/or achieve growth.

Among individual companies, UBS’s Top Picks are South32, Newmont Corp, and Coronado Global Resources ((CRN)). The broker recently upgraded Deterra Royalties ((DRR)) to Buy as that share price was seen as too cheap post the unexpected UK acquisition announcement.

****

Jarden’s preview on the local energy sector has seen Buy ratings maintained for Karoon Energy ((KAR)) and Carnarvon Energy ((CVN)) while Santos ((STO)), Origin Energy ((ORG)) and Cooper energy ((COE)) kept their Overweight ratings (one step below Buy).

****

Morningstar Australia sees value in mineral sands, gold, and thermal coal.

****

Morgan Stanley recently updated its global preferences among mining equities for the third quarter which features Rio Tinto and Mineral Resources.

The list of Least Preferred exposures features one ASX-listed company; Fortescue ((FMG)).

As a reminder, Morgan Stanley has made met coal its number one commodity pick.

Investors ready to ride the rally have been guided towards the following key stock calls:

-Yancoal Australia ((YAL))
-Whitehaven Coal ((WHC))

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Macquarie’s prefererd company to play the copper theme is Capstone Copper ((CSC)) with the analysts lauding Capstone as a copper pure play with a strong organic growth outlook. South32 is preferred for aluminium/alumina exposure.

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Morgan Stanley occasionally pampers its clientele with “Actionable Ideas” whereby confidence is high for share prices to perform in a certain way over a relatively short time frame.

On July 7, a report with Three Actionable Ideas was released, including the forecast shares in Suncorp Group ((SUN)) are on their way to re-rate in line with the higher valuation that currently sticks with peer Insurance Australia Group ((IAG)).

The other two conviction ideas are ASMPT and Kia Corp, both listed in Hong Kong.

****

Looking forward to August reporting season for ASX-listed healthcare companies, Citi analysts have identified Ansell ((ANN)), Ramsay Health Care ((RHC)) and Sonic Healthcare ((SHL)) as most at risk for missing consensus forecasts.

Citi analysts also took the opportunity to upgrade CSL ((CSL)) to Buy from Neutral and Ebos Group ((EBO)) to Neutral from Sell.

****

Ord Minnett‘s Buy-rated stocks in the local technology sector are currently: Cosol ((COS)), Dropsuite ((DSE)), Hansen Technologies ((HSN)), Life360 ((360)), Qoria ((QOR)), Seek ((SEK)), Siteminder ((SDR)), and Xero ((XRO)).

The list contains one lonely Sell rating, which is reserved for Pro Medicus ((PME)).

****

Market strategists at Evans and Partners bemoan the fact higher for longer inflation numbers in Australia are preventing the RBA from lowering the burden of high interest rates. This, argue the strategists, effectively places a ceiling over the economy and the share market, limiting upside potential.

The key risk for the quarters ahead, argues Evans and Partners, is that high inflation with low growth becomes the consensus view locally. The strategists thus implore investors to be cautious and selective, “scruitinising those businesses and industries facing cyclical headwinds and instead focussing on companies with more diverse earnings drivers.”

Evans and Partners’ key focus has turned to offshore earners, “as well as businesses with strong industry positions benefiting from structural thematics such as digitalization and decarbonisation”.

Selected names:

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-James Hardie Industries ((JHX))
-Block Inc ((SQ2))

As well as:

-BHP Group
-Rio Tinto
-Monadelphous Group ((MND))
-APA Group ((APA))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-Macquarie Technology Group ((MAQ))

Also worth mentioning, Evans and Partners’ preferred yield ideas are:

-APA Group
-Arena REIT ((ARF))
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-Telstra ((TLS))

Model Portfolios, Best Ideas & Conviction Calls

Analysts at Bell Potter have updated their Key Stock Picks for the year-ahead:

-Among listed investment companies (LICs); Australian Foundation Investment Company ((AFI)), Metrics Master Income Trust ((MXT)), and MFF Capital Investments ((MFF))

-Agriculture & fast moving consumer goods; Bega Cheese ((BGA)), Rural Funds Group ((RFF)), and Elders ((ELD))

-Technology; TechnologyOne ((TNE)), Gentrack ((GTK)), and REA Group ((REA))

-Diversified Financials; Perpetual ((PPT)), Regal Partners ((RPL)), and McMillan Shakespeare ((MMS))

-Real Estate; Dexus Convenience Retail REIT ((DXS)), HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW)), and GDI Property Group ((GDI))

-Retailers; Premier Investments ((PMV)), Universal Store Holdings ((UNI)), and Propel Funeral Partners ((PFP))

-Aerospace & Defence; Electro Optic Systems ((EOS)) and Austal ((ASB))

-Industrials; Brickworks ((BKW)), IPD Group ((IPG)), and Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))

-Healthcare; Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX)), Cyclopharm ((CYC)), Aroa Bioscience ((ARX)), MedAdvisor ((MDR)), and Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))

-Gold sector; Capricorn Metals ((CMM)) and Santana Minerals ((SMI))

-Base metals; Aeris Resources ((AIS)), Nickel Industries ((NIC)), and Mineral Resources ((MIN))

-Strategic Minerals; Alpha HPA ((A4N)), IperionX ((IPX)), and Liontown Resources ((LTR))

-Energy sector; Boss Energy ((BOE)) and Paladin Energy ((PDN))

-Mining services; Seven Group Holdings ((SVW)), Mader Group ((MAD)), and SRG Global ((SRG))

****

Barrenjoey Chief Equity Strategist Damien Boey had already decided it’s time to pivot the investment portfolio in favour of a more defensive positioning.

Barrenjoey’s Bucket List of conviction calls includes the following selection:

-Woolworths Group ((WOW))
-Viva Energy Group ((VEA))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-Aussie Broadband ((ABB))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Santos ((STO))
-Northern Star ((NST))
-Ampol ((ALD))
-Insurance Australia Group ((IAG))
-Ventia Services Group ((VNT))
-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Brambles ((BXB))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Orora ((ORA))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-CSL ((CSL))

Boey’s reasoning for a more defensive portfolio positioning is because global risk appetite is currently much higher than the economic outlook deserves it to be. Even with the prospect of central bank rate cuts underpinning positive sentiment, Boey thinks it’s more likely risk appetite will, at some point, pull back.

Potential triggers include the Bank of Japan diverging away from its global peers, and devaluations of JPY and/or the Chinese Yuan.

In Australia, the Barrenjoey strategist worries about the RBA raising rates further in response to stubbornly high inflation. With excess savings depleting rapidly among Australians, consumer spending remains at risk of slowing further, with negative flow on effects for the labour market.

Barrenjoey is thus underweight banks and domestic rate-sensitive cyclicals and believes Insurance, Staples, Telcos, Healthcare and Utilities are defensive in this environment.

****

JP Morgan‘s last update on Emerging Companies (“small caps”) showed Superloop ((SLC)) is the Top Pick and Dicker Data ((DDR)) is the broker’s Bottom Pick.

The first is lauded for its strong operational momentum on still an undemanding valuation, while the market is seen as too optimistic for Dicker Data’s outlook which includes slowing top line growth.

****

The full list of UBS’s Least Preferred stocks now includes:

-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-ASX ((ASX))
-Bank of Queensland ((BOQ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-Domain Holdings ((DHG))
-Pilbara Minerals ((PLS))
-Reece ((REH))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))

UBS’s full list of Most Preferred stocks:

-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-BlueScope Steel ((BSL))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-Santos ((STO))

-AUB Group ((AUB))
-Computershare ((CPU))
-nib Holdings ((NHF))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))

-Brambles ((BXB))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-CSL ((CSL))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-Super Retail ((SUL))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Treasury Wine ((TWE))
-Universal Store ((UNI))
-Worley ((WOR))
-Xero ((XRO))

****

Ord Minnett analysts’ Conviction List consists of the following:

-Alliance Aviation Services ((AQZ))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Cosol ((COS))
-EQT Holdings ((EQT))
-Lindsay Australia ((LAU))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-Red 5 ((RED))
-Regis Healthcare ((REG))
-Select Harvests ((SHV))
-SRG Globval ((SRG))
-Waypoint REIT ((WPR))
-Webjet ((WEB))
-Whitehaven Coal ((WHC))

****

Goldman Sachs’s High Conviction calls for the Asia-Pacific region includes only four ASX-listed companies:

-Lynas Rare Earths ((LYC))
-Woolworths Group ((WOW))
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-Xero ((XRO))

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Jarden’s select list of preferred small cap stocks in Australia (“Emerging Companies key picks”):

-Temple & Webster ((TPW))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-Siteminder ((SDR))
-Nick Scali ((NCK))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-Dicker Data ((DDR))

Plus also (“sector picks”):

-Ingenia Communities Group ((INA))
-National Storage ((NSR))
-Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))
-Karoon Energy ((KAR))
-Domain Australia Holdings ((DHG))
-Inghams Group ((ING))
-NRW Holdings ((NWH))
-Light & Wonder ((LNW))
-Pepper Money ((PPM))
-Champion Iron ((CIA))

Has been removed: Regis Healthcare ((REG)).

****

Morningstar’s Best Equity Ideas for ASX-listed stocks contains 14 inclusions, with Brambles, Dexus and Endeavour Group joining in and a2 Milk, Ventia Services and Lendlease no longer included. Morningstar’s approach is traditionally centred around ‘cheap value’, or in Morningstar’s own words:

“monthly Best Stock Ideas highlights high-quality Australian and New Zealand companies, which are currently trading at discounts to our assessed fair values.”

-Brambles ((BXB))
-Dexus ((DXS))
-Endeavour Group ((EDV))
-TPG Telecom ((TPG))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-Bapcor ((BAP))
-Santos ((STO))
-AUB Group ((AUB))
-ASX Ltd ((ASX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-Pexa Group ((PXA))

As well as Fineos Corp ((FCL)), ResMed and Newmont Corp among international ideas.

****

Morgan Stanley’s Australia Macro+ Focus List contains the following 10 stocks:

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))

****

Morgan Stanley’s Macro+ Model Portfolio consists of the following 32 constituents:

-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-Macquarie Group ((MQG))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-Scentre Group ((SCG))
-Stockland ((SGP))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Car Group ((CAR))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Wesfarmers ((WES))
-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Orica ((ORI))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-CSL ((CSL))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-AGL Energy ((AGL))
-Origin Energy ((ORG))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-Transurban Group ((TCL))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-Newmont Corp ((NEM))
-Rio Tinto ((RIO))
-South32 ((S32))
-Paladin Energy ((PDN))
-Santos ((STO))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))

****

Wilsons‘ list of Highest Conviction Investment Ideas: TechnologyOne, Worley ((WOR)), Woodside Energy, Aristocrat Leisure, and Collins Foods ((CKF)).

More ideas come with “long term growth” profiles:

-Ridley Corp ((RIC))
-Universal Stores ((UNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Neuren Pharmaceuticals ((NEU))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))

Among Resources stocks, there are two favoured ideas:

-Beach Energy ((BPT))
-Liontown Resources ((LTR))

And there’s a Speculative basket too:

-Immutep ((IMM))

****

Wilsons’ Focus Portfolio‘s largest overweight remains towards growth companies, including a large overweight to the healthcare sector. The largest underweight allocation remains for local banks. The Portfolio also holds a slight overweight allocation to resources, but this is due to “active positioning” in green metals and energy (underweight iron ore).

The Focus Portfolio encompasses the following:

Consumer Discretionary
Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL)), Lottery Corp ((TLC)), Collins Foods ((CKF)), Breville Group ((BRG)), Webjet ((WEB))

Energy
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))

Financials
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ)), National Australia Bank ((NAB)), Westpac ((WBC)), Macquarie Group ((MQG)), Insurance Australia Group ((IAG)), Netwealth Group ((NWL)), Steadfast Group ((SDF))

Healthcare
-CSL ((CSL)), ResMed ((RMD)), Telix Pharmaceuticals ((TLX))

Industrials
-Worley ((WOR))

Information Technology
-TechnologyOne ((TNE)), Xero ((XRO))

Materials
-BHP Group ((BHP)), Amcor ((AMC)), Evolution Mining ((EVN)), Mineral Resources ((MIN)), Arcadium Lithium ((LTM)), Sandfire Resources ((SFR)), South32 ((S32))

Real Estate
-Goodman Group ((GMG)), HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT ((HCW))

****

Macquarie Wealth’s recommended Growth Portfolio:

-Goodman Group ((GMG))
-Seek ((SEK))
-Aristocrat leisure ((ALL))
-Northern Star ((NST))
-CSL ((CSL))
-Computershare ((CPU))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-Flight Centre ((FLT))
-Mineral Resources ((MIN))
-Cleanaway Waste Management ((CWY))
-Steadfast Group ((SDF))
-Arcadium Lithium ((LTM))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Pexa Group ((PXA))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Xero ((XRO))

Macquarie Wealth’s recommended Income Portfolio:

-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Telstra ((TLS))
-National Australia Bank ((NAB))
-Westpac Bank ((WBC))
-ANZ Bank ((ANZ))
-BHP Group ((BHP))
-CommBank ((CBA))
-Premier Investments ((PMV))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-Viva Energy ((VEA))
-Atlas Arteria ((ALX))
-Aurizon Holdings ((AZJ))
-APA Group ((APA))
-GPT Group ((GPT))
-Deterra Royalties ((DRR))
-Metcash ((MTS))
-Amotiv ((AOV))
-Charter Hall Retail REIT ((CQR))
-Amcor ((AMC))

****

Shaw and Partners Research Monitor for the June quarter shows the broker’s ASX100 Large Caps Model Portfolio consists of the following ten members:

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Domino’s Pizza ((DMP))
-Evolution Mining ((EVN))
-James Hardie Industries ((JHX))
-Pilbara Minerals ((PLS))
-Qantas Airways ((QAN))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Suncorp Group ((SUN))
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-Xero ((XRO))

Preferred exposures among ’emerging companies’ (smaller caps) are:

-Abacus Storage King ((ASK))
-Bannerman Energy ((BMN))
-Black Cat Syndicate ((BC8))
-Global Lithium Resources ((GL1))
-Helloworld ((HLO))
-Metro Mining ((MMI))
-Retail Food Group ((RFG))
-Vista Group ((VGL))
-Tyro Payments ((TYR))
-Webjet ((WEB))

****

Stockbroker Morgans‘ list of Best Ideas currently consists of the following 32 ASX-listed companies:

Among Large Caps:
-Coles Group ((COL))
-CSL ((CSL))
-QBE Insurance ((QBE))
-Woodside Energy ((WDS))

Cyclicals:
-GQG Partners ((GQG))
-WH Soul Pattinson ((SOL))
-ALS Ltd ((ALQ))
-Beacon Lighting ((BLX))
-GUD Holdings ((GUD))
-Universal Store Holdings ((UNI))
-Elders ((ELD))
-Acrow ((ACF))
-Maas Group ((MGH))
-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI))
-Karoon Energy ((KAR))

Structural Growth:
-ResMed ((RMD))
-NextDC ((NXT))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-Mach7 Technologies ((M7T))
-Camplify Holdings ((CHL))
-Superloop ((SLC))

Tactical Ideas:
-Treasury Wine Estates ((TWE))
-ClearView Wealth ((CVW))
-Inghams Group ((ING))
-Avita Medical ((AVH))
-Flight Centre Travel ((FLT))

Preferred Resources:
-South32 ((S32))
-Stanmore Resources ((SMR))

A-REITs:
-Cedar Woods Properties ((CWP))
-Dexus Industria REIT ((DXI))
-HomeCo Daily Needs REIT ((HDN))
-Qualitas ((QAL))

****

In December, Shaw and Partners released its 10 Best Ideas to benefit from the anticipated small caps’ revival in 2024.

The selected ten:

-AIC Mines ((A1M))
-Austin Engineering ((ANG))
-FireFly Metals ((FFM)), previously AuTeco (AUT)
-Chrysos ((C79))
-Gentrack Group ((GTK))
-Metro Mining ((MMI))
-MMA Offshore ((MRM))
-Peninsula Energy ((PEN))
-ReadyTech Holdings ((RDY))
-Silex Energy ((SLX))

****

Macquarie’s ASX Quality Compounders

The highest quality ‘compounders’ as identified by Macquarie quant research inside the ASX300:

-James Hardie ((JHX))
-Cochlear ((COH))
-REA Group ((REA))
-TechnologyOne ((TNE))
-ResMed ((RMD))
-Data#3 ((DTL))
-Pro Medicus ((PME))
-Jumbo Interactive ((JIN))
-PWR Holdings ((PWH))
-Netwealth Group ((NWL))
-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL))
-Spark New Zealand ((SPK))
-Codan ((CDA))
-Clinuvel Pharmacauticals ((CUV))
-Redox ((RDX))

Given Macquarie’s research strong leaning on the past five years, with high barriers to match, the following 11 companies fell just outside the above list:

-Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH))
-Medibank Private ((MPL))
-Coles Group ((COL))
-The Lottery Corp ((TLC))
-Lovisa Holdings ((LOV))
-CSL ((CSL))
-IDP Education ((IEL))
-Pinnacle Investment Management ((PNI))
-ARB Corp ((ARB))
-Breville Group ((BRG))
-Johns Lyng ((JLG))

My research and All-Weather stock selections are 24/7 available for paying subscribers: https://fnarena.com/index.php/analysis-data/all-weather-stocks/

(Do note that, in line with all my analyses, appearances and presentations, all of the above names and calculations are provided for educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions.)  

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CHARTS

360 A1M A4N ABB ACF ADT AFI AGL AIS ALD ALL ALQ ALX AMC ANG ANN ANZ AOV APA AQZ ARB ARF ARX ASB ASK ASX AUB AVH AZJ BAP BC8 BGA BGL BHP BKW BLU BLX BMN BOE BOQ BPT BRG BSL BXB C79 CAR CBA CDA CHL CIA CKF CMM COE COH COL COS CPU CQR CRN CSC CSL CUV CVN CVW CWP CWY CYC DBI DDR DEG DHG DMP DRR DSE DTL DXI DXS EBO EDV ELD EOS EQT EVN FCL FFM FLT FMG FPH GDI GL1 GMG GOR GPT GQG GTK HCW HDN HLO HSN IAG IEL IMM INA ING IPG IPX JHX JIN JLG KAR LAU LNW LOV LTM LTR LYC M7T MAD MAQ MDR MFF MGH MGR MIN MMC MMI MMS MND MPL MQG MRM MTS MXT NAB NCK NEM NEU NHF NIC NSR NST NWH NWL NXT ORA ORG ORI PDI PDN PEN PFP PLS PME PMV PNI PPM PPT PWH PXA QAL QAN QBE QOR RDX RDY REA RED REG REH RFF RFG RHC RIC RIO RMD RMS RPL RRL RSG S32 SCG SDF SDR SEK SFR SGP SHL SHV SLC SLX SMI SMR SOL SPK SPR SQ2 SRG STO SUL SUN TCL TLC TLS TLX TNE TPG TPW TWE TYR UNI VEA VGL VNT WBC WDS WEB WES WGX WHC WOR WOW WPR XRO YAL

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For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED

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For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALD - AMPOL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL - ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALQ - ALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALX - ATLAS ARTERIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AMC - AMCOR PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANG - AUSTIN ENGINEERING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANN - ANSELL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANZ - ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AOV - AMOTIV LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: APA - APA GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AQZ - ALLIANCE AVIATION SERVICES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARB - ARB CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARF - ARENA REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARX - AROA BIOSURGERY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASB - AUSTAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASK - ABACUS STORAGE KING

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ASX - ASX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AVH - AVITA MEDICAL INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BC8 - BLACK CAT SYNDICATE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BGA - BEGA CHEESE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BGL - BELLEVUE GOLD LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BKW - BRICKWORKS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BLU - BLUE ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BLX - BEACON LIGHTING GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BMN - BANNERMAN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOE - BOSS ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOQ - BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BPT - BEACH ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BRG - BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BSL - BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BXB - BRAMBLES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: C79 - CHRYSOS CORP. LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CAR - CAR GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CDA - CODAN LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CHL - CAMPLIFY HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CIA - CHAMPION IRON LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CKF - COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CMM - CAPRICORN METALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COE - COOPER ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COL - COLES GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COS - COSOL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CPU - COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CQR - CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CRN - CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSC - CAPSTONE COPPER CORP.

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CSL - CSL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CUV - CLINUVEL PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CVN - CARNARVON ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CVW - CLEARVIEW WEALTH LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWP - CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CWY - CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CYC - CYCLOPHARM LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DDR - DICKER DATA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DEG - DE GREY MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DHG - DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DMP - DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DRR - DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DSE - DROPSUITE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DTL - DATA#3 LIMITED.

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXI - DEXUS INDUSTRIA REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EBO - EBOS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EDV - ENDEAVOUR GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ELD - ELDERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EOS - ELECTRO OPTIC SYSTEMS HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EQT - EQT HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EVN - EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FCL - FINEOS CORPORATION HOLDINGS PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FFM - FIREFLY METALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FLT - FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FMG - FORTESCUE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDI - GDI PROPERTY GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GL1 - GLOBAL LITHIUM RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GMG - GOODMAN GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GOR - GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GPT - GPT GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GQG - GQG PARTNERS INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GTK - GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HCW - HEALTHCO HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HDN - HOMECO DAILY NEEDS REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HLO - HELLOWORLD TRAVEL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HSN - HANSEN TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IAG - INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IEL - IDP EDUCATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IMM - IMMUTEP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: INA - INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ING - INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPG - IPD GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IPX - IPERIONX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JIN - JUMBO INTERACTIVE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JLG - JOHNS LYNG GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: KAR - KAROON ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LAU - LINDSAY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LNW - LIGHT & WONDER INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LTM - ARCADIUM LITHIUM PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LTR - LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LYC - LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: M7T - MACH7 TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAD - MADER GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MAQ - MACQUARIE TECHNOLOGY GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MDR - MEDADVISOR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MFF - MFF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGH - MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGR - MIRVAC GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MIN - MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMC - ANDEAN SILVER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMI - METRO MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MMS - MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MND - MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MPL - MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MRM - MMA OFFSHORE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MTS - METCASH LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MXT - METRICS MASTER INCOME TRUST

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NAB - NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NCK - NICK SCALI LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEM - NEWMONT CORPORATION REGISTERED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NEU - NEUREN PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NHF - NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NIC - NICKEL INDUSTRIES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NSR - NATIONAL STORAGE REIT

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NST - NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWH - NRW HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NWL - NETWEALTH GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: NXT - NEXTDC LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORA - ORORA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORI - ORICA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PDI - PREDICTIVE DISCOVERY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PDN - PALADIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PEN - PENINSULA ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PFP - PROPEL FUNERAL PARTNERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PLS - PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PME - PRO MEDICUS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PMV - PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPM - PEPPER MONEY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PPT - PERPETUAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PWH - PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PXA - PEXA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAL - QUALITAS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QAN - QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QBE - QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: QOR - QORIA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDX - REDOX LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RDY - READYTECH HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REA - REA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RED - RED 5 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REG - REGIS HEALTHCARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: REH - REECE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RFF - RURAL FUNDS GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RFG - RETAIL FOOD GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RHC - RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIC - RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMS - RAMELIUS RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RPL - REGAL PARTNERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RRL - REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RSG - RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: S32 - SOUTH32 LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SCG - SCENTRE GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDF - STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDR - SITEMINDER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SEK - SEEK LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SFR - SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SGP - STOCKLAND

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SHL - SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SHV - SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLC - SUPERLOOP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SLX - SILEX SYSTEMS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMI - SANTANA MINERALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SMR - STANMORE RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SPR - SPARTAN RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SQ2 - BLOCK INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SRG - SRG GLOBAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: STO - SANTOS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUL - SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SUN - SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TCL - TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLC - LOTTERY CORPORATION LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLX - TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPG - TPG TELECOM LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TPW - TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TWE - TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TYR - TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: UNI - UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VEA - VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VGL - VISTA GROUP INTERNATIONAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: VNT - VENTIA SERVICES GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WBC - WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WDS - WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WEB - WEB TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WES - WESFARMERS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WGX - WESTGOLD RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WHC - WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOW - WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WPR - WAYPOINT REIT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: XRO - XERO LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: YAL - YANCOAL AUSTRALIA LIMITED